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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-06-24
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-06-24
DOE window 2026-05-07 → 2026-06-18
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午7:48 HKT
Rows 33
Excluded uptrends 238

Downside ranking

US.KMI · -0.71% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.71%
Top down rate58%
Top P25-2.92%
DOE score2.872

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.KMI Kinder Morgan · Energy

-0.71%

P25-2.92% Down58% Dn/Up59.4% / 6.2% Score70.4 DownOpp1.18
View chart 開富途
#2 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.45%

P25-2.62% Down57.4% Dn/Up57.8% / 5.8% Score52.7 DownOpp0.954
View chart 開富途
#3 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.44%

P25-2.42% Down57% Dn/Up56.2% / 6.8% Score53.3 DownOpp0.797
View chart 開富途
#4 US.HAS Hasbro · Consumer Discretionary

-0.40%

P25-2.56% Down56.8% Dn/Up57% / 6.6% Score53.2 DownOpp0.789
View chart 開富途
#5 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.35%

P25-2.26% Down55.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 5.8% Score57.6 DownOpp0.599
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.40%

P25-2.48% Down55.8% Dn/Up57.6% / 6.8% Score64.9 DownOpp0.589
View chart 開富途
#7 US.NEE NextEra Energy · Utilities

-0.26%

P25-1.88% Down55.4% Dn/Up53% / 1% Score69.9 DownOpp0.578
View chart 開富途
#8 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.40%

P25-2.12% Down54.8% Dn/Up56% / 3.6% Score78.4 DownOpp0.51
View chart 開富途
#9 US.YUM Yum! Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.35%

P25-2.30% Down55% Dn/Up56.6% / 6.6% Score57.1 DownOpp0.501
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.42%

P25-2.65% Down56% Dn/Up59.2% / 10.8% Score57.8 DownOpp0.481
View chart 開富途
#11 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.23%

P25-1.96% Down55.4% Dn/Up59.4% / 4.4% Score61.3 DownOpp0.428
View chart 開富途
#12 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-0.63%

P25-4.10% Down53.8% Dn/Up521.2% / 15.6% Score80.1 DownOpp0.422
View chart 開富途
#13 US.ZBH Zimmer Biomet · Health Care

-0.40%

P25-2.47% Down54.6% Dn/Up58.2% / 6.2% Score79.5 DownOpp0.417
View chart 開富途
#14 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.34%

P25-2.14% Down54.4% Dn/Up53.2% / 6.6% Score66.5 DownOpp0.332
View chart 開富途
#15 US.AWK American Water Works · Utilities

-0.34%

P25-2.12% Down53.6% Dn/Up56% / 4.2% Score79.3 DownOpp0.311
View chart 開富途
#16 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-0.28%

P25-2.20% Down54.6% Dn/Up57.4% / 6.8% Score66.6 DownOpp0.291
View chart 開富途
#17 US.GM General Motors · Consumer Discretionary

-0.28%

P25-2.42% Down54.2% Dn/Up56.4% / 9.8% Score46.8 DownOpp0.282
View chart 開富途
#18 US.IFF International Flavors & Fragrances · Materials

-0.40%

P25-2.38% Down53.2% Dn/Up55.6% / 9.6% Score55.8 DownOpp0.257
View chart 開富途
#19 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

-0.21%

P25-2.25% Down53.2% Dn/Up56% / 4.8% Score67.5 DownOpp0.234
View chart 開富途
#20 US.ATO Atmos Energy · Utilities

-0.13%

P25-1.63% Down52.4% Dn/Up52.6% / 0.4% Score66.2 DownOpp0.209
View chart 開富途
#21 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.34%

P25-2.64% Down53.6% Dn/Up59% / 11.2% Score54.5 DownOpp0.207
View chart 開富途
#22 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.31%

P25-2.47% Down53.8% Dn/Up57.8% / 11.2% Score52.7 DownOpp0.164
View chart 開富途
#23 US.HUBB Hubbell Incorporated · Industrials

-0.20%

P25-2.17% Down52.8% Dn/Up57% / 4.4% Score72.3 DownOpp0.16
View chart 開富途
#24 US.AMZN Amazon · Consumer Discretionary

-0.39%

P25-2.59% Down53.6% Dn/Up58% / 13.2% Score52.5 DownOpp0.14
View chart 開富途
#25 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.25%

P25-2.47% Down53.4% Dn/Up56.4% / 10.6% Score49.2 DownOpp0.134
View chart 開富途
#26 US.TKO TKO Group Holdings · Communication Services

-0.20%

P25-2.29% Down53.6% Dn/Up511.2% / 8% Score59.8 DownOpp0.132
View chart 開富途
#27 US.SRE Sempra · Utilities

-0.07%

P25-1.59% Down52% Dn/Up52.6% / 0.4% Score65 DownOpp0.116
View chart 開富途
#28 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.33% Down52.8% Dn/Up56% / 9.8% Score48.3 DownOpp0.096
View chart 開富途
#29 US.TPR Tapestry, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.20%

P25-2.54% Down53.6% Dn/Up59.6% / 8.8% Score66.7 DownOpp0.095
View chart 開富途
#30 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-0.34%

P25-3.22% Down53.2% Dn/Up515.8% / 13.2% Score71.1 DownOpp0.076
View chart 開富途
#31 US.CTVA Corteva · Materials

-0.18%

P25-2.13% Down52.8% Dn/Up57.6% / 5.6% Score70.4 DownOpp0.072
View chart 開富途
#32 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-2.77% Down53.6% Dn/Up510.8% / 11.8% Score65.8 DownOpp0.069
View chart 開富途
#33 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.21%

P25-2.50% Down52% Dn/Up56.8% / 10.8% Score46.3 DownOpp0
View chart 開富途