Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-19 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4990 | 4466 / 524 | 513 | 11.5% | 0.57x | +5.08% | -5.06% |
| Grade F | 11070 | 9582 / 1488 | 2335 | 24.4% | 1.2x | +7.22% | -4.70% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 554 | 495 / 59 | 33.5% | 1.65x | 1.52x | 50% · 70 checked | +8.67% | -10.33% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 554 | 495 / 59 | 33.5% | 1.65x | 1.52x | 50% · 70 checked | +8.67% | -10.33% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 93 | 84 / 9 | 21.4% | 1.05x | 0.87x | 50% · 10 checked | +6.12% | -14.19% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 14 + Risk not High | 35 | 32 / 3 | 25% | 1.23x | 0.67x | 50% · 10 checked | +5.16% | -5.97% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Risk not High | 54 | 50 / 4 | 22% | 1.08x | 0.55x | 50% · 14 checked | +5.16% | -5.77% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 69 | 63 / 6 | 22.2% | 1.09x | 0.64x | 47.1% · 17 checked | +5.56% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 71 | 65 / 6 | 21.5% | 1.06x | 0.62x | 47.1% · 17 checked | +5.49% | -5.79% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 + Risk not High | 71 | 65 / 6 | 21.5% | 1.06x | 0.62x | 47.1% · 17 checked | +5.49% | -5.79% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Risk not High | 71 | 65 / 6 | 21.5% | 1.06x | 0.62x | 47.1% · 17 checked | +5.49% | -5.79% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 123 | 109 / 14 | 22.9% | 1.13x | 0.94x | 46.7% · 15 checked | +6.05% | -13.52% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 123 | 109 / 14 | 22.9% | 1.13x | 0.94x | 46.7% · 15 checked | +6.05% | -13.52% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 53 | 49 / 4 | 22.4% | 1.1x | 0.58x | 46.7% · 15 checked | +5.22% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 | 55 | 51 / 4 | 21.6% | 1.06x | 0.55x | 46.7% · 15 checked | +5.15% | -5.79% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 | 55 | 51 / 4 | 21.6% | 1.06x | 0.55x | 46.7% · 15 checked | +5.15% | -5.79% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 | 55 | 51 / 4 | 21.6% | 1.06x | 0.55x | 46.7% · 15 checked | +5.15% | -5.79% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 166 | 149 / 17 | 22 | 14.8% | 0.73x | 36% · 25 checked | +4.99% | -8.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 437 | 402 / 35 | 52 | 12.9% | 0.64x | 23% · 61 checked | +5.04% | -7.05% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4174 | 3714 / 460 | 443 | 11.9% | 0.59x | 18.1% · 624 checked | +5.18% | -5.12% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 232 | 207 / 25 | 23 | 11.1% | 0.55x | 22.6% · 31 checked | +4.49% | -7.36% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15509 | 13551 / 1958 | 2798 | 20.6% | 1.01x | +6.61% | -4.75% |
| Score 90-109 | 532 | 478 / 54 | 48 | 10% | 0.49x | +4.63% | -6.57% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14527 | 12656 / 1871 | 2685 | 21.2% | 1.04x | +6.70% | -4.68% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 72 | 66 / 6 | 14 | 21.2% | 1.04x | +5.48% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 365 | 336 / 29 | 38 | 11.3% | 0.56x | +4.96% | -7.30% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1096 | 990 / 106 | 111 | 11.2% | 0.55x | +5.03% | -5.60% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 554 | 495 / 59 | 166 | 33.5% | 1.65x | +8.67% | -10.33% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2525 | 2255 / 270 | 554 | 24.6% | 1.21x | +7.22% | -6.36% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 8018 | 7104 / 914 | 1350 | 19% | 0.94x | +6.34% | -4.43% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4963 | 4194 / 769 | 778 | 18.6% | 0.92x | +6.26% | -3.98% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 793 | 683 / 110 | 244 | 35.7% | 1.76x | +9.45% | -8.34% |
| Elevated | 5593 | 4920 / 673 | 1486 | 30.2% | 1.49x | +8.10% | -6.33% |
| Medium | 9413 | 8215 / 1198 | 1113 | 13.5% | 0.67x | +5.44% | -3.67% |
| Low | 261 | 230 / 31 | 5 | 2.2% | 0.11x | +3.40% | -2.78% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2361 | 2065 / 296 | 804 | 38.9% | 1.92x | +9.81% | -8.93% |
| Communication Services | 717 | 624 / 93 | 170 | 27.2% | 1.34x | +7.20% | -5.03% |
| Energy | 672 | 588 / 84 | 150 | 25.5% | 1.26x | +6.98% | -3.57% |
| Health Care | 1886 | 1650 / 236 | 361 | 21.9% | 1.08x | +7.23% | -3.86% |
| Materials | 831 | 727 / 104 | 145 | 19.9% | 0.98x | +6.09% | -4.68% |
| Financials | 2430 | 2126 / 304 | 402 | 18.9% | 0.93x | +6.28% | -3.20% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1504 | 1316 / 188 | 249 | 18.9% | 0.93x | +6.24% | -4.74% |
| Industrials | 2558 | 2238 / 320 | 396 | 17.7% | 0.87x | +6.08% | -4.83% |
| Consumer Staples | 1118 | 979 / 139 | 109 | 11.1% | 0.55x | +5.43% | -3.96% |
| Real Estate | 991 | 867 / 124 | 47 | 5.4% | 0.27x | +4.15% | -3.73% |
| Utilities | 992 | 868 / 124 | 15 | 1.7% | 0.08x | +2.91% | -3.69% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.