Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-12 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 5247 | 4367 / 880 | 522 | 12% | 0.59x | +5.31% | -5.09% |
| Grade F | 11321 | 9690 / 1631 | 2358 | 24.3% | 1.19x | +7.18% | -5.00% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 601 | 516 / 85 | 31.6% | 1.54x | 1.34x | 63.8% · 58 checked | +8.26% | -10.97% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 601 | 516 / 85 | 31.6% | 1.54x | 1.34x | 63.8% · 58 checked | +8.26% | -10.97% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3333 | 2845 / 488 | 25.8% | 1.26x | 1.17x | 36.9% · 415 checked | +7.42% | -7.60% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3298 | 2813 / 485 | 25.7% | 1.25x | 1.16x | 36.4% · 412 checked | +7.41% | -7.55% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 346 | 300 / 46 | 28% | 1.37x | 1.35x | 33.3% · 18 checked | +7.29% | -12.35% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 346 | 300 / 46 | 28% | 1.37x | 1.35x | 33.3% · 18 checked | +7.29% | -12.35% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 11724 | 9896 / 1828 | 20.9% | 1.02x | 0.96x | 27.4% · 1455 checked | +6.63% | -5.48% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 44 | 37 / 7 | 21.6% | 1.05x | 0.94x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +6.17% | -5.76% |
| Risk not High | 15729 | 13351 / 2378 | 19.8% | 0.97x | 0.9x | 27.1% · 1936 checked | +6.49% | -4.82% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 11082 | 9351 / 1731 | 20.1% | 0.98x | 0.93x | 26.3% · 1396 checked | +6.49% | -5.25% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 74 | 61 / 13 | 16.4% | 0.8x | 0.7x | 25% · 12 checked | +5.15% | -5.65% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 74 | 61 / 13 | 16.4% | 0.8x | 0.7x | 25% · 12 checked | +5.15% | -5.65% |
| Technical >= 16 | 12577 | 10637 / 1940 | 17.3% | 0.84x | 0.8x | 21.9% · 1507 checked | +6.11% | -4.90% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 85 | 69 / 16 | 18.8% | 0.92x | 0.79x | 21.9% · 32 checked | +6.67% | -5.80% |
| Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 12236 | 10369 / 1867 | 16.9% | 0.82x | 0.79x | 21.5% · 1486 checked | +6.05% | -4.77% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 179 | 148 / 31 | 27 | 18.2% | 0.89x | 10.8% · 37 checked | +5.88% | -9.31% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 462 | 387 / 75 | 59 | 15.2% | 0.74x | 14.7% · 116 checked | +5.69% | -7.36% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 245 | 202 / 43 | 26 | 12.9% | 0.63x | 3.8% · 52 checked | +5.29% | -7.55% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4437 | 3672 / 765 | 454 | 12.4% | 0.6x | 11.9% · 478 checked | +5.34% | -5.24% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15995 | 13594 / 2401 | 2823 | 20.8% | 1.01x | +6.65% | -4.96% |
| Score 90-109 | 554 | 449 / 105 | 57 | 12.7% | 0.62x | +5.14% | -7.03% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 77 | 56 / 21 | 12 | 21.4% | 1.04x | +6.80% | -7.03% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14952 | 12695 / 2257 | 2695 | 21.2% | 1.03x | +6.73% | -4.90% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 385 | 331 / 54 | 47 | 14.2% | 0.69x | +5.51% | -7.42% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1154 | 975 / 179 | 126 | 12.9% | 0.63x | +5.29% | -5.75% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 601 | 516 / 85 | 163 | 31.6% | 1.54x | +8.26% | -10.97% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2732 | 2329 / 403 | 570 | 24.5% | 1.2x | +7.23% | -6.86% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4844 | 4161 / 683 | 814 | 19.6% | 0.96x | +6.53% | -3.94% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 8391 | 7051 / 1340 | 1333 | 18.9% | 0.92x | +6.32% | -4.63% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 839 | 706 / 133 | 240 | 34% | 1.66x | +8.81% | -8.87% |
| Elevated | 5756 | 4795 / 961 | 1469 | 30.6% | 1.49x | +8.05% | -6.91% |
| Medium | 9674 | 8289 / 1385 | 1155 | 13.9% | 0.68x | +5.66% | -3.68% |
| Low | 299 | 267 / 32 | 16 | 6% | 0.29x | +4.02% | -2.69% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2435 | 2065 / 370 | 768 | 37.2% | 1.81x | +9.36% | -9.67% |
| Health Care | 1945 | 1651 / 294 | 407 | 24.7% | 1.2x | +7.48% | -3.88% |
| Communication Services | 743 | 631 / 112 | 154 | 24.4% | 1.19x | +6.63% | -5.55% |
| Energy | 693 | 588 / 105 | 133 | 22.6% | 1.1x | +6.44% | -3.73% |
| Financials | 2506 | 2126 / 380 | 431 | 20.3% | 0.99x | +6.56% | -3.44% |
| Materials | 857 | 727 / 130 | 147 | 20.2% | 0.99x | +6.34% | -4.84% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1551 | 1316 / 235 | 241 | 18.3% | 0.89x | +6.22% | -4.92% |
| Industrials | 2638 | 2238 / 400 | 405 | 18.1% | 0.88x | +6.35% | -4.95% |
| Consumer Staples | 1154 | 979 / 175 | 122 | 12.5% | 0.61x | +5.42% | -4.07% |
| Real Estate | 1023 | 868 / 155 | 52 | 6% | 0.29x | +4.53% | -3.71% |
| Utilities | 1023 | 868 / 155 | 20 | 2.3% | 0.11x | +3.40% | -3.41% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.