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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-31
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-31
DOE window 2026-06-30 → 2026-08-26
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月1日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 32
Excluded uptrends 379

Downside ranking

US.LULU · -1.37% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.37%
Top down rate68.8%
Top P25-3.15%
DOE score2.318

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-1.37%

P25-3.15% Down68.8% Dn/Up513.8% / 10% Score63.9 DownOpp2.582
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-0.89%

P25-2.04% Down67.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score55.4 DownOpp2.385
View chart 開富途
#3 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-0.72%

P25-2.64% Down66.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 3.8% Score52.3 DownOpp2.064
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.75%

P25-2.51% Down63.8% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score51.8 DownOpp1.865
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-5.45% Down57.5% Dn/Up526.3% / 11.3% Score92.2 DownOpp1.843
View chart 開富途
#6 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.08%

P25-3.74% Down61.3% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score95.3 DownOpp1.754
View chart 開富途
#7 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-1.16%

P25-3.39% Down61.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 11.3% Score66.1 DownOpp1.738
View chart 開富途
#8 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-1.00%

P25-3.19% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score61.7 DownOpp1.661
View chart 開富途
#9 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-0.67%

P25-1.87% Down61.3% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score52.8 DownOpp1.646
View chart 開富途
#10 US.PG Procter & Gamble · Consumer Staples

-0.81%

P25-2.00% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score67.9 DownOpp1.601
View chart 開富途
#11 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.94%

P25-6.59% Down55% Dn/Up532.5% / 16.3% Score65.8 DownOpp1.516
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.63%

P25-2.35% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score62.4 DownOpp1.25
View chart 開富途
#13 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.51%

P25-2.22% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score56.6 DownOpp1.14
View chart 開富途
#14 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.58%

P25-2.73% Down58.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 8.8% Score58.2 DownOpp1.002
View chart 開富途
#15 US.PHM PulteGroup · Consumer Discretionary

-0.40%

P25-2.06% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score53.5 DownOpp0.99
View chart 開富途
#16 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-0.31%

P25-1.79% Down55% Dn/Up51.3% / 2.5% Score51.7 DownOpp0.62
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.21%

P25-1.13% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score66.1 DownOpp0.597
View chart 開富途
#18 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.27%

P25-2.14% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score49.6 DownOpp0.587
View chart 開富途
#19 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.33%

P25-1.64% Down55% Dn/Up50% / 1.3% Score64.1 DownOpp0.581
View chart 開富途
#20 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.49%

P25-1.95% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 6.3% Score56.9 DownOpp0.573
View chart 開富途
#21 US.CCI Crown Castle · Real Estate

-0.31%

P25-1.95% Down53.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score64.9 DownOpp0.537
View chart 開富途
#22 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.44%

P25-2.12% Down53.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 3.8% Score68.3 DownOpp0.534
View chart 開富途
#23 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.20%

P25-1.41% Down53.8% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score51.1 DownOpp0.473
View chart 開富途
#24 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.27%

P25-1.68% Down53.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score52.1 DownOpp0.453
View chart 開富途
#25 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-0.53%

P25-2.66% Down53.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 10% Score60.1 DownOpp0.448
View chart 開富途
#26 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.22% Down53.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 7.5% Score58.2 DownOpp0.352
View chart 開富途
#27 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.56%

P25-2.62% Down53.8% Dn/Up512.5% / 11.3% Score67.9 DownOpp0.332
View chart 開富途
#28 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.59%

P25-2.73% Down55% Dn/Up511.3% / 15% Score61.5 DownOpp0.311
View chart 開富途
#29 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.11%

P25-1.98% Down53.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 1.3% Score73 DownOpp0.283
View chart 開富途
#30 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-0.45%

P25-2.89% Down53.8% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score80.3 DownOpp0.274
View chart 開富途
#31 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.04%

P25-1.74% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score67.7 DownOpp0.089
View chart 開富途
#32 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.18%

P25-2.42% Down52.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score69.9 DownOpp0.011
View chart 開富途