Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-14 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 5247 | 4705 / 542 | 594 | 12.6% | 0.61x | +5.41% | -4.99% |
| Grade F | 11321 | 10355 / 966 | 2534 | 24.5% | 1.18x | +7.23% | -4.89% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 601 | 551 / 50 | 34.5% | 1.66x | 1.36x | 80.3% · 66 checked | +8.62% | -10.58% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 601 | 551 / 50 | 34.5% | 1.66x | 1.36x | 80.3% · 66 checked | +8.62% | -10.58% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 346 | 311 / 35 | 28.6% | 1.38x | 1.31x | 52.9% · 17 checked | +7.33% | -12.10% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 346 | 311 / 35 | 28.6% | 1.38x | 1.31x | 52.9% · 17 checked | +7.33% | -12.10% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3333 | 3045 / 288 | 26.7% | 1.28x | 1.18x | 40% · 438 checked | +7.65% | -7.33% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3298 | 3012 / 286 | 26.6% | 1.28x | 1.17x | 39.7% · 436 checked | +7.64% | -7.27% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 44 | 39 / 5 | 23.1% | 1.11x | 0.89x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +6.11% | -5.99% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 24 | 23 | 21 / 2 | 14.3% | 0.69x | 0x | 30% · 10 checked | +5.55% | -5.53% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 24 + Risk not High | 23 | 21 / 2 | 14.3% | 0.69x | 0x | 30% · 10 checked | +5.55% | -5.53% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 74 | 65 / 9 | 16.9% | 0.81x | 0.66x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +5.04% | -5.68% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 74 | 65 / 9 | 16.9% | 0.81x | 0.66x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +5.04% | -5.68% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 85 | 72 / 13 | 19.4% | 0.93x | 0.67x | 27.6% · 29 checked | +6.60% | -5.88% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 39 | 34 / 5 | 29.4% | 1.41x | 1.52x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +6.77% | -7.39% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 39 | 34 / 5 | 29.4% | 1.41x | 1.52x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +6.77% | -7.39% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 39 | 34 / 5 | 29.4% | 1.41x | 1.52x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +6.77% | -7.39% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 179 | 156 / 23 | 30 | 19.2% | 0.92x | 19.4% · 36 checked | +5.86% | -9.08% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 462 | 408 / 54 | 65 | 15.9% | 0.76x | 18.5% · 119 checked | +5.73% | -7.19% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 245 | 214 / 31 | 30 | 14% | 0.67x | 10.2% · 59 checked | +5.38% | -7.33% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4437 | 3965 / 472 | 514 | 13% | 0.63x | 14.8% · 610 checked | +5.44% | -5.11% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15995 | 14567 / 1428 | 3064 | 21% | 1.01x | +6.71% | -4.86% |
| Score 90-109 | 554 | 476 / 78 | 63 | 13.2% | 0.63x | +5.21% | -6.80% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 77 | 66 / 11 | 16 | 24.2% | 1.16x | +6.86% | -6.54% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14952 | 13643 / 1309 | 2926 | 21.4% | 1.03x | +6.78% | -4.80% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 385 | 342 / 43 | 49 | 14.3% | 0.69x | +5.51% | -7.32% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1154 | 1009 / 145 | 137 | 13.6% | 0.65x | +5.45% | -5.69% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 601 | 551 / 50 | 190 | 34.5% | 1.66x | +8.62% | -10.58% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2732 | 2494 / 238 | 624 | 25% | 1.2x | +7.43% | -6.61% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4844 | 4405 / 439 | 854 | 19.4% | 0.93x | +6.50% | -3.93% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 8391 | 7610 / 781 | 1460 | 19.2% | 0.92x | +6.36% | -4.54% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 839 | 756 / 83 | 272 | 36% | 1.73x | +9.22% | -8.52% |
| Elevated | 5756 | 5169 / 587 | 1630 | 31.5% | 1.51x | +8.26% | -6.67% |
| Medium | 9674 | 8850 / 824 | 1210 | 13.7% | 0.66x | +5.60% | -3.66% |
| Low | 299 | 285 / 14 | 16 | 5.6% | 0.27x | +3.89% | -2.76% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2435 | 2213 / 222 | 866 | 39.1% | 1.88x | +9.79% | -9.32% |
| Communication Services | 743 | 674 / 69 | 176 | 26.1% | 1.25x | +6.89% | -5.39% |
| Health Care | 1945 | 1769 / 176 | 431 | 24.4% | 1.17x | +7.48% | -3.86% |
| Energy | 693 | 630 / 63 | 142 | 22.5% | 1.08x | +6.40% | -3.85% |
| Materials | 857 | 779 / 78 | 155 | 19.9% | 0.96x | +6.39% | -4.74% |
| Financials | 2506 | 2278 / 228 | 448 | 19.7% | 0.95x | +6.46% | -3.37% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1551 | 1410 / 141 | 264 | 18.7% | 0.9x | +6.26% | -4.84% |
| Industrials | 2638 | 2398 / 240 | 446 | 18.6% | 0.89x | +6.47% | -4.73% |
| Consumer Staples | 1154 | 1049 / 105 | 125 | 11.9% | 0.57x | +5.32% | -4.12% |
| Real Estate | 1023 | 930 / 93 | 55 | 5.9% | 0.28x | +4.42% | -3.75% |
| Utilities | 1023 | 930 / 93 | 20 | 2.2% | 0.11x | +3.27% | -3.49% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.