Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-10-01 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 28 | 23 / 5 | 1 | 4.3% | 0.51x | +3.55% | -7.03% |
| Grade B | 140 | 110 / 30 | 19 | 17.3% | 2.04x | +5.07% | -7.07% |
| Grade D | 3324 | 2597 / 727 | 179 | 6.9% | 0.81x | +3.61% | -5.58% |
| Grade F | 9522 | 6272 / 3250 | 563 | 9% | 1.06x | +4.09% | -5.22% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 106 | 60 / 46 | 35% | 4.12x | 2.19x | 76.5% · 17 checked | +9.06% | -6.84% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 107 | 61 / 46 | 34.4% | 4.05x | 2.14x | 76.5% · 17 checked | +8.97% | -6.77% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 107 | 61 / 46 | 34.4% | 4.05x | 2.14x | 76.5% · 17 checked | +8.97% | -6.77% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 183 | 110 / 73 | 27.3% | 3.21x | 2.24x | 53.8% · 26 checked | +7.74% | -6.17% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 184 | 111 / 73 | 27% | 3.18x | 2.21x | 53.8% · 26 checked | +7.70% | -6.14% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 184 | 111 / 73 | 27% | 3.18x | 2.21x | 53.8% · 26 checked | +7.70% | -6.14% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 157 | 111 / 46 | 20.7% | 2.44x | 1.96x | 46.7% · 15 checked | +5.49% | -7.30% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 314 | 200 / 114 | 30% | 3.53x | 2.88x | 45.3% · 53 checked | +7.91% | -5.41% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 314 | 200 / 114 | 30% | 3.53x | 2.88x | 45.3% · 53 checked | +7.91% | -5.41% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 512 | 336 / 176 | 19.6% | 2.31x | 1.87x | 43.5% · 46 checked | +5.78% | -6.07% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 514 | 338 / 176 | 19.5% | 2.29x | 1.86x | 43.5% · 46 checked | +5.77% | -6.07% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 513 | 337 / 176 | 19.3% | 2.27x | 1.86x | 42.2% · 45 checked | +5.73% | -6.09% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 400 | 271 / 129 | 29.9% | 3.52x | 3.18x | 40% · 60 checked | +8.08% | -4.99% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 400 | 271 / 129 | 29.9% | 3.52x | 3.18x | 40% · 60 checked | +8.08% | -4.99% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 352 | 235 / 117 | 19.6% | 2.31x | 1.95x | 40% · 30 checked | +5.64% | -6.08% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 90 | 68 / 22 | 17 | 25% | 2.94x | 37.5% · 8 checked | +5.67% | -8.03% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 170 | 135 / 35 | 20 | 14.8% | 1.74x | 20% · 15 checked | +4.75% | -7.16% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 107 | 89 / 18 | 13 | 14.6% | 1.72x | 18.2% · 11 checked | +4.70% | -7.60% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2230 | 1806 / 424 | 170 | 9.4% | 1.11x | 9.5% · 158 checked | +4.34% | -5.57% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.SNPS Synopsys | A 80.5 | 110.3 64.3/110 · 46/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.ACN Accenture | B 77.9 | 114.1 68.1/110 · 46/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.LITE Lumentum | B 74.7 | 106.4 63.4/110 · 43/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 240 | 199 / 41 | 23 | 11.6% | 1.36x | +4.51% | -6.27% |
| Score < 90 | 12771 | 8803 / 3968 | 738 | 8.4% | 0.99x | +3.95% | -5.33% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 40 | 32 / 8 | 9 | 28.1% | 3.31x | +6.13% | -7.48% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 478 | 370 / 108 | 44 | 11.9% | 1.4x | +4.73% | -6.34% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 130 | 103 / 27 | 11 | 10.7% | 1.26x | +4.31% | -7.06% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12368 | 8499 / 3869 | 698 | 8.2% | 0.96x | +3.92% | -5.28% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 400 | 271 / 129 | 81 | 29.9% | 3.52x | +8.08% | -4.99% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1933 | 1268 / 665 | 246 | 19.4% | 2.28x | +5.84% | -5.41% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6297 | 4265 / 2032 | 300 | 7% | 0.82x | +3.92% | -5.38% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4386 | 3200 / 1186 | 135 | 4.2% | 0.49x | +2.92% | -5.32% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 394 | 297 / 97 | 68 | 22.9% | 2.69x | +8.90% | -7.34% |
| Elevated | 3469 | 2506 / 963 | 494 | 19.7% | 2.32x | +6.27% | -6.13% |
| Medium | 8726 | 5928 / 2798 | 200 | 3.4% | 0.4x | +2.85% | -4.99% |
| Low | 427 | 273 / 154 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.46% | -4.02% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1924 | 1332 / 592 | 398 | 29.9% | 3.52x | +7.71% | -6.71% |
| Energy | 546 | 378 / 168 | 52 | 13.8% | 1.62x | +5.66% | -4.11% |
| Communication Services | 567 | 391 / 176 | 40 | 10.2% | 1.2x | +4.45% | -5.21% |
| Health Care | 1533 | 1061 / 472 | 83 | 7.8% | 0.92x | +5.08% | -4.10% |
| Materials | 675 | 468 / 207 | 35 | 7.5% | 0.88x | +3.68% | -5.63% |
| Consumer Staples | 909 | 629 / 280 | 27 | 4.3% | 0.51x | +3.40% | -5.11% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1222 | 846 / 376 | 26 | 3.1% | 0.36x | +2.89% | -6.37% |
| Industrials | 2080 | 1440 / 640 | 43 | 3% | 0.35x | +2.78% | -5.68% |
| Financials | 1976 | 1368 / 608 | 38 | 2.8% | 0.33x | +2.72% | -4.76% |
| Utilities | 806 | 558 / 248 | 12 | 2.2% | 0.26x | +1.89% | -4.73% |
| Real Estate | 778 | 533 / 245 | 8 | 1.5% | 0.18x | +1.95% | -5.18% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.