Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-06 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 5851 | 4561 / 1290 | 559 | 12.3% | 0.62x | +5.47% | -4.92% |
| Grade F | 12729 | 10501 / 2228 | 2413 | 23% | 1.17x | +7.12% | -5.07% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 200 | 180 / 20 | 35.6% | 1.81x | 1.82x | 33.3% · 18 checked | +9.74% | -11.92% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 673 | 557 / 116 | 29.4% | 1.49x | 1.48x | 32.1% · 53 checked | +8.07% | -10.82% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 672 | 556 / 116 | 29.5% | 1.5x | 1.48x | 32.1% · 53 checked | +8.07% | -10.81% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 201 | 181 / 20 | 35.4% | 1.8x | 1.82x | 31.6% · 19 checked | +9.73% | -11.91% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 201 | 181 / 20 | 35.4% | 1.8x | 1.82x | 31.6% · 19 checked | +9.73% | -11.91% |
| Risk not High | 17656 | 14283 / 3373 | 19% | 0.96x | 0.87x | 30.5% · 1919 checked | +6.51% | -4.81% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3709 | 2973 / 736 | 26% | 1.32x | 1.29x | 29.7% · 330 checked | +7.46% | -7.66% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 13095 | 10487 / 2608 | 20.5% | 1.04x | 0.97x | 29.6% · 1305 checked | +6.64% | -5.48% |
| Technical >= 16 | 14095 | 11389 / 2706 | 17.3% | 0.88x | 0.79x | 29.5% · 1472 checked | +6.24% | -4.82% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3671 | 2940 / 731 | 25.9% | 1.31x | 1.29x | 28.9% · 325 checked | +7.46% | -7.59% |
| Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 13697 | 11055 / 2642 | 16.9% | 0.86x | 0.76x | 28.9% · 1450 checked | +6.17% | -4.68% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 12379 | 9887 / 2492 | 19.8% | 1.01x | 0.94x | 28.7% · 1242 checked | +6.51% | -5.24% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 504 | 407 / 97 | 24.1% | 1.22x | 1.21x | 28.6% · 21 checked | +7.20% | -7.31% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 728 | 583 / 145 | 26.9% | 1.37x | 1.36x | 28.3% · 46 checked | +7.78% | -6.92% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 729 | 583 / 146 | 26.9% | 1.37x | 1.36x | 28.3% · 46 checked | +7.78% | -6.92% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 185 | 128 / 57 | 29 | 22.7% | 1.15x | 11.1% · 9 checked | +6.55% | -9.68% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 492 | 324 / 168 | 53 | 16.4% | 0.83x | 4.3% · 23 checked | +5.80% | -7.08% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 254 | 174 / 80 | 26 | 14.9% | 0.76x | 0% · 8 checked | +5.54% | -7.39% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4867 | 3828 / 1039 | 481 | 12.6% | 0.64x | 19.5% · 343 checked | +5.49% | -5.09% |
| Total score >= 110 + risk not High | 20 | 11 / 9 | 0 | 0% | 0x | 0% · 4 checked | +3.80% | -4.61% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 17977 | 14661 / 3316 | 2921 | 19.9% | 1.01x | +6.66% | -4.98% |
| Score 90-109 | 583 | 390 / 193 | 51 | 13.1% | 0.66x | +5.22% | -6.75% |
| Score 110-129 | 20 | 11 / 9 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +3.80% | -4.61% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 76 | 35 / 41 | 9 | 25.7% | 1.3x | +7.87% | -7.59% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 16805 | 13730 / 3075 | 2792 | 20.3% | 1.03x | +6.73% | -4.93% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 416 | 289 / 127 | 44 | 15.2% | 0.77x | +5.55% | -7.01% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1283 | 1008 / 275 | 127 | 12.6% | 0.64x | +5.35% | -5.59% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 673 | 557 / 116 | 164 | 29.4% | 1.49x | +8.07% | -10.82% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3036 | 2416 / 620 | 608 | 25.2% | 1.28x | +7.32% | -6.93% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9386 | 7514 / 1872 | 1376 | 18.3% | 0.93x | +6.31% | -4.61% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5485 | 4575 / 910 | 824 | 18% | 0.91x | +6.57% | -3.97% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 924 | 779 / 145 | 256 | 32.9% | 1.67x | +8.62% | -8.93% |
| Elevated | 6372 | 5101 / 1271 | 1520 | 29.8% | 1.51x | +8.09% | -7.14% |
| Medium | 10939 | 8891 / 2048 | 1180 | 13.3% | 0.68x | +5.68% | -3.54% |
| Low | 345 | 291 / 54 | 16 | 5.5% | 0.28x | +4.06% | -2.73% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2731 | 2213 / 518 | 767 | 34.7% | 1.76x | +8.72% | -9.92% |
| Materials | 961 | 779 / 182 | 185 | 23.7% | 1.2x | +8.05% | -4.69% |
| Health Care | 2181 | 1769 / 412 | 391 | 22.1% | 1.12x | +7.17% | -3.94% |
| Communication Services | 836 | 677 / 159 | 145 | 21.4% | 1.09x | +6.14% | -6.07% |
| Financials | 2810 | 2278 / 532 | 456 | 20% | 1.02x | +6.71% | -3.44% |
| Energy | 777 | 630 / 147 | 125 | 19.8% | 1.01x | +5.89% | -4.46% |
| Industrials | 2957 | 2397 / 560 | 439 | 18.3% | 0.93x | +6.66% | -4.76% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1739 | 1410 / 329 | 259 | 18.4% | 0.93x | +6.19% | -4.90% |
| Consumer Staples | 1294 | 1049 / 245 | 122 | 11.6% | 0.59x | +5.43% | -3.84% |
| Real Estate | 1147 | 930 / 217 | 51 | 5.5% | 0.28x | +4.53% | -3.70% |
| Utilities | 1147 | 930 / 217 | 32 | 3.4% | 0.17x | +3.95% | -2.70% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.