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歷史相似情境研究排名
依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。
以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。
Research status
healthy · 2026-08-04
Computed at 2026年8月5日 上午7:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe
1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-08-04
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過去 5 個交易日
每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。
共 17 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔
2026-07-29
7 檔- #1 MSCI P75+4.41% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.2% / 10.2% Opp3.433 開富途
- #2 CVS P75+3.60% 上漲比62.6% Up/Dn15% / 2.4% Opp3.399 開富途
- #3 EW P75+3.62% 上漲比61.2% Up/Dn14% / 2.8% Opp3.354 開富途
- #4 HUM P75+4.10% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn17.8% / 5.6% Opp3.229 開富途
- #5 CNC P75+4.23% 上漲比61.4% Up/Dn19.2% / 7.2% Opp3.217 開富途
- #6 VRTX P75+3.39% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn12.8% / 2% Opp3.087 開富途
- #7 GILD P75+3.33% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn12.4% / 2% Opp3.046 開富途
2026-07-30
3 檔2026-07-31
4 檔2026-08-03
6 檔- #1 TMO P75+3.66% 上漲比60% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.43 開富途
- #2 AXP P75+2.42% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.294 開富途
- #3 A P75+3.14% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.088 開富途
- #4 GS P75+5.68% 上漲比60% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Opp3.056 開富途
- #5 DD P75+3.88% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp3.01 開富途
- #6 MGM P75+3.55% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.002 開富途
2026-08-04
1 檔Top opportunities
Top 5 quick look
Upside leaders
Ranking notes
依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。
Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.0–3.5 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.
Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.
Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.
#1 US.CNC
+1.15%
P75+4.54%
上漲比61.3%
Up/Dn23.8% / 2.5%
Score60.8
Opp3.495