歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序;僅供研究覆核,非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP>DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計,不是交易建議;請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-08-31

Computed at 2026年9月1日 上午7:46 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 20

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-08-31

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-31
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-31
DOE window 2026-06-30 → 2026-08-26
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月1日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 20
Excluded downtrends 5
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.9

OOS n=758 Median 0.24%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.9

+0.24% OOS median · n=758

Best holding day 7D

3.5 - 4 · +20.56% ann. net · n=640

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

3 - 3.5 · +0.54% exp · 77D WF

Opp study rows 26,813 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-08-31

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選;列出當日全部入榜標的(非僅 Top 5)。

48 檔(去重) 已參與

2026-08-25

12
  1. #1 PPG P75+4.62% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Opp3.854 開富途
  2. #2 L P75+3.18% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.817 開富途
  3. #3 INTC P75+4.99% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Opp3.805 開富途
  4. #4 BAC P75+3.01% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.771 開富途
  5. #5 PWR P75+5.85% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30% / 10% Opp3.669 開富途
  6. #6 IQV P75+3.17% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.601 開富途
  7. #7 LH P75+2.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.463 開富途
  8. #8 TSN P75+2.56% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.454 開富途
  9. #9 UNP P75+2.85% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.432 開富途
  10. #10 WMB P75+3.62% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.414 開富途
  11. #11 TECH P75+2.75% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.381 開富途
  12. #12 DOV P75+4.78% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.342 開富途

2026-08-27

11
  1. #1 TRV P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.799 開富途
  2. #2 RF P75+3.45% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.784 開富途
  3. #3 C P75+3.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.594 開富途
  4. #4 DOV P75+3.64% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 1.3% Opp3.577 開富途
  5. #5 URI P75+3.55% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.565 開富途
  6. #6 WST P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.564 開富途
  7. #7 HIG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.528 開富途
  8. #8 LLY P75+3.87% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.449 開富途
  9. #9 MPWR P75+7.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn33.8% / 13.8% Opp3.404 開富途
  10. #10 APA P75+4.87% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn23.8% / 8.8% Opp3.303 開富途
  11. #11 WM P75+3.23% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.262 開富途

2026-08-28

8
  1. #1 KMI P75+3.47% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.883 開富途
  2. #2 EW P75+3.04% 上漲比70% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.785 開富途
  3. #3 PNC P75+2.61% 上漲比71.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.597 開富途
  4. #4 SYF P75+3.32% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.557 開富途
  5. #5 CB P75+3.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.456 開富途
  6. #6 TSN P75+3.65% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.412 開富途
  7. #7 AXP P75+3.16% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.326 開富途
  8. #8 GRMN P75+2.91% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.271 開富途

2026-08-31

20
  1. #1 ALL P75+3.43% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.891 開富途
  2. #2 HIG P75+2.95% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.822 開富途
  3. #3 VRTX P75+3.31% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.798 開富途
  4. #4 ROST P75+3.29% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.681 開富途
  5. #5 L P75+2.74% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.639 開富途
  6. #6 GL P75+3.20% 上漲比70% Up/Dn16.3% / 2.5% Opp3.626 開富途
  7. #7 CVS P75+2.77% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.619 開富途
  8. #8 RJF P75+3.25% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.612 開富途
  9. #9 WMT P75+3.43% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.563 開富途
  10. #10 AVGO P75+3.96% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Opp3.545 開富途
  11. #11 BAC P75+3.35% 上漲比65% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.538 開富途
  12. #12 CFG P75+3.60% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.492 開富途
  13. #13 AFL P75+3.32% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.462 開富途
  14. #14 TSN P75+3.63% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.418 開富途
  15. #15 BAX P75+2.69% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.349 開富途
  16. #16 JNJ P75+2.96% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.346 開富途
  17. #17 CAH P75+3.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.252 開富途
  18. #18 STLD P75+4.20% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp3.224 開富途
  19. #19 PNC P75+3.04% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.217 開富途
  20. #20 PFG P75+2.40% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.209 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.ALL 研究門檻符合 P75+3.43% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.891 開富途
  2. #2 US.HIG 研究門檻符合 P75+2.95% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.822 開富途
  3. #3 US.VRTX P75+3.31% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.798 開富途
  4. #4 US.ROST P75+3.29% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.681 開富途
  5. #5 US.L P75+2.74% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.639 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序:歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP>DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.ALL Allstate · Financials

+1.19%

P75+3.43% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Score55.7 Opp3.891
View chart 開富途
#2 US.HIG Hartford (The) · Financials

+1.28%

P75+2.95% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score60.1 Opp3.822
View chart 開富途
#3 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

+1.35%

P75+3.31% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Score66.4 Opp3.798
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ROST Ross Stores · Consumer Discretionary

+1.35%

P75+3.29% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score47.3 Opp3.681
View chart 開富途
#5 US.L Loews Corporation · Financials

+1.15%

P75+2.74% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score64.3 Opp3.639
View chart 開富途
#6 US.GL Globe Life · Financials

+0.97%

P75+3.20% 上漲比70% Up/Dn16.3% / 2.5% Score54.1 Opp3.626
View chart 開富途
#7 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

+1.27%

P75+2.77% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score67 Opp3.619
View chart 開富途
#8 US.RJF Raymond James Financial · Financials

+0.96%

P75+3.25% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score69 Opp3.612
View chart 開富途
#9 US.WMT Walmart · Consumer Staples

+1.26%

P75+3.43% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Score52.7 Opp3.563
View chart 開富途
#10 US.AVGO Broadcom · Information Technology

+1.58%

P75+3.96% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Score62.8 Opp3.545
View chart 開富途
#11 US.BAC Bank of America · Financials

+1.06%

P75+3.35% 上漲比65% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Score58.7 Opp3.538
View chart 開富途
#12 US.CFG Citizens Financial Group · Financials

+0.97%

P75+3.60% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Score56.2 Opp3.492
View chart 開富途
#13 US.AFL Aflac · Financials

+0.91%

P75+3.32% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Score55.8 Opp3.462
View chart 開富途
#14 US.TSN Tyson Foods · Consumer Staples

+1.11%

P75+3.63% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Score49.9 Opp3.418
View chart 開富途
#15 US.BAX Baxter International · Health Care

+0.96%

P75+2.69% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score52.6 Opp3.349
View chart 開富途
#16 US.JNJ Johnson & Johnson · Health Care

+0.99%

P75+2.96% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score65.9 Opp3.346
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

+0.94%

P75+3.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Score63.7 Opp3.252
View chart 開富途
#18 US.STLD Steel Dynamics · Materials

+1.12%

P75+4.20% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Score53.3 Opp3.224
View chart 開富途
#19 US.PNC PNC Financial Services · Financials

+0.83%

P75+3.04% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Score53.4 Opp3.217
View chart 開富途
#20 US.PFG Principal Financial Group · Financials

+0.93%

P75+2.40% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score60.4 Opp3.209
View chart 開富途