Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-06-24 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 42 | 41 / 1 | 7 | 17.1% | 1x | +7.92% | -6.52% |
| Grade B | 549 | 453 / 96 | 142 | 31.3% | 1.83x | +9.35% | -7.30% |
| Grade D | 5752 | 4098 / 1654 | 554 | 13.5% | 0.79x | +5.77% | -5.19% |
| Grade F | 14239 | 10964 / 3275 | 1952 | 17.8% | 1.04x | +6.53% | -4.77% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No combination cleared min sample and validation filters yet. | ||||||||
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 310 | 261 / 49 | 101 | 38.7% | 2.26x | 10% · 10 checked | +11.45% | -9.19% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 413 | 363 / 50 | 122 | 33.6% | 1.96x | 3.8% · 26 checked | +10.21% | -7.33% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 601 | 501 / 100 | 152 | 30.3% | 1.77x | 5% · 40 checked | +9.27% | -7.31% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4760 | 3468 / 1292 | 676 | 19.5% | 1.14x | 10.4% · 442 checked | +7.12% | -5.55% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.UAL United Airlines Holdings | B 75.6 | 98.5 58.5/110 · 40/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.PHM PulteGroup | B 77.2 | 100.4 62.4/110 · 38/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.EXPE Expedia Group | B 72.2 | 99.6 63.6/110 · 36/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.TGT Target Corporation | B 75.9 | 93.5 62.5/110 · 31/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.TECH Bio-Techne | B 72.8 | 91.4 59.4/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.BKNG Booking Holdings | B 73.5 | 88.5 55.5/110 · 33/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.LUV Southwest Airlines | B 71 | 87.8 57.8/110 · 30/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.SWK Stanley Black & Decker | B 69.9 | 93.1 59.1/110 · 34/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.BLDR Builders FirstSource | B 69.6 | 89.5 52.5/110 · 37/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.DHI D. R. Horton | B 72.1 | 87.9 56.9/110 · 31/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.CRL Charles River Laboratories | B 68.3 | 87.1 56.1/110 · 31/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.DLTR Dollar Tree | B 68.1 | 86.5 56.5/110 · 30/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 698 | 583 / 115 | 159 | 27.3% | 1.6x | +8.53% | -6.76% |
| Score < 90 | 19876 | 14963 / 4913 | 2493 | 16.7% | 0.98x | +6.32% | -4.89% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 154 | 143 / 11 | 50 | 35% | 2.05x | +10.23% | -8.56% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 447 | 358 / 89 | 102 | 28.5% | 1.67x | +8.88% | -6.80% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1122 | 824 / 298 | 186 | 22.6% | 1.32x | +7.69% | -6.43% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 18869 | 14238 / 4631 | 2320 | 16.3% | 0.95x | +6.24% | -4.79% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 737 | 535 / 202 | 204 | 38.1% | 2.23x | +11.90% | -7.28% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3286 | 2407 / 879 | 692 | 28.7% | 1.68x | +8.68% | -5.85% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 10317 | 7761 / 2556 | 1117 | 14.4% | 0.84x | +5.77% | -4.92% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 6252 | 4860 / 1392 | 645 | 13.3% | 0.78x | +5.72% | -4.32% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 808 | 509 / 299 | 230 | 45.2% | 2.64x | +11.60% | -7.72% |
| Elevated | 6725 | 5101 / 1624 | 1617 | 31.7% | 1.85x | +9.45% | -6.42% |
| Medium | 12579 | 9590 / 2989 | 799 | 8.3% | 0.49x | +4.64% | -4.09% |
| Low | 480 | 363 / 117 | 12 | 3.3% | 0.19x | +3.47% | -3.65% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 3034 | 2294 / 740 | 1093 | 47.6% | 2.78x | +13.36% | -7.27% |
| Materials | 1065 | 806 / 259 | 154 | 19.1% | 1.12x | +7.29% | -5.67% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1927 | 1457 / 470 | 266 | 18.3% | 1.07x | +6.36% | -5.42% |
| Health Care | 2419 | 1829 / 590 | 324 | 17.7% | 1.04x | +6.22% | -4.47% |
| Industrials | 3250 | 2450 / 800 | 310 | 12.7% | 0.74x | +5.29% | -4.67% |
| Consumer Staples | 1435 | 1085 / 350 | 126 | 11.6% | 0.68x | +5.25% | -4.08% |
| Financials | 3116 | 2356 / 760 | 203 | 8.6% | 0.5x | +4.74% | -4.04% |
| Communication Services | 943 | 713 / 230 | 58 | 8.1% | 0.47x | +4.26% | -5.50% |
| Energy | 861 | 651 / 210 | 44 | 6.8% | 0.4x | +4.40% | -5.85% |
| Real Estate | 1271 | 961 / 310 | 47 | 4.9% | 0.29x | +4.16% | -3.20% |
| Utilities | 1271 | 961 / 310 | 33 | 3.4% | 0.2x | +3.09% | -3.80% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.