歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序;僅供研究覆核,非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP>DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計,不是交易建議;請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-08-07

Computed at 2026年8月10日 上午7:45 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 14

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-08-07

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-07
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-07
DOE window 2026-06-16 → 2026-08-04
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月10日 上午7:45 HKT
Rows 14
Excluded downtrends 7
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.9

OOS n=548 Median 0.86%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.9

+0.86% OOS median · n=548

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +23.73% ann. net · n=572

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

5+ · +0.23% exp · 39D WF

Opp study rows 26,199 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-08-07

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選;列出當日全部入榜標的(非僅 Top 5)。

31 檔(去重) 已參與

2026-08-03

8
  1. #1 CB P75+4.33% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.858 開富途
  2. #2 LLY P75+3.69% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.815 開富途
  3. #3 VLO P75+4.02% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.754 開富途
  4. #4 BIIB P75+4.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.698 開富途
  5. #5 TECH P75+2.97% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.66 開富途
  6. #6 JPM P75+3.65% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.522 開富途
  7. #7 TMO P75+3.66% 上漲比60% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.43 開富途
  8. #8 AXP P75+2.42% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.294 開富途

2026-08-06

8
  1. #1 ESS P75+2.98% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.842 開富途
  2. #2 UNH P75+4.04% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 2.5% Opp3.804 開富途
  3. #3 GWW P75+3.70% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.718 開富途
  4. #4 PRU P75+3.51% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.663 開富途
  5. #5 ETN P75+3.41% 上漲比60% Up/Dn18.8% / 7.5% Opp3.507 開富途
  6. #6 DE P75+3.59% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.497 開富途
  7. #7 JNJ P75+3.79% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.291 開富途
  8. #8 VRTX P75+2.76% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Opp3.239 開富途

2026-08-07

14
  1. #1 DVA P75+4.75% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp3.84 開富途
  2. #2 HON P75+3.11% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.823 開富途
  3. #3 WDC P75+7.27% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn33.8% / 12.5% Opp3.811 開富途
  4. #4 GWW P75+3.76% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.745 開富途
  5. #5 CB P75+3.51% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.715 開富途
  6. #6 EIX P75+4.97% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Opp3.675 開富途
  7. #7 ABBV P75+3.98% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.608 開富途
  8. #8 CVS P75+4.26% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn20% / 1.3% Opp3.6 開富途
  9. #9 VTRS P75+5.66% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30% / 1.3% Opp3.593 開富途
  10. #10 VRTX P75+2.92% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.573 開富途
  11. #11 ALGN P75+5.06% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn26.3% / 2.5% Opp3.549 開富途
  12. #12 DD P75+4.18% 上漲比65% Up/Dn21.3% / 8.8% Opp3.519 開富途
  13. #13 JBHT P75+3.81% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.444 開富途
  14. #14 HUM P75+3.68% 上漲比60% Up/Dn16.3% / 6.3% Opp3.311 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.DVA P75+4.75% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp3.84 開富途
  2. #2 US.HON P75+3.11% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.823 開富途
  3. #3 US.WDC P75+7.27% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn33.8% / 12.5% Opp3.811 開富途
  4. #4 US.GWW P75+3.76% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.745 開富途
  5. #5 US.CB P75+3.51% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.715 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序:歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP>DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.DVA DaVita · Health Care

+1.56%

P75+4.75% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score45.7 Opp3.84
View chart 開富途
#2 US.HON Honeywell · Industrials

+1.36%

P75+3.11% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score61.3 Opp3.823
View chart 開富途
#3 US.WDC Western Digital · Information Technology

+1.28%

P75+7.27% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn33.8% / 12.5% Score47.9 Opp3.811
View chart 開富途
#4 US.GWW W. W. Grainger · Industrials

+1.25%

P75+3.76% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Score43.8 Opp3.745
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CB Chubb Limited · Financials

+1.40%

P75+3.51% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Score62.1 Opp3.715
View chart 開富途
#6 US.EIX Edison International · Utilities

+1.44%

P75+4.97% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Score45.1 Opp3.675
View chart 開富途
#7 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

+1.23%

P75+3.98% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Score44.4 Opp3.608
View chart 開富途
#8 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

+1.36%

P75+4.26% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn20% / 1.3% Score46.5 Opp3.6
View chart 開富途
#9 US.VTRS Viatris · Health Care

+1.03%

P75+5.66% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30% / 1.3% Score56.8 Opp3.593
View chart 開富途
#10 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

+1.39%

P75+2.92% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score70.8 Opp3.573
View chart 開富途
#11 US.ALGN Align Technology · Health Care

+1.03%

P75+5.06% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn26.3% / 2.5% Score53.9 Opp3.549
View chart 開富途
#12 US.DD DuPont · Materials

+1.31%

P75+4.18% 上漲比65% Up/Dn21.3% / 8.8% Score65.6 Opp3.519
View chart 開富途
#13 US.JBHT J.B. Hunt · Industrials

+1.29%

P75+3.81% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score46.9 Opp3.444
View chart 開富途
#14 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+1.50%

P75+3.68% 上漲比60% Up/Dn16.3% / 6.3% Score62.6 Opp3.311
View chart 開富途