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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-12
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-12
DOE window 2026-06-17 → 2026-08-05
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月13日 上午7:51 HKT
Rows 37
Excluded uptrends 361

Downside ranking

US.ORCL · -1.55% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.55%
Top down rate65%
Top P25-5.80%
DOE score2.587

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-1.55%

P25-5.80% Down65% Dn/Up528.8% / 8.8% Score86.7 DownOpp3.022
View chart 開富途
#2 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-1.73%

P25-4.88% Down63.8% Dn/Up525% / 13.8% Score59.9 DownOpp2.777
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-2.01%

P25-4.72% Down63.8% Dn/Up523.8% / 21.3% Score52.6 DownOpp2.621
View chart 開富途
#4 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.08%

P25-6.74% Down61.3% Dn/Up530% / 15% Score64.4 DownOpp2.286
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.13%

P25-3.90% Down62.5% Dn/Up518.8% / 3.8% Score83.9 DownOpp2.248
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-1.20%

P25-2.91% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score70.8 DownOpp1.746
View chart 開富途
#7 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-1.04%

P25-3.34% Down58.8% Dn/Up513.8% / 7.5% Score67 DownOpp1.626
View chart 開富途
#8 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.76%

P25-2.58% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.3% Score71.8 DownOpp1.589
View chart 開富途
#9 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-0.79%

P25-6.89% Down56.3% Dn/Up528.8% / 16.3% Score68.1 DownOpp1.528
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-0.28%

P25-6.44% Down52.5% Dn/Up530% / 11.3% Score69.8 DownOpp0.889
View chart 開富途
#11 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.58%

P25-2.24% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score71.6 DownOpp0.853
View chart 開富途
#12 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.54%

P25-4.13% Down56.3% Dn/Up521.3% / 16.3% Score39.7 DownOpp0.801
View chart 開富途
#13 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.50%

P25-2.37% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score57 DownOpp0.791
View chart 開富途
#14 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-1.02%

P25-4.66% Down55% Dn/Up521.3% / 17.5% Score104.2 DownOpp0.754
View chart 開富途
#15 US.LII Lennox International · Industrials

-0.77%

P25-3.79% Down53.8% Dn/Up517.5% / 18.8% Score42.1 DownOpp0.578
View chart 開富途
#16 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.26%

P25-2.61% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 6.3% Score68.8 DownOpp0.522
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.26%

P25-1.79% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.8% Score67.3 DownOpp0.479
View chart 開富途
#18 US.CBRE CBRE Group · Real Estate

-0.37%

P25-2.64% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 8.8% Score58.3 DownOpp0.465
View chart 開富途
#19 US.UBER Uber · Industrials

-0.52%

P25-2.55% Down52.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 3.8% Score89.8 DownOpp0.456
View chart 開富途
#20 US.T AT&T · Communication Services

-0.09%

P25-3.25% Down56.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 7.5% Score67.6 DownOpp0.449
View chart 開富途
#21 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.45%

P25-2.41% Down56.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 10% Score68.6 DownOpp0.442
View chart 開富途
#22 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.27%

P25-1.93% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 7.5% Score64.7 DownOpp0.417
View chart 開富途
#23 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.19%

P25-2.32% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score72.6 DownOpp0.397
View chart 開富途
#24 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.21%

P25-2.06% Down53.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 1.3% Score74 DownOpp0.396
View chart 開富途
#25 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-0.53%

P25-3.33% Down53.8% Dn/Up513.8% / 13.8% Score63.8 DownOpp0.36
View chart 開富途
#26 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.23%

P25-3.09% Down55% Dn/Up516.3% / 7.5% Score80.5 DownOpp0.349
View chart 開富途
#27 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-0.15%

P25-1.44% Down52.5% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score52.1 DownOpp0.319
View chart 開富途
#28 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.18%

P25-1.90% Down51.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 1.3% Score50.2 DownOpp0.304
View chart 開富途
#29 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-0.31%

P25-2.80% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 12.5% Score57.3 DownOpp0.23
View chart 開富途
#30 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-0.27%

P25-4.18% Down52.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 13.8% Score64.5 DownOpp0.203
View chart 開富途
#31 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.07%

P25-2.67% Down51.3% Dn/Up510% / 3.8% Score61.6 DownOpp0.151
View chart 開富途
#32 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-0.60%

P25-4.33% Down53.8% Dn/Up523.8% / 22.5% Score65.2 DownOpp0.148
View chart 開富途
#33 US.MDLZ Mondelez International · Consumer Staples

-0.37%

P25-1.78% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 7.5% Score63.9 DownOpp0.086
View chart 開富途
#34 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.12%

P25-1.89% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score70.3 DownOpp0.069
View chart 開富途
#35 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.31%

P25-2.13% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 11.3% Score67.1 DownOpp0.061
View chart 開富途
#36 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.58%

P25-2.89% Down53.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 16.3% Score81.8 DownOpp0.015
View chart 開富途
#37 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.05%

P25-2.08% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 6.3% Score65.9 DownOpp0.002
View chart 開富途