Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
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Factor study
2026-09-11 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 3919 | 3483 / 436 | 403 | 11.6% | 0.65x | +4.77% | -5.29% |
| Grade F | 9119 | 7538 / 1581 | 1566 | 20.8% | 1.16x | +6.57% | -4.84% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 231 | 186 / 45 | 23.7% | 1.32x | 1.15x | 44% · 25 checked | +6.75% | -7.84% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 231 | 186 / 45 | 23.7% | 1.32x | 1.15x | 44% · 25 checked | +6.75% | -7.84% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 395 | 335 / 60 | 36.4% | 2.03x | 1.98x | 43.9% · 41 checked | +9.19% | -7.76% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 395 | 335 / 60 | 36.4% | 2.03x | 1.98x | 43.9% · 41 checked | +9.19% | -7.76% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 129 | 106 / 23 | 19.8% | 1.11x | 0.96x | 38.5% · 13 checked | +6.16% | -7.93% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 131 | 108 / 23 | 19.4% | 1.08x | 0.94x | 38.5% · 13 checked | +6.15% | -7.91% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 131 | 108 / 23 | 19.4% | 1.08x | 0.94x | 38.5% · 13 checked | +6.15% | -7.91% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1528 | 1294 / 234 | 21.1% | 1.18x | 1.13x | 27.7% · 141 checked | +6.34% | -5.79% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1523 | 1289 / 234 | 20.9% | 1.17x | 1.12x | 27.7% · 141 checked | +6.34% | -5.77% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 2314 | 1958 / 356 | 26.3% | 1.47x | 1.46x | 27.3% · 220 checked | +7.65% | -6.12% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2296 | 1941 / 355 | 26% | 1.45x | 1.45x | 26.9% · 219 checked | +7.61% | -6.09% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 841 | 726 / 115 | 17.5% | 0.98x | 0.96x | 20.2% · 94 checked | +5.81% | -5.77% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 840 | 725 / 115 | 17.5% | 0.98x | 0.96x | 20.2% · 94 checked | +5.82% | -5.75% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 833 | 719 / 114 | 17.5% | 0.98x | 0.96x | 20.2% · 94 checked | +5.80% | -5.77% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 193 | 172 / 21 | 14.5% | 0.81x | 0.78x | 20% · 15 checked | +5.41% | -5.60% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 118 | 105 / 13 | 21 | 20% | 1.12x | 16.7% · 6 checked | +5.47% | -6.86% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 299 | 280 / 19 | 41 | 14.6% | 0.82x | 7.1% · 14 checked | +5.23% | -6.42% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 3019 | 2681 / 338 | 330 | 12.3% | 0.69x | 5.9% · 406 checked | +5.05% | -5.10% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 165 | 151 / 14 | 16 | 10.6% | 0.59x | 7.7% · 13 checked | +4.45% | -6.58% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 12633 | 10644 / 1989 | 1928 | 18.1% | 1.01x | +6.05% | -4.95% |
| Score 90-109 | 387 | 359 / 28 | 39 | 10.9% | 0.61x | +4.73% | -6.01% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 74 | 68 / 6 | 14 | 20.6% | 1.15x | +5.84% | -5.65% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12069 | 10119 / 1950 | 1862 | 18.4% | 1.03x | +6.09% | -4.89% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 225 | 212 / 13 | 27 | 12.7% | 0.71x | +5.03% | -6.67% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 670 | 622 / 48 | 66 | 10.6% | 0.59x | +4.87% | -5.95% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 395 | 335 / 60 | 122 | 36.4% | 2.03x | +9.19% | -7.76% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1919 | 1623 / 296 | 393 | 24.2% | 1.35x | +7.33% | -5.78% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6350 | 5398 / 952 | 894 | 16.6% | 0.93x | +5.84% | -4.80% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4374 | 3665 / 709 | 560 | 15.3% | 0.85x | +5.35% | -4.65% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 500 | 470 / 30 | 165 | 35.1% | 1.96x | +10.58% | -7.70% |
| Elevated | 4075 | 3620 / 455 | 1093 | 30.2% | 1.69x | +8.27% | -6.04% |
| Medium | 8182 | 6737 / 1445 | 711 | 10.6% | 0.59x | +4.57% | -4.27% |
| Low | 281 | 194 / 87 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.34% | -3.63% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1923 | 1627 / 296 | 651 | 40% | 2.23x | +10.27% | -7.75% |
| Communication Services | 575 | 479 / 96 | 101 | 21.1% | 1.18x | +6.41% | -4.84% |
| Materials | 676 | 572 / 104 | 118 | 20.6% | 1.15x | +6.43% | -4.61% |
| Energy | 546 | 462 / 84 | 88 | 19% | 1.06x | +6.22% | -3.78% |
| Health Care | 1533 | 1297 / 236 | 240 | 18.5% | 1.03x | +6.87% | -3.96% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1222 | 1034 / 188 | 191 | 18.5% | 1.03x | +5.85% | -5.19% |
| Industrials | 2080 | 1760 / 320 | 288 | 16.4% | 0.92x | +5.35% | -5.36% |
| Financials | 1976 | 1672 / 304 | 168 | 10% | 0.56x | +4.57% | -3.54% |
| Consumer Staples | 909 | 769 / 140 | 77 | 10% | 0.56x | +4.93% | -4.76% |
| Real Estate | 792 | 667 / 125 | 35 | 5.2% | 0.29x | +3.46% | -4.41% |
| Utilities | 806 | 682 / 124 | 12 | 1.8% | 0.1x | +2.47% | -4.64% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.