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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-07
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-07
DOE window 2026-06-16 → 2026-08-04
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月10日 上午7:45 HKT
Rows 33
Excluded uptrends 366

Downside ranking

US.CTSH · -3.12% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.12%
Top down rate73.8%
Top P25-7.59%
DOE score2.578

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-3.12%

P25-7.59% Down73.8% Dn/Up536.3% / 11.3% Score82.5 DownOpp5.625
View chart 開富途
#2 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-2.80%

P25-7.88% Down70% Dn/Up537.5% / 6.3% Score87 DownOpp5.339
View chart 開富途
#3 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-2.53%

P25-4.52% Down70% Dn/Up521.3% / 12.5% Score52.9 DownOpp4.113
View chart 開富途
#4 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

-2.17%

P25-7.58% Down65% Dn/Up538.8% / 7.5% Score94 DownOpp4.11
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-2.19%

P25-4.43% Down62.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 17.5% Score54.6 DownOpp2.838
View chart 開富途
#6 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.89%

P25-3.86% Down65% Dn/Up518.8% / 1.3% Score85 DownOpp2.34
View chart 開富途
#7 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-1.25%

P25-3.32% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.8% Score102.1 DownOpp1.886
View chart 開富途
#8 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-1.12%

P25-2.83% Down62.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 11.3% Score65.3 DownOpp1.66
View chart 開富途
#9 US.TAP Molson Coors Beverage Company · Consumer Staples

-0.68%

P25-2.38% Down61.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.3% Score68.6 DownOpp1.587
View chart 開富途
#10 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.76%

P25-2.66% Down58.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 1.3% Score66.9 DownOpp1.549
View chart 開富途
#11 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-1.13%

P25-3.28% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 11.3% Score65.3 DownOpp1.382
View chart 開富途
#12 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.93%

P25-3.21% Down58.8% Dn/Up510% / 10% Score68.1 DownOpp1.326
View chart 開富途
#13 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.43%

P25-3.08% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score71.1 DownOpp1.067
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#14 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.38%

P25-3.90% Down56.3% Dn/Up516.3% / 5% Score86.9 DownOpp0.907
View chart 開富途
#15 US.RSG Republic Services · Industrials

-0.61%

P25-1.70% Down60% Dn/Up511.3% / 8.8% Score68.5 DownOpp0.793
View chart 開富途
#16 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.18%

P25-3.69% Down58.8% Dn/Up517.5% / 11.3% Score71.9 DownOpp0.589
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.79%

P25-3.15% Down53.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 13.8% Score64.9 DownOpp0.567
View chart 開富途
#18 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-1.02%

P25-4.58% Down55% Dn/Up522.5% / 26.3% Score69.2 DownOpp0.468
View chart 開富途
#19 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.29%

P25-2.00% Down53.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score65.6 DownOpp0.452
View chart 開富途
#20 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-0.64%

P25-3.75% Down51.3% Dn/Up517.5% / 13.8% Score68 DownOpp0.344
View chart 開富途
#21 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.39%

P25-2.38% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 8.8% Score71.9 DownOpp0.318
View chart 開富途
#22 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.49%

P25-2.22% Down56.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 11.3% Score76.8 DownOpp0.295
View chart 開富途
#23 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.32%

P25-2.47% Down56.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 10% Score74.2 DownOpp0.285
View chart 開富途
#24 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-0.20%

P25-1.94% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score79.4 DownOpp0.261
View chart 開富途
#25 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.33%

P25-2.25% Down53.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 8.8% Score60.9 DownOpp0.212
View chart 開富途
#26 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.49%

P25-4.33% Down53.8% Dn/Up521.3% / 23.8% Score34.6 DownOpp0.189
View chart 開富途
#27 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.04%

P25-2.59% Down51.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score67.1 DownOpp0.138
View chart 開富途
#28 US.SW Smurfit Westrock · Materials

-0.75%

P25-2.86% Down51.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 15% Score71.2 DownOpp0.135
View chart 開富途
#29 US.VICI Vici Properties · Real Estate

-0.08%

P25-1.92% Down52.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score67.1 DownOpp0.107
View chart 開富途
#30 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.12%

P25-3.09% Down52.5% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score75.2 DownOpp0.079
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#31 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.22%

P25-1.84% Down52.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 6.3% Score63.8 DownOpp0.024
View chart 開富途
#32 US.MDLZ Mondelez International · Consumer Staples

-0.08%

P25-2.00% Down52.5% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score70.5 DownOpp0.023
View chart 開富途
#33 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.39%

P25-2.45% Down52.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 11.3% Score67.1 DownOpp0.021
View chart 開富途