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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=500 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-06-24

Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午7:48 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 3

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=500

As-of 2026-06-24

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-06-24
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-06-24
DOE window 2026-05-07 → 2026-06-18
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午7:48 HKT
Rows 3
Excluded downtrends 0
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.7

OOS n=709 Median 0.16%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.7

+0.16% OOS median · n=709

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +25.24% ann. net · n=1158

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.74% exp · 72D WF

Opp study rows 26,014 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-15

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 7 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-06-17

0 檔

Materialized projections exist but none pass the current filters.

2026-06-18

0 檔

Materialized projections exist but none pass the current filters.

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.LRCX P75+6.12% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn29.4% / 14.8% Opp3.546 開富途
  2. #2 US.STX P75+5.88% 上漲比60% Up/Dn28.6% / 15.2% Opp3.22 開富途
  3. #3 US.ADI P75+5.55% 上漲比61.4% Up/Dn27.4% / 11.6% Opp3.203 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.7 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.LRCX Lam Research · Information Technology

+1.55%

P75+6.12% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn29.4% / 14.8% Score65.3 Opp3.546
View chart 開富途
#2 US.STX Seagate Technology · Information Technology

+1.38%

P75+5.88% 上漲比60% Up/Dn28.6% / 15.2% Score64.3 Opp3.22
View chart 開富途
#3 US.ADI Analog Devices · Information Technology

+1.17%

P75+5.55% 上漲比61.4% Up/Dn27.4% / 11.6% Score57.3 Opp3.203
View chart 開富途