Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-10-05 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 99 | 77 / 22 | 13 | 16.9% | 2.17x | +5.15% | -6.93% |
| Grade B | 40 | 32 / 8 | 1 | 3.1% | 0.4x | +4.39% | -7.49% |
| Grade D | 3333 | 2491 / 842 | 151 | 6.1% | 0.78x | +3.41% | -5.68% |
| Grade F | 9540 | 6403 / 3137 | 533 | 8.3% | 1.06x | +3.88% | -5.36% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 52 | 43 / 9 | 25.6% | 3.28x | 2.72x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.94% | -8.10% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 107 | 71 / 36 | 32.4% | 4.15x | 3.82x | 37.5% · 24 checked | +8.49% | -5.91% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 108 | 72 / 36 | 31.9% | 4.09x | 3.74x | 37.5% · 24 checked | +8.43% | -5.87% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 108 | 72 / 36 | 31.9% | 4.09x | 3.74x | 37.5% · 24 checked | +8.43% | -5.87% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 184 | 122 / 62 | 28.7% | 3.68x | 3.28x | 36.1% · 36 checked | +7.92% | -5.44% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 185 | 123 / 62 | 28.5% | 3.65x | 3.24x | 36.1% · 36 checked | +7.88% | -5.42% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 185 | 123 / 62 | 28.5% | 3.65x | 3.24x | 36.1% · 36 checked | +7.88% | -5.42% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 48 | 37 / 11 | 27% | 3.46x | 2.78x | 35.7% · 14 checked | +6.34% | -7.70% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 151 | 111 / 40 | 23.4% | 3x | 2.56x | 34.6% · 26 checked | +5.92% | -6.98% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 307 | 225 / 82 | 14.7% | 1.88x | 1.47x | 32.4% · 34 checked | +4.96% | -6.34% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 57 | 42 / 15 | 31% | 3.97x | 3.95x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +7.16% | -7.50% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 57 | 42 / 15 | 31% | 3.97x | 3.95x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +7.16% | -7.50% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 57 | 42 / 15 | 31% | 3.97x | 3.95x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +7.16% | -7.50% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 87 | 71 / 16 | 16.9% | 2.17x | 1.77x | 30.8% · 13 checked | +5.38% | -7.31% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 | 292 | 231 / 61 | 13% | 1.67x | 1.24x | 30.6% · 36 checked | +4.64% | -6.21% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 80 | 62 / 18 | 13 | 21% | 2.69x | 23.5% · 17 checked | +5.54% | -7.69% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 93 | 76 / 17 | 12 | 15.8% | 2.03x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +5.16% | -7.41% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 140 | 110 / 30 | 14 | 12.7% | 1.63x | 16% · 25 checked | +4.85% | -7.21% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 1975 | 1572 / 403 | 138 | 8.8% | 1.13x | 15.1% · 179 checked | +4.19% | -5.72% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.LITE Lumentum | A 79.4 | 93.9 60.9/110 · 33/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.PTC PTC Inc. | A 79.2 | 102.7 61.7/110 · 41/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.CRL Charles River Laboratories | B 75.8 | 90.2 60.2/110 · 30/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 197 | 156 / 41 | 19 | 12.2% | 1.56x | +4.56% | -6.34% |
| Score < 90 | 12813 | 8847 / 3966 | 679 | 7.7% | 0.99x | +3.75% | -5.46% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 33 | 29 / 4 | 5 | 17.2% | 2.21x | +5.52% | -7.52% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 405 | 297 / 108 | 40 | 13.5% | 1.73x | +4.66% | -6.43% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 107 | 81 / 26 | 9 | 11.1% | 1.42x | +4.61% | -7.10% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12468 | 8597 / 3871 | 644 | 7.5% | 0.96x | +3.72% | -5.42% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 396 | 284 / 112 | 84 | 29.6% | 3.79x | +7.91% | -4.48% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1897 | 1325 / 572 | 241 | 18.2% | 2.33x | +5.62% | -5.46% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6260 | 4271 / 1989 | 256 | 6% | 0.77x | +3.60% | -5.58% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4460 | 3124 / 1336 | 117 | 3.7% | 0.47x | +2.82% | -5.42% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 369 | 273 / 96 | 55 | 20.1% | 2.58x | +8.00% | -7.82% |
| Elevated | 3274 | 2346 / 928 | 468 | 19.9% | 2.55x | +6.26% | -6.37% |
| Medium | 8916 | 6069 / 2847 | 175 | 2.9% | 0.37x | +2.72% | -5.09% |
| Low | 454 | 316 / 138 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.43% | -4.06% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1924 | 1332 / 592 | 401 | 30.1% | 3.86x | +7.77% | -6.57% |
| Communication Services | 567 | 392 / 175 | 33 | 8.4% | 1.08x | +3.87% | -5.40% |
| Energy | 546 | 378 / 168 | 31 | 8.2% | 1.05x | +4.62% | -4.54% |
| Health Care | 1534 | 1062 / 472 | 73 | 6.9% | 0.88x | +4.67% | -4.13% |
| Materials | 673 | 468 / 205 | 29 | 6.2% | 0.79x | +3.57% | -6.10% |
| Consumer Staples | 909 | 629 / 280 | 23 | 3.7% | 0.47x | +2.93% | -5.31% |
| Financials | 1976 | 1368 / 608 | 34 | 2.5% | 0.32x | +2.49% | -5.14% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1222 | 846 / 376 | 21 | 2.5% | 0.32x | +2.88% | -6.45% |
| Industrials | 2080 | 1440 / 640 | 35 | 2.4% | 0.31x | +2.75% | -5.65% |
| Utilities | 806 | 558 / 248 | 12 | 2.2% | 0.28x | +1.71% | -4.96% |
| Real Estate | 776 | 531 / 245 | 6 | 1.1% | 0.14x | +1.89% | -5.11% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.