Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-10-21 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 1809 | 1039 / 770 | 105 | 10.1% | 0.96x | +4.04% | -6.35% |
| Grade C | 560 | 402 / 158 | 77 | 19.2% | 1.83x | +5.96% | -6.43% |
| Grade D | 2582 | 1169 / 1413 | 113 | 9.7% | 0.92x | +4.09% | -5.54% |
| Grade F | 10535 | 8381 / 2154 | 854 | 10.2% | 0.97x | +4.23% | -4.93% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $250M | 10173 | 7267 / 2906 | 12.6% | 1.2x | 1.06x | 19.6% · 1319 checked | +4.71% | -5.29% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 9902 | 7065 / 2837 | 12.3% | 1.17x | 1.02x | 19.4% · 1295 checked | +4.66% | -5.18% |
| Risk not High | 15165 | 10748 / 4417 | 10.1% | 0.96x | 0.77x | 19.2% · 1956 checked | +4.20% | -5.10% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 2779 | 1955 / 824 | 21.3% | 2.03x | 2.08x | 19.1% · 341 checked | +6.26% | -5.51% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2773 | 1950 / 823 | 21.2% | 2.02x | 2.07x | 18.9% · 339 checked | +6.24% | -5.52% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2337 | 1478 / 859 | 14.6% | 1.39x | 1.32x | 18.7% · 214 checked | +4.92% | -6.43% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 797 | 536 / 261 | 20.9% | 1.99x | 2.04x | 18.2% · 88 checked | +6.13% | -7.29% |
| Technical >= 20 | 3238 | 1998 / 1240 | 12.4% | 1.18x | 1.1x | 18.1% · 277 checked | +4.44% | -6.26% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1837 | 1271 / 566 | 22.9% | 2.18x | 2.3x | 17.3% · 226 checked | +6.62% | -6.08% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 796 | 535 / 261 | 20.7% | 1.97x | 2.04x | 17.2% · 87 checked | +6.10% | -7.31% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 2316 | 1459 / 857 | 14.1% | 1.34x | 1.3x | 17.2% · 209 checked | +4.82% | -6.41% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 6044 | 3830 / 2214 | 14.5% | 1.38x | 1.32x | 17.1% · 674 checked | +5.07% | -5.73% |
| Technical >= 16 | 9000 | 5522 / 3478 | 12.1% | 1.15x | 1.05x | 17.1% · 960 checked | +4.53% | -5.66% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1834 | 1268 / 566 | 22.8% | 2.17x | 2.29x | 17% · 224 checked | +6.60% | -6.09% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 5968 | 3771 / 2197 | 14.1% | 1.34x | 1.29x | 16.7% · 666 checked | +4.99% | -5.68% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 129 | 68 / 61 | 10 | 14.7% | 1.4x | 0% · 13 checked | +4.73% | -9.12% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2350 | 1437 / 913 | 182 | 12.7% | 1.21x | 15.4% · 169 checked | +4.58% | -6.35% |
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 92 | 65 / 27 | 8 | 12.3% | 1.17x | 0% · 19 checked | +4.70% | -10.38% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 188 | 105 / 83 | 11 | 10.5% | 1x | 0% · 25 checked | +4.33% | -9.27% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 280 | 139 / 141 | 16 | 11.5% | 1.1x | +4.36% | -8.38% |
| Score < 90 | 15202 | 10849 / 4353 | 1133 | 10.4% | 0.99x | +4.26% | -5.14% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 676 | 308 / 368 | 56 | 18.2% | 1.73x | +5.35% | -7.49% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 32 | 23 / 9 | 3 | 13% | 1.24x | +5.08% | -9.21% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14622 | 10578 / 4044 | 1082 | 10.2% | 0.97x | +4.23% | -5.07% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 156 | 82 / 74 | 8 | 9.8% | 0.93x | +4.11% | -9.29% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 471 | 334 / 137 | 75 | 22.5% | 2.14x | +7.18% | -5.30% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2308 | 1621 / 687 | 342 | 21.1% | 2.01x | +6.08% | -5.56% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7394 | 5312 / 2082 | 500 | 9.4% | 0.9x | +4.14% | -5.21% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5313 | 3724 / 1589 | 232 | 6.2% | 0.59x | +3.37% | -4.97% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 321 | 243 / 78 | 62 | 25.5% | 2.43x | +6.79% | -8.98% |
| Elevated | 3415 | 2568 / 847 | 609 | 23.7% | 2.26x | +6.70% | -6.69% |
| Medium | 11073 | 7747 / 3326 | 463 | 6% | 0.57x | +3.44% | -4.67% |
| Low | 677 | 433 / 244 | 15 | 3.5% | 0.33x | +2.98% | -3.20% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2294 | 1628 / 666 | 515 | 31.6% | 3.01x | +8.10% | -6.76% |
| Energy | 651 | 462 / 189 | 72 | 15.6% | 1.49x | +5.64% | -4.01% |
| Health Care | 1829 | 1298 / 531 | 149 | 11.5% | 1.1x | +4.80% | -4.12% |
| Consumer Staples | 1085 | 770 / 315 | 76 | 9.9% | 0.94x | +3.78% | -4.60% |
| Communication Services | 660 | 468 / 192 | 34 | 7.3% | 0.7x | +3.59% | -5.90% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1457 | 1034 / 423 | 65 | 6.3% | 0.6x | +3.79% | -5.69% |
| Utilities | 961 | 682 / 279 | 40 | 5.9% | 0.56x | +3.45% | -3.61% |
| Real Estate | 920 | 649 / 271 | 31 | 4.8% | 0.46x | +2.50% | -4.73% |
| Industrials | 2480 | 1760 / 720 | 80 | 4.5% | 0.43x | +3.33% | -5.01% |
| Financials | 2356 | 1672 / 684 | 69 | 4.1% | 0.39x | +2.80% | -5.06% |
| Materials | 793 | 568 / 225 | 18 | 3.2% | 0.3x | +3.07% | -6.62% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.