Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-31 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4582 | 3493 / 1089 | 403 | 11.5% | 0.61x | +4.98% | -5.06% |
| Grade F | 10461 | 7533 / 2928 | 1657 | 22% | 1.18x | +7.02% | -4.83% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 377 | 253 / 124 | 13.4% | 0.72x | 0.71x | 18.2% · 11 checked | +4.96% | -6.12% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2224 | 1603 / 621 | 13.4% | 0.72x | 0.72x | 14.3% · 84 checked | +5.38% | -5.03% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2218 | 1601 / 617 | 13.4% | 0.72x | 0.72x | 14.3% · 84 checked | +5.38% | -5.04% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Risk not High | 2163 | 1537 / 626 | 10.1% | 0.54x | 0.53x | 13.2% · 68 checked | +4.86% | -4.99% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 2186 | 1574 / 612 | 12.9% | 0.69x | 0.69x | 13% · 77 checked | +5.19% | -4.97% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 1529 | 1082 / 447 | 12.3% | 0.66x | 0.66x | 13% · 54 checked | +5.17% | -5.17% |
| Money flow >= 14 | 3242 | 2346 / 896 | 12.2% | 0.65x | 0.65x | 12.7% · 118 checked | +5.22% | -4.93% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 | 3231 | 2343 / 888 | 12.2% | 0.65x | 0.65x | 12.7% · 118 checked | +5.22% | -4.94% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 | 2191 | 1560 / 631 | 10.5% | 0.56x | 0.56x | 12.7% · 71 checked | +4.94% | -5.03% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 4001 | 2981 / 1020 | 14.3% | 0.76x | 0.77x | 12.5% · 152 checked | +5.53% | -4.99% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 3977 | 2969 / 1008 | 14.3% | 0.76x | 0.77x | 12.5% · 152 checked | +5.53% | -4.99% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 3935 | 2932 / 1003 | 13.9% | 0.74x | 0.75x | 11.9% · 143 checked | +5.41% | -4.93% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Risk not High | 3188 | 2304 / 884 | 11.7% | 0.63x | 0.63x | 11.9% · 109 checked | +5.08% | -4.88% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 3179 | 2302 / 877 | 11.7% | 0.63x | 0.63x | 11.9% · 109 checked | +5.08% | -4.88% |
| Money flow >= 12 | 5982 | 4469 / 1513 | 13.4% | 0.72x | 0.72x | 11.1% · 217 checked | +5.44% | -4.86% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 127 | 99 / 28 | 16 | 16.2% | 0.87x | 0% · 4 checked | +5.18% | -7.52% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 334 | 285 / 49 | 36 | 12.6% | 0.67x | 0% · 7 checked | +5.03% | -6.71% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 3812 | 2869 / 943 | 331 | 11.5% | 0.61x | 9.2% · 120 checked | +5.12% | -4.91% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 184 | 148 / 36 | 12 | 8.1% | 0.43x | 0% · 5 checked | +4.18% | -6.85% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 14573 | 10647 / 3926 | 2022 | 19% | 1.02x | +6.43% | -4.86% |
| Score 90-109 | 452 | 361 / 91 | 36 | 10% | 0.53x | +4.70% | -6.13% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 13860 | 10046 / 3814 | 1953 | 19.4% | 1.04x | +6.51% | -4.79% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 74 | 59 / 15 | 11 | 18.6% | 0.99x | +5.66% | -5.43% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 260 | 226 / 34 | 25 | 11.1% | 0.59x | +4.87% | -7.05% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 849 | 695 / 154 | 71 | 10.2% | 0.55x | +4.93% | -5.70% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 464 | 346 / 118 | 115 | 33.2% | 1.78x | +8.75% | -9.37% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2169 | 1628 / 541 | 384 | 23.6% | 1.26x | +7.29% | -6.39% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7341 | 5509 / 1832 | 964 | 17.5% | 0.94x | +6.20% | -4.58% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5069 | 3543 / 1526 | 597 | 16.9% | 0.9x | +5.99% | -4.28% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 641 | 516 / 125 | 167 | 32.4% | 1.73x | +9.78% | -8.38% |
| Elevated | 4894 | 3896 / 998 | 1116 | 28.6% | 1.53x | +8.08% | -6.10% |
| Medium | 9225 | 6462 / 2763 | 777 | 12% | 0.64x | +5.16% | -3.94% |
| Low | 283 | 152 / 131 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.91% | -3.30% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2213 | 1621 / 592 | 607 | 37.4% | 2x | +9.98% | -8.53% |
| Energy | 630 | 462 / 168 | 120 | 26% | 1.39x | +7.15% | -3.35% |
| Materials | 780 | 572 / 208 | 125 | 21.9% | 1.17x | +6.45% | -4.40% |
| Communication Services | 665 | 483 / 182 | 106 | 21.9% | 1.17x | +6.72% | -5.08% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1410 | 1034 / 376 | 205 | 19.8% | 1.06x | +6.37% | -4.66% |
| Industrials | 2398 | 1758 / 640 | 319 | 18.1% | 0.97x | +5.98% | -4.97% |
| Health Care | 1769 | 1297 / 472 | 232 | 17.9% | 0.96x | +6.97% | -4.35% |
| Consumer Staples | 1048 | 768 / 280 | 93 | 12.1% | 0.65x | +5.52% | -4.08% |
| Financials | 2278 | 1670 / 608 | 199 | 11.9% | 0.64x | +5.28% | -3.50% |
| Real Estate | 922 | 679 / 243 | 40 | 5.9% | 0.32x | +4.15% | -3.88% |
| Utilities | 930 | 682 / 248 | 14 | 2.1% | 0.11x | +2.74% | -4.19% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.