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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-28
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-28
DOE window 2026-06-29 → 2026-08-25
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月31日 上午7:45 HKT
Rows 30
Excluded uptrends 383

Downside ranking

US.LEN · -1.67% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.67%
Top down rate72.5%
Top P25-3.62%
DOE score2.489

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-1.67%

P25-3.62% Down72.5% Dn/Up516.3% / 6.3% Score67.2 DownOpp3.493
View chart 開富途
#2 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-1.10%

P25-2.33% Down75% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score57.9 DownOpp3.248
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.62%

P25-4.22% Down65% Dn/Up516.3% / 6.3% Score64.4 DownOpp3.014
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-1.42%

P25-3.91% Down65% Dn/Up516.3% / 8.8% Score66.9 DownOpp2.568
View chart 開富途
#5 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-1.08%

P25-4.26% Down66.3% Dn/Up523.8% / 6.3% Score87.3 DownOpp2.416
View chart 開富途
#6 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-0.78%

P25-1.54% Down66.3% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score52.3 DownOpp2.077
View chart 開富途
#7 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.91%

P25-2.40% Down63.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score61.2 DownOpp1.855
View chart 開富途
#8 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.74%

P25-2.19% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score61.9 DownOpp1.595
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.42%

P25-1.40% Down61.3% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score48.5 DownOpp1.31
View chart 開富途
#10 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.66%

P25-2.53% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score90.3 DownOpp1.241
View chart 開富途
#11 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-0.52%

P25-5.75% Down58.8% Dn/Up527.5% / 13.8% Score82 DownOpp1.219
View chart 開富途
#12 US.KHC Kraft Heinz · Consumer Staples

-0.45%

P25-2.34% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score71.9 DownOpp0.868
View chart 開富途
#13 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-0.61%

P25-2.17% Down56.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 10% Score42.8 DownOpp0.735
View chart 開富途
#14 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.47%

P25-3.08% Down55% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score58.7 DownOpp0.6
View chart 開富途
#15 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.31%

P25-2.10% Down53.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 1.3% Score63.3 DownOpp0.586
View chart 開富途
#16 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.34%

P25-3.00% Down55% Dn/Up511.3% / 7.5% Score61.6 DownOpp0.578
View chart 開富途
#17 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.76%

P25-3.17% Down53.8% Dn/Up513.8% / 13.8% Score69 DownOpp0.511
View chart 開富途
#18 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.52%

P25-2.48% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 11.3% Score49.1 DownOpp0.494
View chart 開富途
#19 US.EQT EQT Corporation · Energy

-0.32%

P25-2.49% Down55% Dn/Up58.8% / 6.3% Score66.5 DownOpp0.466
View chart 開富途
#20 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

P25-2.09% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score63.2 DownOpp0.432
View chart 開富途
#21 US.NRG NRG Energy · Utilities

-0.40%

P25-1.66% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 8.8% Score48.8 DownOpp0.425
View chart 開富途
#22 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.15%

P25-2.01% Down53.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 2.5% Score69.5 DownOpp0.285
View chart 開富途
#23 US.PEP PepsiCo · Consumer Staples

-0.40%

P25-1.78% Down53.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 6.3% Score65.3 DownOpp0.281
View chart 開富途
#24 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.22% Down53.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 8.8% Score58.4 DownOpp0.273
View chart 開富途
#25 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.13%

P25-2.35% Down53.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 5% Score60.1 DownOpp0.271
View chart 開富途
#26 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.27%

P25-1.68% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 3.8% Score52.7 DownOpp0.267
View chart 開富途
#27 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

-0.40%

P25-1.68% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 8.8% Score56.9 DownOpp0.265
View chart 開富途
#28 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.31%

P25-1.83% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score57.3 DownOpp0.264
View chart 開富途
#29 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.52%

P25-2.93% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 15% Score68.8 DownOpp0.236
View chart 開富途
#30 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.19%

P25-2.08% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 8.8% Score55.7 DownOpp0.164
View chart 開富途