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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-04
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-04
DOE window 2026-06-12 → 2026-07-30
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月5日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 47
Excluded uptrends 364

Downside ranking

US.TRMB · -5.21% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-5.21%
Top down rate78.8%
Top P25-9.65%
DOE score2.614

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-5.21%

P25-9.65% Down78.8% Dn/Up551.3% / 6.3% Score88.3 DownOpp8.886
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

-4.19%

P25-8.48% Down75% Dn/Up543.8% / 5% Score94.3 DownOpp7.303
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-4.03%

P25-8.06% Down73.8% Dn/Up545% / 11.3% Score81 DownOpp6.664
View chart 開富途
#4 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-3.82%

P25-7.89% Down71.3% Dn/Up542.5% / 15% Score80.4 DownOpp5.993
View chart 開富途
#5 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-2.13%

P25-6.92% Down61.3% Dn/Up532.5% / 11.3% Score77.8 DownOpp3.502
View chart 開富途
#6 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.65%

P25-6.78% Down62.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 11.3% Score62.9 DownOpp3.195
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-2.37%

P25-4.51% Down66.3% Dn/Up521.3% / 21.3% Score51.7 DownOpp3.136
View chart 開富途
#8 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-1.70%

P25-3.74% Down62.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 1.3% Score106.7 DownOpp2.757
View chart 開富途
#9 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-2.01%

P25-4.81% Down63.8% Dn/Up525% / 21.3% Score51.6 DownOpp2.651
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.10%

P25-3.42% Down66.3% Dn/Up515% / 8.8% Score61.9 DownOpp2.267
View chart 開富途
#11 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-1.10%

P25-3.14% Down60% Dn/Up513.8% / 5% Score69 DownOpp1.868
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.47%

P25-4.30% Down57.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5% Score72.9 DownOpp1.848
View chart 開富途
#13 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-1.60%

P25-3.75% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 10% Score100.6 DownOpp1.783
View chart 開富途
#14 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.17%

P25-4.78% Down58.8% Dn/Up522.5% / 16.3% Score42.8 DownOpp1.77
View chart 開富途
#15 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.84%

P25-3.02% Down58.8% Dn/Up518.8% / 1.3% Score61.6 DownOpp1.759
View chart 開富途
#16 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.64%

P25-4.23% Down58.8% Dn/Up518.8% / 3.8% Score79.7 DownOpp1.576
View chart 開富途
#17 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.48%

P25-3.92% Down61.3% Dn/Up516.3% / 3.8% Score77.9 DownOpp1.552
View chart 開富途
#18 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-1.42%

P25-5.24% Down52.5% Dn/Up526.3% / 16.3% Score58.7 DownOpp1.512
View chart 開富途
#19 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.19%

P25-4.07% Down57.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 13.8% Score72 DownOpp1.44
View chart 開富途
#20 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-0.72%

P25-2.25% Down62.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 7.5% Score69.9 DownOpp1.308
View chart 開富途
#21 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.72%

P25-2.40% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score56.2 DownOpp1.302
View chart 開富途
#22 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.82%

P25-2.36% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score73.3 DownOpp1.21
View chart 開富途
#23 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.58%

P25-2.59% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score79.8 DownOpp1.129
View chart 開富途
#24 US.TDG TransDigm Group · Industrials

-0.53%

P25-2.31% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score75.5 DownOpp1.041
View chart 開富途
#25 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.38%

P25-3.99% Down56.3% Dn/Up518.8% / 3.8% Score86.1 DownOpp1.008
View chart 開富途
#26 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.07% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 6.3% Score65.7 DownOpp0.997
View chart 開富途
#27 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-0.61%

P25-2.86% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 8.8% Score46.7 DownOpp0.951
View chart 開富途
#28 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-0.95%

P25-5.22% Down52.5% Dn/Up526.3% / 16.3% Score71 DownOpp0.945
View chart 開富途
#29 US.T AT&T · Communication Services

-0.33%

P25-4.13% Down55% Dn/Up518.8% / 7.5% Score57.3 DownOpp0.883
View chart 開富途
#30 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.70%

P25-2.55% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score83.7 DownOpp0.882
View chart 開富途
#31 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.14%

P25-3.49% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 3.8% Score70.1 DownOpp0.859
View chart 開富途
#32 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.07% Down60% Dn/Up53.8% / 8.8% Score66.9 DownOpp0.838
View chart 開富途
#33 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.63%

P25-2.46% Down60% Dn/Up56.3% / 10% Score83 DownOpp0.822
View chart 開富途
#34 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-0.33%

P25-4.18% Down53.8% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score54.5 DownOpp0.67
View chart 開富途
#35 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-0.74%

P25-3.11% Down53.8% Dn/Up518.8% / 12.5% Score67.2 DownOpp0.567
View chart 開富途
#36 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.29%

P25-2.53% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score69.5 DownOpp0.555
View chart 開富途
#37 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.35%

P25-2.82% Down55% Dn/Up511.3% / 5% Score81.9 DownOpp0.541
View chart 開富途
#38 US.HD Home Depot (The) · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-2.73% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score65.5 DownOpp0.431
View chart 開富途
#39 US.XYL Xylem Inc. · Industrials

-0.50%

P25-3.05% Down55% Dn/Up512.5% / 13.8% Score60.3 DownOpp0.382
View chart 開富途
#40 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-0.66%

P25-5.00% Down53.8% Dn/Up526.3% / 23.8% Score61.7 DownOpp0.323
View chart 開富途
#41 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-0.46%

P25-4.61% Down51.3% Dn/Up522.5% / 13.8% Score76 DownOpp0.319
View chart 開富途
#42 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.19% Down55% Dn/Up513.8% / 3.8% Score85.3 DownOpp0.3
View chart 開富途
#43 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.52%

P25-2.36% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 8.8% Score102.4 DownOpp0.214
View chart 開富途
#44 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-2.58% Down53.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 11.3% Score52.6 DownOpp0.166
View chart 開富途
#45 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.40%

P25-2.39% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 11.3% Score76 DownOpp0.149
View chart 開富途
#46 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-0.46%

P25-4.01% Down52.5% Dn/Up523.8% / 17.5% Score75.3 DownOpp0.048
View chart 開富途
#47 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-2.80% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 8.8% Score109.2 DownOpp0.007
View chart 開富途