Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-21 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 5134 | 4474 / 660 | 510 | 11.4% | 0.56x | +5.06% | -5.06% |
| Grade F | 11430 | 9575 / 1855 | 2338 | 24.4% | 1.2x | +7.23% | -4.71% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 159 | 139 / 20 | 15.1% | 0.74x | 0.6x | 37.5% · 16 checked | +5.09% | -8.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 341 | 298 / 43 | 16.8% | 0.83x | 0.7x | 36.4% · 33 checked | +5.46% | -8.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 173 | 149 / 24 | 14.8% | 0.73x | 0.6x | 35.3% · 17 checked | +4.99% | -8.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 173 | 149 / 24 | 14.8% | 0.73x | 0.6x | 35.3% · 17 checked | +4.99% | -8.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 172 | 148 / 24 | 14.9% | 0.73x | 0.6x | 35.3% · 17 checked | +5.02% | -8.69% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 970 | 832 / 138 | 17.7% | 0.87x | 0.81x | 30% · 80 checked | +5.79% | -7.01% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 974 | 834 / 140 | 17.6% | 0.87x | 0.8x | 30% · 80 checked | +5.79% | -7.02% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 730 | 618 / 112 | 17% | 0.84x | 0.77x | 28.8% · 59 checked | +5.84% | -7.26% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 417 | 359 / 58 | 16.2% | 0.8x | 0.7x | 28.9% · 45 checked | +5.38% | -8.31% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 138 | 117 / 21 | 12.8% | 0.63x | 0.53x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +4.64% | -8.76% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 423 | 365 / 58 | 16.2% | 0.8x | 0.71x | 28.3% · 46 checked | +5.39% | -8.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 421 | 364 / 57 | 16.2% | 0.8x | 0.71x | 28.3% · 46 checked | +5.41% | -8.35% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 83 | 73 / 10 | 17.8% | 0.88x | 0.79x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +6.24% | -5.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 319 | 266 / 53 | 13.9% | 0.68x | 0.61x | 26.7% · 30 checked | +5.05% | -8.16% |
| Money flow >= 16 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 199 | 155 / 44 | 18.7% | 0.92x | 0.88x | 25% · 20 checked | +6.09% | -7.19% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 173 | 149 / 24 | 22 | 14.8% | 0.73x | 35.3% · 17 checked | +4.99% | -8.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 449 | 402 / 47 | 52 | 12.9% | 0.64x | 20% · 40 checked | +5.04% | -7.05% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4295 | 3714 / 581 | 443 | 11.9% | 0.59x | 16% · 331 checked | +5.18% | -5.12% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 239 | 207 / 32 | 23 | 11.1% | 0.55x | 15.8% · 19 checked | +4.49% | -7.36% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15993 | 13552 / 2441 | 2798 | 20.6% | 1.01x | +6.61% | -4.76% |
| Score 90-109 | 552 | 478 / 74 | 48 | 10% | 0.49x | +4.63% | -6.57% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 15002 | 12657 / 2345 | 2685 | 21.2% | 1.04x | +6.70% | -4.69% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 78 | 66 / 12 | 14 | 21.2% | 1.04x | +5.48% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 371 | 336 / 35 | 38 | 11.3% | 0.56x | +4.96% | -7.30% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1113 | 990 / 123 | 111 | 11.2% | 0.55x | +5.03% | -5.60% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 572 | 495 / 77 | 166 | 33.5% | 1.65x | +8.67% | -10.33% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2595 | 2255 / 340 | 554 | 24.6% | 1.21x | +7.22% | -6.36% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 8284 | 7104 / 1180 | 1350 | 19% | 0.94x | +6.34% | -4.43% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5113 | 4195 / 918 | 778 | 18.5% | 0.91x | +6.25% | -4.01% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 815 | 683 / 132 | 244 | 35.7% | 1.76x | +9.45% | -8.34% |
| Elevated | 5725 | 4920 / 805 | 1486 | 30.2% | 1.49x | +8.10% | -6.33% |
| Medium | 9750 | 8216 / 1534 | 1113 | 13.5% | 0.67x | +5.44% | -3.69% |
| Low | 274 | 230 / 44 | 5 | 2.2% | 0.11x | +3.40% | -2.78% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2435 | 2065 / 370 | 804 | 38.9% | 1.92x | +9.81% | -8.93% |
| Communication Services | 739 | 624 / 115 | 170 | 27.2% | 1.34x | +7.20% | -5.03% |
| Energy | 693 | 588 / 105 | 150 | 25.5% | 1.26x | +6.98% | -3.57% |
| Health Care | 1945 | 1650 / 295 | 361 | 21.9% | 1.08x | +7.23% | -3.86% |
| Materials | 857 | 727 / 130 | 145 | 19.9% | 0.98x | +6.09% | -4.68% |
| Financials | 2506 | 2126 / 380 | 402 | 18.9% | 0.93x | +6.28% | -3.20% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1551 | 1316 / 235 | 249 | 18.9% | 0.93x | +6.24% | -4.74% |
| Industrials | 2638 | 2238 / 400 | 396 | 17.7% | 0.87x | +6.08% | -4.83% |
| Consumer Staples | 1153 | 979 / 174 | 109 | 11.1% | 0.55x | +5.43% | -3.96% |
| Real Estate | 1024 | 868 / 156 | 47 | 5.4% | 0.27x | +4.15% | -3.87% |
| Utilities | 1023 | 868 / 155 | 15 | 1.7% | 0.08x | +2.91% | -3.69% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.