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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-01

Computed at 2026年9月2日 上午7:46 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 18

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-09-01

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-01
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-01
DOE window 2026-06-30 → 2026-08-27
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月2日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 18
Excluded downtrends 8
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.9

OOS n=781 Median 0.21%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.9

+0.21% OOS median · n=781

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +19.19% ann. net · n=688

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

3 - 3.5 · +0.51% exp · 78D WF

Opp study rows 27,102 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-01

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 51 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-08-27

11 檔
  1. #1 TRV P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.799 開富途
  2. #2 RF P75+3.45% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.784 開富途
  3. #3 C P75+3.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.594 開富途
  4. #4 DOV P75+3.64% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 1.3% Opp3.577 開富途
  5. #5 URI P75+3.55% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.565 開富途
  6. #6 WST P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.564 開富途
  7. #7 HIG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.528 開富途
  8. #8 LLY P75+3.87% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.449 開富途
  9. #9 MPWR P75+7.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn33.8% / 13.8% Opp3.404 開富途
  10. #10 APA P75+4.87% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn23.8% / 8.8% Opp3.303 開富途
  11. #11 WM P75+3.23% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.262 開富途

2026-08-28

8 檔
  1. #1 KMI P75+3.47% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.883 開富途
  2. #2 EW P75+3.04% 上漲比70% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.785 開富途
  3. #3 PNC P75+2.61% 上漲比71.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.597 開富途
  4. #4 SYF P75+3.32% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.557 開富途
  5. #5 CB P75+3.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.456 開富途
  6. #6 TSN P75+3.65% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.412 開富途
  7. #7 AXP P75+3.16% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.326 開富途
  8. #8 GRMN P75+2.91% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.271 開富途

2026-08-31

20 檔
  1. #1 ALL P75+3.43% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.891 開富途
  2. #2 HIG P75+2.95% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.822 開富途
  3. #3 VRTX P75+3.31% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.798 開富途
  4. #4 ROST P75+3.29% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.681 開富途
  5. #5 L P75+2.74% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.639 開富途
  6. #6 GL P75+3.20% 上漲比70% Up/Dn16.3% / 2.5% Opp3.626 開富途
  7. #7 CVS P75+2.77% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.619 開富途
  8. #8 RJF P75+3.25% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.612 開富途
  9. #9 WMT P75+3.43% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.563 開富途
  10. #10 AVGO P75+3.96% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Opp3.545 開富途
  11. #11 BAC P75+3.35% 上漲比65% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.538 開富途
  12. #12 CFG P75+3.60% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.492 開富途
  13. #13 AFL P75+3.32% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.462 開富途
  14. #14 TSN P75+3.63% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.418 開富途
  15. #15 BAX P75+2.69% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.349 開富途
  16. #16 JNJ P75+2.96% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.346 開富途
  17. #17 CAH P75+3.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.252 開富途
  18. #18 STLD P75+4.20% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp3.224 開富途
  19. #19 PNC P75+3.04% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.217 開富途
  20. #20 PFG P75+2.40% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.209 開富途

2026-09-01

18 檔
  1. #1 F P75+3.50% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 2.5% Opp3.889 開富途
  2. #2 C P75+3.24% 上漲比70% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Opp3.853 開富途
  3. #3 CFG P75+3.63% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.793 開富途
  4. #4 AFL P75+3.12% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.72 開富途
  5. #5 GS P75+3.13% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.712 開富途
  6. #6 PFG P75+3.96% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 1.3% Opp3.708 開富途
  7. #7 TROW P75+4.03% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.702 開富途
  8. #8 BNY P75+3.45% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.67 開富途
  9. #9 WMT P75+3.44% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Opp3.634 開富途
  10. #10 CASY P75+3.44% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 3.8% Opp3.56 開富途
  11. #11 LYB P75+3.82% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.3% / 5% Opp3.54 開富途
  12. #12 BEN P75+2.86% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.464 開富途
  13. #13 KLAC P75+4.31% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn21.3% / 7.5% Opp3.461 開富途
  14. #14 MS P75+3.26% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.454 開富途
  15. #15 CSCO P75+4.35% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp3.399 開富途
  16. #16 RJF P75+2.87% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.394 開富途
  17. #17 L P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.315 開富途
  18. #18 AMGN P75+3.31% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.233 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.F P75+3.50% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 2.5% Opp3.889 開富途
  2. #2 US.C P75+3.24% 上漲比70% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Opp3.853 開富途
  3. #3 US.CFG 研究門檻符合 P75+3.63% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.793 開富途
  4. #4 US.AFL 研究門檻符合 P75+3.12% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.72 開富途
  5. #5 US.GS P75+3.13% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.712 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.F Ford Motor Company · Consumer Discretionary

+1.54%

P75+3.50% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 2.5% Score42.6 Opp3.889
View chart 開富途
#2 US.C Citigroup · Financials

+1.02%

P75+3.24% 上漲比70% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Score56.4 Opp3.853
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CFG Citizens Financial Group · Financials

+1.09%

P75+3.63% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Score52.7 Opp3.793
View chart 開富途
#4 US.AFL Aflac · Financials

+0.99%

P75+3.12% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Score59.4 Opp3.72
View chart 開富途
#5 US.GS Goldman Sachs · Financials

+1.10%

P75+3.13% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Score57.3 Opp3.712
View chart 開富途
#6 US.PFG Principal Financial Group · Financials

+1.09%

P75+3.96% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 1.3% Score53.6 Opp3.708
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TROW T. Rowe Price · Financials

+1.05%

P75+4.03% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Score52.6 Opp3.702
View chart 開富途
#8 US.BNY BNY Mellon · Financials

+1.17%

P75+3.45% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Score54.9 Opp3.67
View chart 開富途
#9 US.WMT Walmart · Consumer Staples

+1.26%

P75+3.44% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Score45.6 Opp3.634
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CASY Casey's · Consumer Staples

+1.16%

P75+3.44% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 3.8% Score49.1 Opp3.56
View chart 開富途
#11 US.LYB LyondellBasell · Materials

+1.27%

P75+3.82% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.3% / 5% Score55.4 Opp3.54
View chart 開富途
#12 US.BEN Franklin Resources · Financials

+0.98%

P75+2.86% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score62 Opp3.464
View chart 開富途
#13 US.KLAC KLA Corporation · Information Technology

+1.49%

P75+4.31% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn21.3% / 7.5% Score45.8 Opp3.461
View chart 開富途
#14 US.MS Morgan Stanley · Financials

+0.89%

P75+3.26% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score52.7 Opp3.454
View chart 開富途
#15 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

+1.25%

P75+4.35% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score48.2 Opp3.399
View chart 開富途
#16 US.RJF Raymond James Financial · Financials

+1.00%

P75+2.87% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score60.1 Opp3.394
View chart 開富途
#17 US.L Loews Corporation · Financials

+0.85%

P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Score57.4 Opp3.315
View chart 開富途
#18 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

+0.98%

P75+3.31% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Score62.9 Opp3.233
View chart 開富途