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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-19
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-19
DOE window 2026-06-18 → 2026-08-10
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月20日 上午7:49 HKT
Rows 33
Excluded uptrends 380

Downside ranking

US.CPRT · -1.46% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.46%
Top down rate67.5%
Top P25-2.91%
DOE score2.492

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.46%

P25-2.91% Down67.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score97.2 DownOpp2.631
View chart 開富途
#2 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-1.24%

P25-3.00% Down61.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 1.3% Score84.4 DownOpp2.183
View chart 開富途
#3 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-1.18%

P25-3.13% Down63.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 12.5% Score62.6 DownOpp1.847
View chart 開富途
#4 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.27%

P25-5.97% Down55% Dn/Up526.3% / 20% Score65 DownOpp1.475
View chart 開富途
#5 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.85%

P25-2.78% Down61.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score90.3 DownOpp1.322
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.54%

P25-2.40% Down61.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score73 DownOpp1.269
View chart 開富途
#7 US.PEP PepsiCo · Consumer Staples

-0.68%

P25-2.93% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score65.6 DownOpp1.221
View chart 開富途
#8 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.78%

P25-2.17% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score62.9 DownOpp1.151
View chart 開富途
#9 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.58%

P25-2.51% Down58.8% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score53.9 DownOpp1.057
View chart 開富途
#10 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.45%

P25-3.47% Down57.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score80.7 DownOpp1.012
View chart 開富途
#11 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.63%

P25-2.76% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score90.4 DownOpp0.992
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.59%

P25-2.41% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.8% Score73.5 DownOpp0.917
View chart 開富途
#13 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.64%

P25-3.16% Down52.5% Dn/Up515% / 3.8% Score66.6 DownOpp0.903
View chart 開富途
#14 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.32%

P25-3.21% Down56.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 1.3% Score87 DownOpp0.896
View chart 開富途
#15 US.MCO Moody's Corporation · Financials

-0.73%

P25-2.10% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score99.2 DownOpp0.861
View chart 開富途
#16 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.81%

P25-3.85% Down56.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 10% Score109.1 DownOpp0.858
View chart 開富途
#17 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-1.86% Down57.5% Dn/Up51.3% / 3.8% Score50.8 DownOpp0.836
View chart 開富途
#18 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.70%

P25-2.82% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 10% Score68.8 DownOpp0.793
View chart 開富途
#19 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.28%

P25-1.55% Down56.3% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score61.6 DownOpp0.709
View chart 開富途
#20 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-0.74%

P25-4.76% Down55% Dn/Up523.8% / 21.3% Score57.1 DownOpp0.624
View chart 開富途
#21 US.EQT EQT Corporation · Energy

-0.45%

P25-2.79% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 11.3% Score66.3 DownOpp0.572
View chart 開富途
#22 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-0.75%

P25-4.42% Down55% Dn/Up517.5% / 22.5% Score57.4 DownOpp0.475
View chart 開富途
#23 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.30%

P25-2.13% Down53.8% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score80.8 DownOpp0.452
View chart 開富途
#24 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.19%

P25-2.05% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score60.9 DownOpp0.45
View chart 開富途
#25 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-0.52%

P25-4.16% Down53.8% Dn/Up523.8% / 13.8% Score84.5 DownOpp0.402
View chart 開富途
#26 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.23%

P25-2.70% Down53.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 6.3% Score61.1 DownOpp0.373
View chart 開富途
#27 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.31%

P25-2.04% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score56.8 DownOpp0.344
View chart 開富途
#28 US.KMB Kimberly-Clark · Consumer Staples

-0.30%

P25-2.41% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score62.3 DownOpp0.335
View chart 開富途
#29 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-0.69%

P25-2.81% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 15% Score80.8 DownOpp0.287
View chart 開富途
#30 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.12%

P25-3.72% Down52.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 6.3% Score79.5 DownOpp0.276
View chart 開富途
#31 US.ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities · Real Estate

-0.04%

P25-3.19% Down50% Dn/Up513.8% / 2.5% Score63.2 DownOpp0.214
View chart 開富途
#32 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-0.16%

P25-4.36% Down52.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 10% Score96.7 DownOpp0.125
View chart 開富途
#33 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.13%

P25-1.97% Down52.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score83.4 DownOpp0.047
View chart 開富途