Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-08 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4008 | 3274 / 734 | 396 | 12.1% | 0.66x | +4.95% | -5.11% |
| Grade F | 9534 | 7249 / 2285 | 1543 | 21.3% | 1.16x | +6.78% | -4.76% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 92 | 66 / 26 | 19.7% | 1.07x | 0.99x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +5.32% | -7.68% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 92 | 66 / 26 | 19.7% | 1.07x | 0.99x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +5.32% | -7.68% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 66 | 53 / 13 | 13.2% | 0.72x | 0.53x | 25% · 12 checked | +4.42% | -7.45% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 110 | 95 / 15 | 20% | 1.09x | 1.04x | 23.5% · 17 checked | +5.74% | -6.49% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 119 | 103 / 16 | 19.4% | 1.05x | 1.01x | 23.5% · 17 checked | +5.49% | -6.84% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 119 | 103 / 16 | 19.4% | 1.05x | 1.01x | 23.5% · 17 checked | +5.49% | -6.84% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 119 | 103 / 16 | 19.4% | 1.05x | 1.01x | 23.5% · 17 checked | +5.49% | -6.84% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 407 | 320 / 87 | 34.7% | 1.89x | 2.01x | 21.3% · 47 checked | +8.93% | -8.28% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 407 | 320 / 87 | 34.7% | 1.89x | 2.01x | 21.3% · 47 checked | +8.93% | -8.28% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 137 | 105 / 32 | 17.1% | 0.93x | 0.89x | 21.1% · 19 checked | +5.80% | -8.33% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 241 | 179 / 62 | 20.7% | 1.13x | 1.13x | 20.7% · 29 checked | +6.29% | -8.41% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 241 | 179 / 62 | 20.7% | 1.13x | 1.13x | 20.7% · 29 checked | +6.29% | -8.41% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 139 | 107 / 32 | 16.8% | 0.91x | 0.88x | 20% · 20 checked | +5.79% | -8.30% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 139 | 107 / 32 | 16.8% | 0.91x | 0.88x | 20% · 20 checked | +5.79% | -8.30% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 98 | 82 / 16 | 15.9% | 0.86x | 0.81x | 20% · 15 checked | +5.00% | -7.17% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 119 | 103 / 16 | 20 | 19.4% | 1.05x | 23.5% · 17 checked | +5.49% | -6.84% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 300 | 272 / 28 | 40 | 14.7% | 0.8x | 13.3% · 30 checked | +5.32% | -6.36% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 3134 | 2533 / 601 | 324 | 12.8% | 0.7x | 6.8% · 370 checked | +5.27% | -4.90% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 166 | 144 / 22 | 15 | 10.4% | 0.57x | 15% · 20 checked | +4.54% | -6.50% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 13135 | 10159 / 2976 | 1899 | 18.7% | 1.02x | +6.27% | -4.83% |
| Score 90-109 | 389 | 346 / 43 | 38 | 11% | 0.6x | +4.80% | -5.97% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 74 | 66 / 8 | 13 | 19.7% | 1.07x | +5.85% | -5.57% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12569 | 9651 / 2918 | 1832 | 19% | 1.03x | +6.32% | -4.77% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 226 | 206 / 20 | 27 | 13.1% | 0.71x | +5.15% | -6.61% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 673 | 600 / 73 | 67 | 11.2% | 0.61x | +4.99% | -5.80% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 407 | 320 / 87 | 111 | 34.7% | 1.89x | +8.93% | -8.28% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1969 | 1556 / 413 | 375 | 24.1% | 1.31x | +7.36% | -5.87% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6567 | 5189 / 1378 | 892 | 17.2% | 0.93x | +6.03% | -4.67% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4599 | 3458 / 1141 | 561 | 16.2% | 0.88x | +5.72% | -4.40% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 529 | 470 / 59 | 160 | 34% | 1.85x | +10.42% | -7.85% |
| Elevated | 4240 | 3565 / 675 | 1062 | 29.8% | 1.62x | +8.24% | -5.99% |
| Medium | 8487 | 6323 / 2164 | 717 | 11.3% | 0.61x | +4.85% | -4.05% |
| Low | 286 | 165 / 121 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.69% | -3.37% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1996 | 1552 / 444 | 611 | 39.4% | 2.14x | +10.21% | -7.95% |
| Materials | 702 | 546 / 156 | 120 | 22% | 1.2x | +6.69% | -4.36% |
| Communication Services | 598 | 458 / 140 | 98 | 21.4% | 1.16x | +6.62% | -4.77% |
| Energy | 567 | 441 / 126 | 90 | 20.4% | 1.11x | +6.31% | -3.81% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1269 | 987 / 282 | 193 | 19.6% | 1.07x | +6.17% | -4.91% |
| Health Care | 1592 | 1238 / 354 | 241 | 19.5% | 1.06x | +7.18% | -3.82% |
| Industrials | 2160 | 1680 / 480 | 292 | 17.4% | 0.95x | +5.65% | -5.20% |
| Financials | 2052 | 1596 / 456 | 169 | 10.6% | 0.58x | +4.83% | -3.40% |
| Consumer Staples | 944 | 734 / 210 | 77 | 10.5% | 0.57x | +5.21% | -4.46% |
| Real Estate | 825 | 640 / 185 | 37 | 5.8% | 0.32x | +3.79% | -4.15% |
| Utilities | 837 | 651 / 186 | 11 | 1.7% | 0.09x | +2.55% | -4.58% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.