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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-08-21

Computed at 2026年8月24日 上午7:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 8

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-08-21

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-21
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-21
DOE window 2026-06-23 → 2026-08-18
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月24日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 8
Excluded downtrends 7
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.9

OOS n=735 Median 0.35%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.9

+0.35% OOS median · n=735

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +22.72% ann. net · n=644

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

3 - 3.5 · +0.43% exp · 75D WF

Opp study rows 27,623 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-08-21

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 29 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-08-20

9 檔
  1. #1 GL P75+2.99% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.885 開富途
  2. #2 ROK P75+3.77% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.865 開富途
  3. #3 FITB P75+4.98% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn23.8% / 6.3% Opp3.865 開富途
  4. #4 L P75+3.36% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 3.8% Opp3.751 開富途
  5. #5 GOOG P75+3.07% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Opp3.506 開富途
  6. #6 COO P75+3.70% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 2.5% Opp3.441 開富途
  7. #7 BIIB P75+3.63% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.422 開富途
  8. #8 RL P75+5.48% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn26.3% / 6.3% Opp3.306 開富途
  9. #9 UAL P75+4.89% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn23.8% / 10% Opp3.277 開富途

2026-08-21

8 檔
  1. #1 UAL P75+4.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.888 開富途
  2. #2 BAC P75+2.87% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.799 開富途
  3. #3 MCK P75+2.52% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.764 開富途
  4. #4 DAL P75+3.48% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.701 開富途
  5. #5 LRCX P75+5.80% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Opp3.677 開富途
  6. #6 UPS P75+3.75% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.508 開富途
  7. #7 PPG P75+2.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.246 開富途
  8. #8 FTV P75+3.01% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.239 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.UAL 研究門檻符合 P75+4.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.888 開富途
  2. #2 US.BAC P75+2.87% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.799 開富途
  3. #3 US.MCK P75+2.52% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.764 開富途
  4. #4 US.DAL P75+3.48% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.701 開富途
  5. #5 US.LRCX P75+5.80% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Opp3.677 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.UAL United Airlines Holdings · Industrials

+1.55%

P75+4.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score47.1 Opp3.888
View chart 開富途
#2 US.BAC Bank of America · Financials

+1.17%

P75+2.87% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score61.5 Opp3.799
View chart 開富途
#3 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

+1.90%

P75+2.52% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score71.2 Opp3.764
View chart 開富途
#4 US.DAL Delta Air Lines · Industrials

+1.21%

P75+3.48% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score56.1 Opp3.701
View chart 開富途
#5 US.LRCX Lam Research · Information Technology

+1.46%

P75+5.80% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Score62.2 Opp3.677
View chart 開富途
#6 US.UPS United Parcel Service · Industrials

+1.15%

P75+3.75% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score49.4 Opp3.508
View chart 開富途
#7 US.PPG PPG Industries · Materials

+0.91%

P75+2.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score48.8 Opp3.246
View chart 開富途
#8 US.FTV Fortive · Industrials

+0.97%

P75+3.01% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score55.5 Opp3.239
View chart 開富途