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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-14
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-14
DOE window 2026-06-18 → 2026-08-10
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月17日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 35
Excluded uptrends 369

Downside ranking

US.ORCL · -1.74% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.74%
Top down rate62.5%
Top P25-5.43%
DOE score2.511

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-1.74%

P25-5.43% Down62.5% Dn/Up526.3% / 12.5% Score61.2 DownOpp2.889
View chart 開富途
#2 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-1.30%

P25-2.82% Down67.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score81.9 DownOpp2.791
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.46%

P25-2.91% Down67.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score96 DownOpp2.64
View chart 開富途
#4 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-1.42%

P25-3.96% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score66 DownOpp2.265
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-1.93%

P25-4.57% Down58.8% Dn/Up522.5% / 18.8% Score58.4 DownOpp2.21
View chart 開富途
#6 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.64%

P25-4.75% Down61.3% Dn/Up523.8% / 21.3% Score49.2 DownOpp2.084
View chart 開富途
#7 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-1.25%

P25-3.45% Down60% Dn/Up513.8% / 6.3% Score64 DownOpp2.054
View chart 開富途
#8 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.94%

P25-2.78% Down61.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 1.3% Score67.3 DownOpp1.956
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-1.25%

P25-3.73% Down58.8% Dn/Up516.3% / 7.5% Score66.8 DownOpp1.935
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-1.21%

P25-4.69% Down58.8% Dn/Up525% / 11.3% Score65.4 DownOpp1.918
View chart 開富途
#11 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.95%

P25-2.49% Down60% Dn/Up51.3% / 2.5% Score69.9 DownOpp1.698
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.10%

P25-2.83% Down61.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 12.5% Score67.1 DownOpp1.458
View chart 開富途
#13 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.42%

P25-2.77% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 0% Score68.1 DownOpp1.106
View chart 開富途
#14 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-0.79%

P25-4.30% Down56.3% Dn/Up522.5% / 15% Score60.5 DownOpp1.015
View chart 開富途
#15 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-0.95%

P25-4.64% Down55% Dn/Up525% / 17.5% Score68.4 DownOpp0.947
View chart 開富途
#16 US.MSI Motorola Solutions · Information Technology

-0.38%

P25-2.88% Down58.8% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score62.3 DownOpp0.887
View chart 開富途
#17 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.46%

P25-3.07% Down58.8% Dn/Up512.5% / 11.3% Score59.7 DownOpp0.806
View chart 開富途
#18 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-0.76%

P25-3.30% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 13.8% Score74.1 DownOpp0.801
View chart 開富途
#19 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.37%

P25-3.64% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 8.8% Score75.4 DownOpp0.786
View chart 開富途
#20 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-0.66%

P25-3.79% Down56.3% Dn/Up518.8% / 15% Score64.2 DownOpp0.73
View chart 開富途
#21 US.CCI Crown Castle · Real Estate

-0.88%

P25-3.21% Down52.5% Dn/Up515% / 12.5% Score55.9 DownOpp0.713
View chart 開富途
#22 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.29%

P25-2.56% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score67.1 DownOpp0.703
View chart 開富途
#23 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.35%

P25-1.79% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.8% Score67.1 DownOpp0.666
View chart 開富途
#24 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.32%

P25-2.33% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score84.2 DownOpp0.593
View chart 開富途
#25 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.44%

P25-2.53% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score71.9 DownOpp0.437
View chart 開富途
#26 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.34%

P25-2.07% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score63.4 DownOpp0.382
View chart 開富途
#27 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.25%

P25-3.30% Down52.5% Dn/Up516.3% / 10% Score53.1 DownOpp0.277
View chart 開富途
#28 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-0.27%

P25-4.20% Down53.8% Dn/Up523.8% / 15% Score63.4 DownOpp0.249
View chart 開富途
#29 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.28%

P25-2.10% Down52.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 5% Score61.5 DownOpp0.244
View chart 開富途
#30 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.16%

P25-0.94% Down53.8% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score60.7 DownOpp0.244
View chart 開富途
#31 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.03% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 7.5% Score55.4 DownOpp0.186
View chart 開富途
#32 US.NOC Northrop Grumman · Industrials

-0.24%

P25-1.86% Down51.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 1.3% Score77.2 DownOpp0.152
View chart 開富途
#33 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.29% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 8.8% Score57.2 DownOpp0.139
View chart 開富途
#34 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.05%

P25-3.33% Down52.5% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score66.9 DownOpp0.131
View chart 開富途
#35 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.01%

P25-2.30% Down51.3% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score66 DownOpp0.044
View chart 開富途