Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-04 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 121 | 74 / 47 | 14 | 18.9% | 1.01x | +6.02% | -9.43% |
| Grade C | 60 | 47 / 13 | 15 | 31.9% | 1.71x | +7.90% | -10.57% |
| Grade D | 5688 | 4415 / 1273 | 521 | 11.8% | 0.63x | +5.47% | -4.77% |
| Grade F | 12713 | 10024 / 2689 | 2168 | 21.6% | 1.16x | +6.94% | -5.09% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 727 | 594 / 133 | 27.9% | 1.49x | 1.49x | 29.5% · 61 checked | +8.22% | -7.01% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 728 | 594 / 134 | 27.9% | 1.49x | 1.49x | 29.5% · 61 checked | +8.22% | -7.01% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 726 | 592 / 134 | 27.7% | 1.48x | 1.47x | 29.5% · 61 checked | +8.21% | -7.00% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 675 | 550 / 125 | 29.6% | 1.58x | 1.6x | 27.4% · 62 checked | +8.30% | -10.55% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 674 | 549 / 125 | 29.7% | 1.59x | 1.6x | 27.4% · 62 checked | +8.29% | -10.54% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 2454 | 1979 / 475 | 25.2% | 1.35x | 1.34x | 26.8% · 220 checked | +7.47% | -7.44% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3705 | 2915 / 790 | 26.1% | 1.4x | 1.4x | 26.2% · 351 checked | +7.57% | -7.58% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2441 | 1967 / 474 | 25.1% | 1.34x | 1.34x | 26.1% · 218 checked | +7.47% | -7.40% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3668 | 2882 / 786 | 26% | 1.39x | 1.4x | 25.6% · 344 checked | +7.57% | -7.51% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 500 | 414 / 86 | 25.4% | 1.36x | 1.36x | 24.3% · 37 checked | +7.51% | -7.30% |
| Risk not High | 17667 | 13806 / 3861 | 17.9% | 0.96x | 0.9x | 24.1% · 1920 checked | +6.38% | -4.82% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 13032 | 10159 / 2873 | 19.8% | 1.06x | 1.03x | 23.9% · 1299 checked | +6.57% | -5.48% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 12326 | 9578 / 2748 | 19.1% | 1.02x | 0.98x | 23.5% · 1236 checked | +6.45% | -5.24% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1238 | 1000 / 238 | 25.3% | 1.35x | 1.36x | 23.3% · 103 checked | +7.81% | -7.12% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1235 | 997 / 238 | 25.2% | 1.35x | 1.36x | 23.3% · 103 checked | +7.80% | -7.11% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 181 | 121 / 60 | 29 | 24% | 1.28x | 10% · 10 checked | +6.75% | -9.88% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 480 | 306 / 174 | 53 | 17.3% | 0.93x | 10% · 30 checked | +5.91% | -7.21% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 247 | 169 / 78 | 27 | 16% | 0.86x | 11.1% · 18 checked | +5.68% | -7.54% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4808 | 3772 / 1036 | 465 | 12.3% | 0.66x | 17.1% · 398 checked | +5.49% | -5.09% |
| Total score >= 110 + risk not High | 20 | 9 / 11 | 0 | 0% | 0x | 0% · 7 checked | +3.84% | -4.92% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.PLTR Palantir Technologies | B 67.4 | 114.9 65.9/110 · 49/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.FSLR First Solar | B 64.6 | 108.9 63.9/110 · 45/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.DDOG Datadog | B 68.3 | 103 70/110 · 33/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.APH Amphenol | B 67 | 98.7 67.7/110 · 31/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.MSFT Microsoft | B 65.2 | 98.2 63.2/110 · 35/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise | B 64.2 | 97.8 64.8/110 · 33/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.ETN Eaton Corporation | C 61.8 | 95.4 64.4/110 · 31/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.ANET Arista Networks | C 63.6 | 95.2 62.2/110 · 33/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.AVGO Broadcom | C 63.5 | 91.4 60.4/110 · 31/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.TER Teradyne | C 60 | 89.1 57.1/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | C 62.4 | 88.1 56.1/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.DELL Dell Technologies | C 60 | 86.1 55.1/110 · 31/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 18007 | 14185 / 3822 | 2668 | 18.8% | 1.01x | +6.53% | -4.98% |
| Score 90-109 | 555 | 366 / 189 | 50 | 13.7% | 0.73x | +5.22% | -6.84% |
| Score 110-129 | 20 | 9 / 11 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +3.84% | -4.92% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 74 | 30 / 44 | 9 | 30% | 1.6x | +7.95% | -8.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 16831 | 13252 / 3579 | 2537 | 19.1% | 1.02x | +6.59% | -4.95% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 406 | 276 / 130 | 44 | 15.9% | 0.85x | +5.68% | -7.04% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1271 | 1002 / 269 | 128 | 12.8% | 0.68x | +5.33% | -5.45% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 675 | 550 / 125 | 163 | 29.6% | 1.58x | +8.30% | -10.55% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3030 | 2365 / 665 | 597 | 25.2% | 1.35x | +7.40% | -6.89% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9327 | 7244 / 2083 | 1248 | 17.2% | 0.92x | +6.17% | -4.63% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5550 | 4401 / 1149 | 710 | 16.1% | 0.86x | +6.31% | -4.00% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 915 | 754 / 161 | 243 | 32.2% | 1.72x | +8.48% | -8.86% |
| Elevated | 6341 | 4929 / 1412 | 1413 | 28.7% | 1.53x | +7.97% | -7.17% |
| Medium | 10973 | 8595 / 2378 | 1046 | 12.2% | 0.65x | +5.54% | -3.55% |
| Low | 353 | 282 / 71 | 16 | 5.7% | 0.3x | +4.09% | -2.62% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2731 | 2139 / 592 | 715 | 33.4% | 1.79x | +8.50% | -9.89% |
| Materials | 961 | 753 / 208 | 172 | 22.8% | 1.22x | +8.21% | -4.71% |
| Health Care | 2182 | 1710 / 472 | 344 | 20.1% | 1.07x | +6.88% | -4.03% |
| Energy | 777 | 609 / 168 | 121 | 19.9% | 1.06x | +5.99% | -4.46% |
| Communication Services | 838 | 656 / 182 | 129 | 19.7% | 1.05x | +5.88% | -6.23% |
| Financials | 2810 | 2202 / 608 | 423 | 19.2% | 1.03x | +6.63% | -3.48% |
| Industrials | 2956 | 2316 / 640 | 406 | 17.5% | 0.94x | +6.59% | -4.72% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1739 | 1363 / 376 | 224 | 16.4% | 0.88x | +5.89% | -4.98% |
| Consumer Staples | 1294 | 1014 / 280 | 109 | 10.7% | 0.57x | +5.32% | -3.88% |
| Real Estate | 1147 | 899 / 248 | 41 | 4.6% | 0.25x | +4.40% | -3.75% |
| Utilities | 1147 | 899 / 248 | 34 | 3.8% | 0.2x | +4.05% | -2.41% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.