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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-06
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-06
DOE window 2026-06-15 → 2026-07-31
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月7日 上午7:48 HKT
Rows 34
Excluded uptrends 362

Downside ranking

US.Q · -2.34% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-2.34%
Top down rate65%
Top P25-4.72%
DOE score2.557

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-2.34%

P25-4.72% Down65% Dn/Up523.8% / 17.5% Score56.3 DownOpp3.248
View chart 開富途
#2 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.73%

P25-7.28% Down62.5% Dn/Up533.8% / 11.3% Score93.2 DownOpp3.173
View chart 開富途
#3 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-2.25%

P25-6.36% Down61.3% Dn/Up531.3% / 17.5% Score81.8 DownOpp3.081
View chart 開富途
#4 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-1.93%

P25-4.74% Down63.8% Dn/Up525% / 13.8% Score61.3 DownOpp2.931
View chart 開富途
#5 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-1.89%

P25-4.57% Down62.5% Dn/Up523.8% / 18.8% Score45.9 DownOpp2.56
View chart 開富途
#6 US.TAP Molson Coors Beverage Company · Consumer Staples

-1.23%

P25-3.01% Down61.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 1.3% Score72.9 DownOpp2.262
View chart 開富途
#7 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-1.00%

P25-4.40% Down61.3% Dn/Up522.5% / 1.3% Score93.8 DownOpp2.223
View chart 開富途
#8 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-1.27%

P25-4.49% Down61.3% Dn/Up518.8% / 11.3% Score60.3 DownOpp2.166
View chart 開富途
#9 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.46%

P25-4.85% Down60% Dn/Up523.8% / 20% Score37.4 DownOpp1.992
View chart 開富途
#10 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.67%

P25-3.25% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score65.5 DownOpp1.713
View chart 開富途
#11 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.75%

P25-2.71% Down60% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score64.3 DownOpp1.667
View chart 開富途
#12 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.65%

P25-3.74% Down61.3% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score83.7 DownOpp1.561
View chart 開富途
#13 US.NOC Northrop Grumman · Industrials

-0.58%

P25-2.21% Down62.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.3% Score84.7 DownOpp1.419
View chart 開富途
#14 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.32%

P25-4.36% Down60% Dn/Up521.3% / 26.3% Score49.5 DownOpp1.261
View chart 開富途
#15 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-0.64%

P25-4.44% Down56.3% Dn/Up523.8% / 10% Score65.7 DownOpp1.161
View chart 開富途
#16 US.NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-2.68% Down58.8% Dn/Up510% / 11.3% Score55.7 DownOpp0.898
View chart 開富途
#17 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-0.96%

P25-4.97% Down55% Dn/Up525% / 20% Score69.5 DownOpp0.881
View chart 開富途
#18 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.32%

P25-4.05% Down55% Dn/Up516.3% / 5% Score80.8 DownOpp0.826
View chart 開富途
#19 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.55%

P25-2.96% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 8.8% Score78.5 DownOpp0.773
View chart 開富途
#20 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.43%

P25-2.57% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.8% Score93.8 DownOpp0.741
View chart 開富途
#21 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-2.07% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score62.3 DownOpp0.49
View chart 開富途
#22 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-0.84%

P25-4.01% Down52.5% Dn/Up520% / 17.5% Score69.6 DownOpp0.471
View chart 開富途
#23 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.49%

P25-2.25% Down56.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 10% Score67.9 DownOpp0.447
View chart 開富途
#24 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.42%

P25-1.89% Down53.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 3.8% Score70.9 DownOpp0.437
View chart 開富途
#25 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.43%

P25-2.25% Down55% Dn/Up513.8% / 5% Score91.7 DownOpp0.405
View chart 開富途
#26 US.CBRE CBRE Group · Real Estate

-0.15%

P25-1.95% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score65.7 DownOpp0.395
View chart 開富途
#27 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-0.62%

P25-3.99% Down52.5% Dn/Up518.8% / 16.3% Score66.7 DownOpp0.339
View chart 開富途
#28 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.75%

P25-3.65% Down51.3% Dn/Up510% / 12.5% Score100.3 DownOpp0.264
View chart 開富途
#29 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.30%

P25-1.94% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score64.2 DownOpp0.254
View chart 開富途
#30 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.16%

P25-2.50% Down53.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score58.7 DownOpp0.199
View chart 開富途
#31 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.28%

P25-2.47% Down51.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 5% Score71.3 DownOpp0.167
View chart 開富途
#32 US.T AT&T · Communication Services

-0.05%

P25-2.48% Down52.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 3.8% Score65.5 DownOpp0.151
View chart 開富途
#33 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.34%

P25-1.66% Down52.5% Dn/Up50% / 5% Score70.1 DownOpp0.129
View chart 開富途
#34 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-0.47%

P25-2.37% Down56.3% Dn/Up510% / 16.3% Score65.5 DownOpp0.097
View chart 開富途