Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.GDDY · -1.54% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-1.54%
Top down rate60.3%
Top P25-5.02%
DOE score2.297
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.GDDY
-1.54%
P25-5.02%
Down60.3%
Dn/Up525.3% / 13.4%
Score59.6
DownOpp2.368
#2 US.WDAY
-1.51%
P25-4.37%
Down59.1%
Dn/Up521.3% / 18.4%
Score46.5
DownOpp1.878
#3 US.ACN
-1.20%
P25-4.63%
Down57.8%
Dn/Up523.4% / 15.3%
Score60.6
DownOpp1.609
#4 US.SWKS
-1.18%
P25-4.54%
Down55.6%
Dn/Up521.3% / 16.6%
Score56.7
DownOpp1.342
#5 US.INTU
-0.96%
P25-4.80%
Down55.3%
Dn/Up524.1% / 14.4%
Score58
DownOpp1.285
#6 US.IT
-0.93%
P25-4.57%
Down57.2%
Dn/Up522.8% / 16.3%
Score63.5
DownOpp1.194
#7 US.SMCI
-0.98%
P25-5.25%
Down55.9%
Dn/Up526.9% / 19.1%
Score74.8
DownOpp1.057
#8 US.ADBE
-0.88%
P25-4.56%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up522.2% / 15.9%
Score56.9
DownOpp0.943
#9 US.UHS
-0.55%
P25-2.99%
Down59.1%
Dn/Up511.3% / 8.1%
Score82.3
DownOpp0.922
#10 US.CRM
-0.86%
P25-4.07%
Down55%
Dn/Up521.3% / 18.4%
Score45.1
DownOpp0.835
#11 US.CTSH
-0.69%
P25-4.50%
Down55.3%
Dn/Up521.9% / 15.9%
Score60.5
DownOpp0.831
#12 US.ORLY
-0.42%
P25-2.10%
Down56.9%
Dn/Up54.7% / 5%
Score53.7
DownOpp0.794
#13 US.ROP
-0.66%
P25-4.26%
Down55%
Dn/Up522.2% / 16.9%
Score65.7
DownOpp0.618
#14 US.ORCL
-0.61%
P25-4.40%
Down53.1%
Dn/Up521.6% / 17.2%
Score49.7
DownOpp0.553
#15 US.LEN
-0.39%
P25-2.40%
Down55%
Dn/Up56.9% / 8.1%
Score53.6
DownOpp0.502
#16 US.RCL
-0.31%
P25-2.46%
Down54.4%
Dn/Up57.8% / 5.6%
Score65.8
DownOpp0.447
#17 US.TRMB
-0.56%
P25-4.59%
Down54.7%
Dn/Up523.4% / 19.7%
Score64.9
DownOpp0.415
#18 US.NWSA
-0.29%
P25-2.43%
Down53.1%
Dn/Up510.3% / 6.6%
Score49.7
DownOpp0.377
#19 US.EFX
-0.35%
P25-2.84%
Down53.1%
Dn/Up59.7% / 8.4%
Score61.5
DownOpp0.343
#20 US.LVS
-0.28%
P25-2.44%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up58.8% / 6.9%
Score62.8
DownOpp0.309
#21 US.ADSK
-0.49%
P25-4.33%
Down53.1%
Dn/Up521.9% / 17.5%
Score62.9
DownOpp0.299
#22 US.WYNN
-0.25%
P25-2.05%
Down54.1%
Dn/Up56.6% / 5.9%
Score59.7
DownOpp0.289
#23 US.VMC
-0.23%
P25-3.01%
Down53.1%
Dn/Up513.1% / 10.6%
Score42.7
DownOpp0.274
#24 US.DIS
-0.19%
P25-3.03%
Down52.2%
Dn/Up513.1% / 7.5%
Score53.9
DownOpp0.269
#25 US.CCL
-0.28%
P25-2.59%
Down53.4%
Dn/Up58.1% / 8.4%
Score57.2
DownOpp0.266
#26 US.PHM
-0.29%
P25-2.61%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up58.1% / 7.8%
Score71.3
DownOpp0.244
#27 US.PPL
-0.27%
P25-1.52%
Down53.1%
Dn/Up51.3% / 2.2%
Score75.9
DownOpp0.197
#28 US.FDXF
-0.35%
P25-2.29%
Down52.8%
Dn/Up56.9% / 8.1%
Score62.3
DownOpp0.193
#29 US.ZBRA
-0.59%
P25-3.78%
Down53.4%
Dn/Up518.1% / 20.9%
Score51.1
DownOpp0.17
#30 US.NRG
-0.24%
P25-1.76%
Down54.1%
Dn/Up56.9% / 5.9%
Score67.9
DownOpp0.145
#31 US.CEG
-0.15%
P25-1.37%
Down52.2%
Dn/Up51.6% / 0.3%
Score69.5
DownOpp0.129
#32 US.DECK
-0.20%
P25-2.62%
Down53.1%
Dn/Up58.4% / 9.7%
Score54.3
DownOpp0.114
#33 US.CDW
-0.32%
P25-4.33%
Down51.9%
Dn/Up520.9% / 18.1%
Score50.8
DownOpp0.087
#34 US.TYL
-0.46%
P25-3.94%
Down52.2%
Dn/Up519.1% / 20.9%
Score47.4
DownOpp0.012
#35 US.MLM
-0.23%
P25-2.37%
Down52.5%
Dn/Up56.9% / 11.3%
Score45.1
DownOpp0.006
#36 US.T
-0.26%
P25-2.29%
Down53.1%
Dn/Up57.5% / 6.6%
Score91
DownOpp0.002