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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-01
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-01
DOE window 2026-06-30 → 2026-08-27
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月2日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 21
Excluded uptrends 371

Downside ranking

US.CRWD · -1.35% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.35%
Top down rate62.5%
Top P25-5.44%
DOE score2.203

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-1.35%

P25-5.44% Down62.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 11.3% Score75.7 DownOpp2.464
View chart 開富途
#2 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-1.00%

P25-2.13% Down65% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score55.3 DownOpp2.318
View chart 開富途
#3 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.68%

P25-2.59% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score54.4 DownOpp1.669
View chart 開富途
#4 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.78%

P25-3.66% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score65.6 DownOpp1.553
View chart 開富途
#5 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.33%

P25-3.84% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 20% Score48.9 DownOpp1.523
View chart 開富途
#6 US.KR Kroger · Consumer Staples

-0.85%

P25-2.71% Down58.8% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score62.5 DownOpp1.463
View chart 開富途
#7 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.72%

P25-2.05% Down62.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 6.3% Score55.9 DownOpp1.435
View chart 開富途
#8 US.PG Procter & Gamble · Consumer Staples

-0.82%

P25-2.49% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score63.5 DownOpp1.266
View chart 開富途
#9 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.77%

P25-2.59% Down58.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 6.3% Score69.4 DownOpp1.223
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.40%

P25-1.53% Down61.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 0% Score64.7 DownOpp1.201
View chart 開富途
#11 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.70%

P25-2.87% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 10% Score65.8 DownOpp0.924
View chart 開富途
#12 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.97%

P25-4.43% Down56.3% Dn/Up522.5% / 22.5% Score52.2 DownOpp0.84
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.44%

P25-2.14% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 6.3% Score48.9 DownOpp0.83
View chart 開富途
#14 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.25%

P25-2.02% Down57.5% Dn/Up51.3% / 2.5% Score68.9 DownOpp0.688
View chart 開富途
#15 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.40%

P25-1.64% Down55% Dn/Up51.3% / 1.3% Score62.9 DownOpp0.66
View chart 開富途
#16 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.42%

P25-2.48% Down55% Dn/Up512.5% / 8.8% Score49.7 DownOpp0.539
View chart 開富途
#17 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.52%

P25-2.38% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 15% Score48.1 DownOpp0.358
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#18 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.13%

P25-1.60% Down52.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score62.7 DownOpp0.26
View chart 開富途
#19 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.24%

P25-2.56% Down53.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 6.3% Score83.9 DownOpp0.177
View chart 開富途
#20 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.25%

P25-2.13% Down52.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score50 DownOpp0.157
View chart 開富途
#21 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.16%

P25-1.79% Down51.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 5% Score49.6 DownOpp0.039
View chart 開富途