Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-09
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-09
DOE window 2026-05-21 → 2026-07-06
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午8:48 HKT
Rows 8
Excluded uptrends 335

Downside ranking

US.TTWO · -0.44% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.44%
Top down rate56.8%
Top P25-2.74%
DOE score3.019

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-0.44%

P25-2.74% Down56.8% Dn/Up514% / 10% Score65.8 DownOpp0.575
View chart 開富途
#2 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.40%

P25-2.67% Down55.4% Dn/Up512.2% / 8.6% Score64.4 DownOpp0.5
View chart 開富途
#3 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.34%

P25-2.48% Down53% Dn/Up58.8% / 7.4% Score66.1 DownOpp0.26
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CBRE CBRE Group · Real Estate

-0.18%

P25-1.85% Down52.2% Dn/Up53% / 2.2% Score71.5 DownOpp0.15
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#5 US.KMB Kimberly-Clark · Consumer Staples

-0.11%

P25-2.29% Down52% Dn/Up56.6% / 4.2% Score70.9 DownOpp0.059
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#6 US.SW Smurfit Westrock · Materials

-0.30%

P25-3.43% Down51.4% Dn/Up512.8% / 14.2% Score48.8 DownOpp0.051
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#7 US.UDR UDR, Inc. · Real Estate

-0.15%

P25-1.82% Down51.2% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.6% Score66.9 DownOpp0.043
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#8 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.42%

P25-3.19% Down53.8% Dn/Up516.4% / 13.8% Score89.3 DownOpp0.024
View chart 開富途