Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-28 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4970 | 3905 / 1065 | 435 | 11.1% | 0.59x | +4.97% | -5.00% |
| Grade F | 11081 | 8130 / 2951 | 1834 | 22.6% | 1.2x | +7.05% | -4.79% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 511 | 392 / 119 | 31.9% | 1.69x | 1.67x | 42.9% · 14 checked | +8.46% | -9.96% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 511 | 392 / 119 | 31.9% | 1.69x | 1.67x | 42.9% · 14 checked | +8.46% | -9.96% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 2846 | 2216 / 630 | 25.2% | 1.33x | 1.33x | 27.6% · 76 checked | +7.47% | -6.92% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2825 | 2199 / 626 | 24.9% | 1.32x | 1.31x | 27.6% · 76 checked | +7.43% | -6.90% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 602 | 437 / 165 | 14.4% | 0.76x | 0.74x | 23.1% · 26 checked | +5.20% | -6.46% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 599 | 436 / 163 | 14.4% | 0.76x | 0.74x | 23.1% · 26 checked | +5.19% | -6.48% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 601 | 436 / 165 | 14.2% | 0.75x | 0.72x | 23.1% · 26 checked | +5.17% | -6.47% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1880 | 1429 / 451 | 19% | 1.01x | 0.99x | 22.6% · 62 checked | +6.03% | -6.61% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1873 | 1424 / 449 | 18.8% | 0.99x | 0.98x | 22.6% · 62 checked | +6.01% | -6.60% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1042 | 748 / 294 | 14.4% | 0.76x | 0.75x | 20.5% · 39 checked | +5.39% | -6.56% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1033 | 742 / 291 | 14.4% | 0.76x | 0.75x | 20.5% · 39 checked | +5.37% | -6.56% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1040 | 747 / 293 | 14.3% | 0.76x | 0.74x | 20.5% · 39 checked | +5.38% | -6.56% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 411 | 293 / 118 | 13.7% | 0.72x | 0.71x | 18.8% · 16 checked | +4.94% | -6.96% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 841 | 642 / 199 | 15% | 0.79x | 0.79x | 16.1% · 31 checked | +5.40% | -6.59% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 838 | 641 / 197 | 15% | 0.79x | 0.79x | 16.1% · 31 checked | +5.41% | -6.58% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 137 | 110 / 27 | 18 | 16.4% | 0.87x | 16.7% · 6 checked | +5.16% | -8.21% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 369 | 319 / 50 | 41 | 12.9% | 0.68x | 7.1% · 14 checked | +5.17% | -6.89% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4167 | 3200 / 967 | 353 | 11% | 0.58x | 9.5% · 137 checked | +5.03% | -4.99% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 205 | 169 / 36 | 16 | 9.5% | 0.5x | 8.3% · 12 checked | +4.43% | -7.32% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15547 | 11618 / 3929 | 2227 | 19.2% | 1.02x | +6.43% | -4.81% |
| Score 90-109 | 486 | 399 / 87 | 40 | 10% | 0.53x | +4.72% | -6.32% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 73 | 60 / 13 | 12 | 20% | 1.06x | +5.74% | -5.42% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14710 | 10900 / 3810 | 2142 | 19.7% | 1.04x | +6.51% | -4.75% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 296 | 259 / 37 | 29 | 11.2% | 0.59x | +5.04% | -7.23% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 972 | 816 / 156 | 86 | 10.5% | 0.56x | +4.99% | -5.54% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 511 | 392 / 119 | 125 | 31.9% | 1.69x | +8.46% | -9.96% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2335 | 1824 / 511 | 433 | 23.7% | 1.25x | +7.25% | -6.27% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7846 | 6052 / 1794 | 1082 | 17.9% | 0.95x | +6.23% | -4.49% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5359 | 3767 / 1592 | 629 | 16.7% | 0.88x | +5.96% | -4.24% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 723 | 574 / 149 | 191 | 33.3% | 1.76x | +9.42% | -8.41% |
| Elevated | 5340 | 4271 / 1069 | 1221 | 28.6% | 1.51x | +7.98% | -6.12% |
| Medium | 9711 | 7021 / 2690 | 857 | 12.2% | 0.65x | +5.23% | -3.84% |
| Low | 277 | 169 / 108 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +3.01% | -3.19% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2361 | 1769 / 592 | 657 | 37.1% | 1.96x | +9.79% | -8.64% |
| Energy | 672 | 504 / 168 | 136 | 27% | 1.43x | +7.34% | -3.31% |
| Communication Services | 712 | 530 / 182 | 122 | 23% | 1.22x | +6.74% | -5.09% |
| Materials | 832 | 624 / 208 | 130 | 20.8% | 1.1x | +6.31% | -4.44% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1504 | 1128 / 376 | 212 | 18.8% | 0.99x | +6.21% | -4.72% |
| Health Care | 1886 | 1414 / 472 | 252 | 17.8% | 0.94x | +6.81% | -4.33% |
| Industrials | 2558 | 1918 / 640 | 337 | 17.6% | 0.93x | +5.95% | -4.91% |
| Financials | 2430 | 1822 / 608 | 273 | 15% | 0.79x | +5.73% | -3.30% |
| Consumer Staples | 1118 | 839 / 279 | 96 | 11.4% | 0.6x | +5.42% | -4.03% |
| Real Estate | 986 | 743 / 243 | 39 | 5.2% | 0.28x | +4.06% | -3.88% |
| Utilities | 992 | 744 / 248 | 15 | 2% | 0.11x | +2.85% | -3.89% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.