Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-01 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4417 | 3420 / 997 | 403 | 11.8% | 0.63x | +5.02% | -5.04% |
| Grade F | 10121 | 7603 / 2518 | 1647 | 21.7% | 1.17x | +6.98% | -4.76% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 540 | 394 / 146 | 15% | 0.81x | 0.77x | 20% · 40 checked | +5.12% | -5.83% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 543 | 396 / 147 | 14.9% | 0.8x | 0.77x | 19.5% · 41 checked | +5.12% | -5.81% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 543 | 396 / 147 | 14.9% | 0.8x | 0.77x | 19.5% · 41 checked | +5.12% | -5.81% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 366 | 252 / 114 | 14.3% | 0.77x | 0.75x | 19% · 21 checked | +5.01% | -6.02% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2146 | 1599 / 547 | 14.1% | 0.76x | 0.74x | 16.8% · 155 checked | +5.54% | -4.93% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2152 | 1602 / 550 | 14% | 0.75x | 0.74x | 16.7% · 156 checked | +5.53% | -4.93% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 1475 | 1067 / 408 | 12.9% | 0.69x | 0.68x | 16% · 94 checked | +5.38% | -5.04% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 2115 | 1571 / 544 | 13.6% | 0.73x | 0.72x | 15.8% · 146 checked | +5.24% | -4.92% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 3871 | 2991 / 880 | 14.8% | 0.8x | 0.8x | 14.3% · 293 checked | +5.66% | -4.94% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 144 | 107 / 37 | 14% | 0.75x | 0.75x | 14.3% · 14 checked | +5.51% | -7.82% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 146 | 108 / 38 | 13.9% | 0.75x | 0.74x | 14.3% · 14 checked | +5.53% | -7.85% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 146 | 108 / 38 | 13.9% | 0.75x | 0.74x | 14.3% · 14 checked | +5.53% | -7.85% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 3847 | 2976 / 871 | 14.8% | 0.8x | 0.8x | 14.1% · 290 checked | +5.65% | -4.94% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 947 | 704 / 243 | 14.9% | 0.8x | 0.81x | 14% · 93 checked | +5.51% | -6.14% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 939 | 698 / 241 | 14.9% | 0.8x | 0.81x | 14% · 93 checked | +5.48% | -6.15% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 123 | 95 / 28 | 16 | 16.8% | 0.9x | 0% · 4 checked | +5.20% | -7.32% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 307 | 259 / 48 | 36 | 13.9% | 0.75x | 0% · 8 checked | +5.19% | -6.63% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 3642 | 2792 / 850 | 334 | 12% | 0.65x | 9.4% · 213 checked | +5.27% | -4.83% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 168 | 132 / 36 | 12 | 9.1% | 0.49x | 0% · 5 checked | +4.33% | -6.76% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 14114 | 10685 / 3429 | 2012 | 18.8% | 1.01x | +6.42% | -4.81% |
| Score 90-109 | 406 | 320 / 86 | 36 | 11.3% | 0.61x | +4.91% | -6.08% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 13481 | 10153 / 3328 | 1948 | 19.2% | 1.03x | +6.48% | -4.74% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 73 | 58 / 15 | 11 | 19% | 1.02x | +5.77% | -5.37% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 234 | 201 / 33 | 25 | 12.4% | 0.67x | +5.02% | -7.00% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 750 | 611 / 139 | 66 | 10.8% | 0.58x | +5.07% | -5.77% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 445 | 340 / 105 | 112 | 32.9% | 1.77x | +8.68% | -9.16% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2090 | 1619 / 471 | 381 | 23.5% | 1.26x | +7.26% | -6.30% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7096 | 5487 / 1609 | 957 | 17.4% | 0.94x | +6.22% | -4.55% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4907 | 3577 / 1330 | 600 | 16.8% | 0.9x | +6.00% | -4.23% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 615 | 513 / 102 | 167 | 32.6% | 1.75x | +10.13% | -8.11% |
| Elevated | 4727 | 3892 / 835 | 1114 | 28.6% | 1.54x | +8.07% | -6.02% |
| Medium | 8927 | 6470 / 2457 | 769 | 11.9% | 0.64x | +5.14% | -3.91% |
| Low | 269 | 148 / 121 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.91% | -3.31% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2140 | 1622 / 518 | 606 | 37.4% | 2.01x | +9.89% | -8.43% |
| Energy | 609 | 462 / 147 | 112 | 24.2% | 1.3x | +6.93% | -3.47% |
| Materials | 754 | 572 / 182 | 126 | 22% | 1.18x | +6.62% | -4.26% |
| Communication Services | 641 | 481 / 160 | 103 | 21.4% | 1.15x | +6.73% | -4.94% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1363 | 1034 / 329 | 206 | 19.9% | 1.07x | +6.43% | -4.63% |
| Health Care | 1710 | 1297 / 413 | 239 | 18.4% | 0.99x | +7.18% | -4.10% |
| Industrials | 2318 | 1758 / 560 | 319 | 18.1% | 0.97x | +5.93% | -5.00% |
| Consumer Staples | 1013 | 768 / 245 | 93 | 12.1% | 0.65x | +5.60% | -4.02% |
| Financials | 2202 | 1670 / 532 | 193 | 11.6% | 0.62x | +5.19% | -3.48% |
| Real Estate | 889 | 677 / 212 | 41 | 6.1% | 0.33x | +4.18% | -3.82% |
| Utilities | 899 | 682 / 217 | 12 | 1.8% | 0.1x | +2.70% | -4.30% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.