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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-08

Computed at 2026年9月9日 上午7:48 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 8

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-09-08

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-08
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-08
DOE window 2026-07-02 → 2026-08-31
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月9日 上午7:48 HKT
Rows 8
Excluded downtrends 7
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.7

OOS n=643 Median 0.16%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.7

+0.16% OOS median · n=643

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +32.8% ann. net · n=1111

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -4%

3 - 3.5 · +0.23% exp · 73D WF

Opp study rows 26,398 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-08

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 39 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-09-01

11 檔
  1. #1 BNY P75+3.45% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.67 開富途
  2. #2 WMT P75+3.44% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Opp3.634 開富途
  3. #3 CASY P75+3.44% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 3.8% Opp3.56 開富途
  4. #4 LYB P75+3.82% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.3% / 5% Opp3.54 開富途
  5. #5 BEN P75+2.86% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.464 開富途
  6. #6 KLAC P75+4.31% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn21.3% / 7.5% Opp3.461 開富途
  7. #7 MS P75+3.26% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.454 開富途
  8. #8 CSCO P75+4.35% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp3.399 開富途
  9. #9 RJF P75+2.87% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.394 開富途
  10. #10 L P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.315 開富途
  11. #11 AMGN P75+3.31% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.233 開富途

2026-09-02

17 檔
  1. #1 CFG P75+3.46% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 1.3% Opp3.675 開富途
  2. #2 RF P75+3.32% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 0% Opp3.662 開富途
  3. #3 HLT P75+3.18% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.644 開富途
  4. #4 STX P75+5.88% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp3.616 開富途
  5. #5 PFG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.514 開富途
  6. #6 SYY P75+2.95% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.474 開富途
  7. #7 ACGL P75+3.04% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.416 開富途
  8. #8 BDX P75+3.04% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.367 開富途
  9. #9 NTRS P75+3.06% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.354 開富途
  10. #10 AFL P75+3.04% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.345 開富途
  11. #11 MTB P75+3.01% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.335 開富途
  12. #12 TFC P75+2.87% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.323 開富途
  13. #13 MRVL P75+5.65% 上漲比60% Up/Dn26.3% / 7.5% Opp3.316 開富途
  14. #14 L P75+3.63% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.28 開富途
  15. #15 GLW P75+5.49% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn28.8% / 12.5% Opp3.225 開富途
  16. #16 MS P75+3.20% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.221 開富途
  17. #17 PNC P75+3.32% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.208 開富途

2026-09-08

8 檔
  1. #1 TRV P75+3.33% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.563 開富途
  2. #2 TFC P75+2.91% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Opp3.545 開富途
  3. #3 TECH P75+3.37% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.533 開富途
  4. #4 TROW P75+2.82% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.488 開富途
  5. #5 MTB P75+2.86% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.46 開富途
  6. #6 EG P75+2.62% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.293 開富途
  7. #7 LLY P75+3.85% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.281 開富途
  8. #8 COO P75+3.63% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.204 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.TRV P75+3.33% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.563 開富途
  2. #2 US.TFC P75+2.91% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Opp3.545 開富途
  3. #3 US.TECH P75+3.37% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.533 開富途
  4. #4 US.TROW P75+2.82% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.488 開富途
  5. #5 US.MTB P75+2.86% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.46 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.7 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.TRV Travelers Companies (The) · Financials

+1.04%

P75+3.33% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Score61.9 Opp3.563
View chart 開富途
#2 US.TFC Truist Financial · Financials

+1.23%

P75+2.91% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Score64.5 Opp3.545
View chart 開富途
#3 US.TECH Bio-Techne · Health Care

+1.15%

P75+3.37% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Score55.8 Opp3.533
View chart 開富途
#4 US.TROW T. Rowe Price · Financials

+0.96%

P75+2.82% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Score53 Opp3.488
View chart 開富途
#5 US.MTB M&T Bank · Financials

+1.08%

P75+2.86% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score62 Opp3.46
View chart 開富途
#6 US.EG Everest Group · Financials

+1.00%

P75+2.62% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Score58.4 Opp3.293
View chart 開富途
#7 US.LLY Lilly (Eli) · Health Care

+0.98%

P75+3.85% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Score51.2 Opp3.281
View chart 開富途
#8 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

+1.19%

P75+3.63% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Score53.6 Opp3.204
View chart 開富途