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歷史相似情境下跌排名

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＜0） · 中位＜0 · DN＞UP 10% · 已排除強勢上升

短期上升版本

下跌追蹤Lv1
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短期上升版本

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期下跌門檻（中位＜0 · DN＞UP · 排除強勢上升），按中位跌幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

下跌追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 -1.1% · 下跌比 65% · Dn−Up +11.3 · 共 24 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

09-29

8/8
  1. #1 PSKY 2日 中位-1.83% P25-5.28% 下跌比65% Dn/Up30%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 CCL 3日 中位-1.53% P25-3.67% 下跌比70% Dn/Up17.5%/7.5% 開富途
  3. #3 IDXX 中位-1.53% P25-3.21% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  4. #4 WRB 中位-1.30% P25-2.91% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 PEP 2日 中位-0.87% P25-3.17% 下跌比65% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 T 中位-0.72% P25-2.63% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up17.5%/5% 開富途
  7. #7 CRWD 中位-0.41% P25-3.83% 下跌比52.5% Dn/Up22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  8. #8 SNPS 中位-0.13% P25-3.70% 下跌比50% Dn/Up20%/2.5% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 下跌速覽

  1. #1 US.ROL P25-4.69% 下跌比75% Dn/Up22.5% / 12.5% 中位-2.14% 開富途
  2. #2 US.DHR P25-3.82% 下跌比65% Dn/Up17.5% / 0% 中位-1.60% 開富途
  3. #3 US.NVR P25-3.35% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up15% / 5% 中位-1.36% 開富途
  4. #4 US.ERIE P25-2.47% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up12.5% / 2.5% 中位-1.25% 開富途
  5. #5 US.MKC P25-2.35% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up10% / 0% 中位-1.13% 開富途

跌幅領先榜

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序，其後才看 P25 與 Dn−Up；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格小於 0。

Default filter active: DN＞UP 10% (Down5 − Up5 ≥ 10pp).

來自 sp500_score_projections 的已物化投影列，按中位跌幅、然後 P25、然後 Dn−Up 排序。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-2.14%

P25-4.69% Down75% Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5% Score48.6 DownOpp4.198
View chart 開富途
#2 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-1.60%

P25-3.82% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score69.2 DownOpp3.236
View chart 開富途
#3 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.36%

P25-3.35% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score56.1 DownOpp2.877
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-1.25%

P25-2.47% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score51.6 DownOpp2.731
View chart 開富途
#5 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-1.13%

P25-2.35% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score68.4 DownOpp2.205
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-1.06%

P25-2.76% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score85.6 DownOpp1.808
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.85%

P25-3.11% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score45.6 DownOpp2.335
View chart 開富途