Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-10-23 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 223 | 103 / 120 | 15 | 14.6% | 1.26x | +4.66% | -9.77% |
| Grade D | 4704 | 2659 / 2045 | 340 | 12.8% | 1.1x | +4.66% | -5.48% |
| Grade F | 11058 | 9225 / 1833 | 1031 | 11.2% | 0.97x | +4.43% | -4.95% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Technical >= 24 | 99 | 78 / 21 | 12.8% | 1.1x | 0.78x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +4.60% | -7.40% |
| Technical >= 24 + Risk not High | 99 | 78 / 21 | 12.8% | 1.1x | 0.78x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +4.60% | -7.40% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 85 | 66 / 19 | 13.6% | 1.17x | 0.92x | 30% · 10 checked | +4.84% | -7.54% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 85 | 66 / 19 | 13.6% | 1.17x | 0.92x | 30% · 10 checked | +4.84% | -7.54% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 | 604 | 306 / 298 | 16.7% | 1.44x | 1.25x | 26.3% · 57 checked | +5.21% | -7.69% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2485 | 1660 / 825 | 15.7% | 1.35x | 1.22x | 22.2% · 306 checked | +5.10% | -6.45% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 | 183 | 94 / 89 | 14.9% | 1.28x | 1.14x | 22.2% · 18 checked | +4.89% | -9.46% |
| Technical >= 20 | 3437 | 2240 / 1197 | 13.8% | 1.19x | 1.03x | 22% · 400 checked | +4.70% | -6.19% |
| Technical >= 16 | 9409 | 6241 / 3168 | 13.7% | 1.18x | 0.99x | 22% · 1261 checked | +4.83% | -5.52% |
| Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 9316 | 6166 / 3150 | 13.3% | 1.15x | 0.96x | 22% · 1252 checked | +4.77% | -5.48% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 2464 | 1641 / 823 | 15.2% | 1.31x | 1.19x | 21.8% · 303 checked | +5.01% | -6.44% |
| Technical >= 20 + Risk not High | 3411 | 2216 / 1195 | 13.3% | 1.15x | 0.98x | 21.7% · 397 checked | +4.62% | -6.18% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 | 706 | 380 / 326 | 16.8% | 1.45x | 1.35x | 21.6% · 74 checked | +5.33% | -7.71% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Risk not High | 703 | 377 / 326 | 16.4% | 1.41x | 1.31x | 21.6% · 74 checked | +5.26% | -7.68% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 6333 | 4305 / 2028 | 15.6% | 1.34x | 1.22x | 21.5% · 852 checked | +5.24% | -5.73% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 181 | 75 / 106 | 12 | 16% | 1.38x | 12.5% · 16 checked | +4.80% | -9.44% |
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 106 | 73 / 33 | 11 | 15.1% | 1.3x | 15.8% · 19 checked | +4.87% | -10.61% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2519 | 1591 / 928 | 213 | 13.4% | 1.16x | 18.5% · 238 checked | +4.74% | -6.35% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 262 | 116 / 146 | 15 | 12.9% | 1.11x | 15.4% · 26 checked | +4.56% | -9.32% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 352 | 160 / 192 | 24 | 15% | 1.29x | +4.76% | -8.23% |
| Score < 90 | 15624 | 11824 / 3800 | 1362 | 11.5% | 0.99x | +4.47% | -5.07% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 42 | 28 / 14 | 6 | 21.4% | 1.84x | +5.73% | -9.15% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 820 | 348 / 472 | 65 | 18.7% | 1.61x | +5.58% | -7.20% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14903 | 11523 / 3380 | 1306 | 11.3% | 0.97x | +4.45% | -5.01% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 220 | 88 / 132 | 9 | 10.2% | 0.88x | +4.19% | -9.37% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 487 | 367 / 120 | 78 | 21.3% | 1.84x | +6.88% | -5.92% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2408 | 1771 / 637 | 369 | 20.8% | 1.79x | +6.04% | -5.79% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7645 | 5775 / 1870 | 617 | 10.7% | 0.92x | +4.38% | -5.11% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5445 | 4074 / 1371 | 322 | 7.9% | 0.68x | +3.72% | -4.74% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 330 | 253 / 77 | 65 | 25.7% | 2.22x | +6.84% | -8.91% |
| Elevated | 3522 | 2755 / 767 | 651 | 23.6% | 2.03x | +6.66% | -6.95% |
| Medium | 11431 | 8497 / 2934 | 645 | 7.6% | 0.66x | +3.76% | -4.52% |
| Low | 702 | 482 / 220 | 25 | 5.2% | 0.45x | +3.43% | -2.96% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2368 | 1776 / 592 | 545 | 30.7% | 2.65x | +7.89% | -7.16% |
| Energy | 672 | 504 / 168 | 77 | 15.3% | 1.32x | +5.73% | -3.84% |
| Health Care | 1888 | 1416 / 472 | 191 | 13.5% | 1.16x | +5.15% | -3.91% |
| Consumer Staples | 1120 | 840 / 280 | 112 | 13.3% | 1.15x | +4.27% | -4.34% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1504 | 1128 / 376 | 92 | 8.2% | 0.71x | +4.11% | -5.52% |
| Communication Services | 680 | 508 / 172 | 37 | 7.3% | 0.63x | +3.72% | -5.84% |
| Industrials | 2560 | 1920 / 640 | 115 | 6% | 0.52x | +3.58% | -5.01% |
| Financials | 2432 | 1824 / 608 | 103 | 5.6% | 0.48x | +3.11% | -4.89% |
| Utilities | 992 | 744 / 248 | 42 | 5.6% | 0.48x | +3.66% | -3.49% |
| Real Estate | 950 | 709 / 241 | 40 | 5.6% | 0.48x | +2.83% | -4.51% |
| Materials | 819 | 618 / 201 | 32 | 5.2% | 0.45x | +3.42% | -6.32% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.