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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-08-28

Computed at 2026年8月31日 上午7:45 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 6

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-08-28

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-28
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-28
DOE window 2026-06-29 → 2026-08-25
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月31日 上午7:45 HKT
Rows 6
Excluded downtrends 9
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.7

OOS n=572 Median 0.32%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.7

+0.32% OOS median · n=572

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +32.8% ann. net · n=1105

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

3 - 3.5 · +0.46% exp · 66D WF

Opp study rows 27,258 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-08-28

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 35 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-08-24

10 檔
  1. #1 HWM P75+2.83% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.564 開富途
  2. #2 TROW P75+2.87% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.417 開富途
  3. #3 IBKR P75+3.47% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.414 開富途
  4. #4 SOLV P75+3.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 10% Opp3.413 開富途
  5. #5 BRK.B P75+4.35% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp3.379 開富途
  6. #6 INCY P75+3.49% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.33 開富途
  7. #7 MSCI P75+3.04% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.289 開富途
  8. #8 BA P75+3.68% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp3.271 開富途
  9. #9 WMB P75+3.69% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.267 開富途
  10. #10 PPG P75+2.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.233 開富途

2026-08-25

8 檔
  1. #1 PWR P75+5.85% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30% / 10% Opp3.669 開富途
  2. #2 IQV P75+3.17% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.601 開富途
  3. #3 LH P75+2.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.463 開富途
  4. #4 TSN P75+2.56% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.454 開富途
  5. #5 UNP P75+2.85% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.432 開富途
  6. #6 WMB P75+3.62% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.414 開富途
  7. #7 TECH P75+2.75% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.381 開富途
  8. #8 DOV P75+4.78% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.342 開富途

2026-08-27

9 檔
  1. #1 C P75+3.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.594 開富途
  2. #2 DOV P75+3.64% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 1.3% Opp3.577 開富途
  3. #3 URI P75+3.55% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.565 開富途
  4. #4 WST P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.564 開富途
  5. #5 HIG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.528 開富途
  6. #6 LLY P75+3.87% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.449 開富途
  7. #7 MPWR P75+7.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn33.8% / 13.8% Opp3.404 開富途
  8. #8 APA P75+4.87% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn23.8% / 8.8% Opp3.303 開富途
  9. #9 WM P75+3.23% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.262 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.PNC P75+2.61% 上漲比71.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.597 開富途
  2. #2 US.SYF P75+3.32% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.557 開富途
  3. #3 US.CB P75+3.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.456 開富途
  4. #4 US.TSN P75+3.65% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.412 開富途
  5. #5 US.AXP P75+3.16% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.326 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.7 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.PNC PNC Financial Services · Financials

+1.00%

P75+2.61% 上漲比71.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score52.1 Opp3.597
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

+1.18%

P75+3.32% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Score56.6 Opp3.557
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CB Chubb Limited · Financials

+0.91%

P75+3.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score53.8 Opp3.456
View chart 開富途
#4 US.TSN Tyson Foods · Consumer Staples

+0.99%

P75+3.65% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score47.4 Opp3.412
View chart 開富途
#5 US.AXP American Express · Financials

+0.90%

P75+3.16% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Score54.6 Opp3.326
View chart 開富途
#6 US.GRMN Garmin · Consumer Discretionary

+1.33%

P75+2.91% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score48.4 Opp3.271
View chart 開富途