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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-11
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-11
DOE window 2026-07-08 → 2026-09-08
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月13日 上午7:45 HKT
Rows 42
Excluded uptrends 344

Downside ranking

US.IT · -1.52% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.52%
Top down rate66.3%
Top P25-4.28%
DOE score2.366

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-1.52%

P25-4.28% Down66.3% Dn/Up518.8% / 11.3% Score45 DownOpp2.879
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SRE Sempra · Utilities

-0.92%

P25-2.28% Down71.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score57.6 DownOpp2.762
View chart 開富途
#3 US.KR Kroger · Consumer Staples

-1.12%

P25-2.30% Down65% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score72.2 DownOpp2.276
View chart 開富途
#4 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.84%

P25-4.07% Down66.3% Dn/Up522.5% / 6.3% Score85.6 DownOpp2.141
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.88%

P25-2.04% Down63.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score56.2 DownOpp2.073
View chart 開富途
#6 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.60%

P25-1.47% Down67.5% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score52.7 DownOpp1.972
View chart 開富途
#7 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-1.03%

P25-2.68% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 8.8% Score40.8 DownOpp1.666
View chart 開富途
#8 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.92%

P25-2.38% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score49.1 DownOpp1.647
View chart 開富途
#9 US.WEC WEC Energy Group · Utilities

-0.69%

P25-1.54% Down62.5% Dn/Up50% / 1.3% Score52.1 DownOpp1.606
View chart 開富途
#10 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

-1.19%

P25-2.55% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 13.8% Score54.4 DownOpp1.592
View chart 開富途
#11 US.VMC Vulcan Materials Company · Materials

-1.10%

P25-2.72% Down61.3% Dn/Up55% / 12.5% Score54.6 DownOpp1.525
View chart 開富途
#12 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.71%

P25-2.50% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score49.2 DownOpp1.416
View chart 開富途
#13 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-0.76%

P25-2.84% Down57.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 6.3% Score40.4 DownOpp1.389
View chart 開富途
#14 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-0.98%

P25-3.74% Down60% Dn/Up516.3% / 16.3% Score49 DownOpp1.37
View chart 開富途
#15 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-0.57%

P25-1.79% Down61.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score67.5 DownOpp1.337
View chart 開富途
#16 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-0.62%

P25-2.24% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score48.2 DownOpp1.095
View chart 開富途
#17 US.J Jacobs Solutions · Industrials

-0.58%

P25-2.12% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score50.1 DownOpp1.088
View chart 開富途
#18 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-0.42%

P25-1.69% Down57.5% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score52.7 DownOpp1.047
View chart 開富途
#19 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-2.35% Down56.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 6.3% Score47.5 DownOpp0.957
View chart 開富途
#20 US.OTIS Otis Worldwide · Industrials

-0.66%

P25-2.12% Down56.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 7.5% Score49.3 DownOpp0.874
View chart 開富途
#21 US.ALLE Allegion · Industrials

-0.52%

P25-1.96% Down55% Dn/Up51.3% / 3.8% Score50.3 DownOpp0.805
View chart 開富途
#22 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.94%

P25-3.39% Down53.8% Dn/Up512.5% / 17.5% Score44.2 DownOpp0.71
View chart 開富途
#23 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-2.30% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 7.5% Score51.2 DownOpp0.661
View chart 開富途
#24 US.LII Lennox International · Industrials

-0.57%

P25-2.26% Down56.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 8.8% Score61.6 DownOpp0.649
View chart 開富途
#25 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.23%

P25-1.98% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score53.3 DownOpp0.601
View chart 開富途
#26 US.NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.52%

P25-2.63% Down56.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 12.5% Score49.3 DownOpp0.562
View chart 開富途
#27 US.CMS CMS Energy · Utilities

-0.23%

P25-1.68% Down53.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score56.2 DownOpp0.532
View chart 開富途
#28 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-0.38%

P25-2.25% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 8.8% Score53.3 DownOpp0.519
View chart 開富途
#29 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.19%

P25-1.21% Down56.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score67.7 DownOpp0.489
View chart 開富途
#30 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-2.30% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 7.5% Score49.7 DownOpp0.472
View chart 開富途
#31 US.NOC Northrop Grumman · Industrials

-0.33%

P25-2.53% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score51.4 DownOpp0.431
View chart 開富途
#32 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.48%

P25-2.09% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 10% Score41.8 DownOpp0.393
View chart 開富途
#33 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.28%

P25-1.68% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score48.3 DownOpp0.388
View chart 開富途
#34 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.42%

P25-2.27% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score57 DownOpp0.36
View chart 開富途
#35 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-0.84%

P25-3.41% Down55% Dn/Up515% / 23.8% Score47.7 DownOpp0.307
View chart 開富途
#36 US.WTW Willis Towers Watson · Financials

-0.13%

P25-1.70% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score46.2 DownOpp0.284
View chart 開富途
#37 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.18%

P25-1.93% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score54 DownOpp0.279
View chart 開富途
#38 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.33%

P25-2.13% Down53.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 8.8% Score49 DownOpp0.271
View chart 開富途
#39 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-0.08%

P25-1.39% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score47.2 DownOpp0.246
View chart 開富途
#40 US.TDG TransDigm Group · Industrials

-0.17%

P25-2.31% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 6.3% Score50.8 DownOpp0.189
View chart 開富途
#41 US.SHW Sherwin-Williams · Materials

-0.37%

P25-2.49% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 13.8% Score55.3 DownOpp0.15
View chart 開富途
#42 US.XYL Xylem Inc. · Industrials

-0.17%

P25-2.07% Down52.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 7.5% Score44.4 DownOpp0.105
View chart 開富途