S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.AZO · -1.31% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.31%

Top down rate67.5%

Top P25-2.69%

DOE score2.479

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-1.31%

P25-2.69% Down67.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score50.6 DownOpp3.003

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#2 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.33%

P25-4.46% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score57.9 DownOpp2.661

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#3 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.87%

P25-1.61% Down70% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score52.7 DownOpp2.477

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#4 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.94%

P25-2.78% Down65% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score55.7 DownOpp2.417

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#5 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-1.87%

P25-3.30% Down57.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score59.7 DownOpp2.397

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#6 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-1.63%

P25-4.81% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 22.5% Score50.4 DownOpp2.305

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#7 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-1.09%

P25-4.35% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score69 DownOpp2.16

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#8 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.08%

P25-3.46% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score99.1 DownOpp2.102

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#9 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-1.52%

P25-4.46% Down62.5% Dn/Up520% / 20% Score57.5 DownOpp2.004

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#10 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-1.65%

P25-4.28% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 12.5% Score102.8 DownOpp1.799

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#11 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-0.82%

P25-6.16% Down60% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score92.4 DownOpp1.717

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#12 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.67%

P25-2.70% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score51.5 DownOpp1.559

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#13 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.04%

P25-2.50% Down62.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 12.5% Score58 DownOpp1.48

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#14 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-0.70%

P25-1.98% Down60% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score61 DownOpp1.388

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#15 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.93%

P25-4.32% Down52.5% Dn/Up520% / 10% Score46.4 DownOpp1.262

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#16 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.91%

P25-2.48% Down62.5% Dn/Up515% / 15% Score61.8 DownOpp1.167

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#17 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.56%

P25-3.19% Down55% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score53.4 DownOpp0.907

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#18 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.07%

P25-5.26% Down55% Dn/Up527.5% / 25% Score69.7 DownOpp0.762

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#19 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.64%

P25-2.80% Down57.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 12.5% Score60.6 DownOpp0.735

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#20 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.23%

P25-1.27% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score69 DownOpp0.68

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#21 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-1.00%

P25-3.79% Down55% Dn/Up520% / 15% Score103.8 DownOpp0.669

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#22 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.29%

P25-2.33% Down52.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score69.1 DownOpp0.404

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#23 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.08% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 10% Score55 DownOpp0.347

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#24 US.KMB Kimberly-Clark · Consumer Staples

-0.21%

P25-1.86% Down52.5% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score62.5 DownOpp0.256

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#25 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-0.26%

P25-2.34% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 12.5% Score59.9 DownOpp0.046

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.AZO · -1.31% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking