Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-29 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 159 | 121 / 38 | 21 | 17.4% | 1.85x | +5.04% | -6.74% |
| Grade D | 3264 | 2611 / 653 | 205 | 7.9% | 0.84x | +3.85% | -5.41% |
| Grade F | 9079 | 5762 / 3317 | 570 | 9.9% | 1.05x | +4.32% | -5.13% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 480 | 324 / 156 | 18.8% | 2x | 1.71x | 60% · 20 checked | +5.57% | -6.09% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 483 | 327 / 156 | 18.7% | 1.99x | 1.7x | 60% · 20 checked | +5.57% | -6.06% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 482 | 327 / 155 | 18.7% | 1.99x | 1.7x | 60% · 20 checked | +5.57% | -6.06% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 337 | 225 / 112 | 19.1% | 2.03x | 1.8x | 58.3% · 12 checked | +5.42% | -6.11% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 168 | 100 / 68 | 26% | 2.77x | 2.22x | 57.1% · 14 checked | +7.34% | -6.55% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 169 | 101 / 68 | 25.7% | 2.73x | 2.2x | 57.1% · 14 checked | +7.30% | -6.51% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 169 | 101 / 68 | 25.7% | 2.73x | 2.2x | 57.1% · 14 checked | +7.30% | -6.51% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 299 | 182 / 117 | 28% | 2.98x | 2.63x | 46.4% · 28 checked | +7.44% | -5.93% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 299 | 182 / 117 | 28% | 2.98x | 2.63x | 46.4% · 28 checked | +7.44% | -5.93% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 341 | 264 / 77 | 14% | 1.49x | 1.34x | 45.5% · 11 checked | +4.87% | -6.42% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 389 | 259 / 130 | 31.7% | 3.37x | 3.22x | 41.9% · 31 checked | +8.13% | -5.47% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 389 | 259 / 130 | 31.7% | 3.37x | 3.22x | 41.9% · 31 checked | +8.13% | -5.47% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 | 394 | 311 / 83 | 11.9% | 1.27x | 1.14x | 41.7% · 12 checked | +4.54% | -6.24% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 | 394 | 311 / 83 | 11.9% | 1.27x | 1.14x | 41.7% · 12 checked | +4.54% | -6.24% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Risk not High | 389 | 306 / 83 | 11.4% | 1.21x | 1.09x | 41.7% · 12 checked | +4.43% | -6.25% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 90 | 65 / 25 | 16 | 24.6% | 2.62x | 50% · 2 checked | +5.41% | -8.11% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 111 | 86 / 25 | 14 | 16.3% | 1.73x | 0% · 3 checked | +4.85% | -7.43% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 176 | 134 / 42 | 21 | 15.7% | 1.67x | 20% · 5 checked | +4.85% | -6.92% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2279 | 1860 / 419 | 196 | 10.5% | 1.12x | 11.8% · 76 checked | +4.55% | -5.32% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 248 | 201 / 47 | 23 | 11.4% | 1.21x | +4.53% | -6.10% |
| Score < 90 | 12267 | 8303 / 3964 | 771 | 9.3% | 0.99x | +4.17% | -5.23% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 39 | 32 / 7 | 10 | 31.3% | 3.33x | +6.31% | -6.93% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 464 | 368 / 96 | 43 | 11.7% | 1.24x | +4.80% | -6.24% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 137 | 102 / 35 | 11 | 10.8% | 1.15x | +4.40% | -6.92% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 11879 | 8005 / 3874 | 732 | 9.1% | 0.97x | +4.14% | -5.17% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 389 | 259 / 130 | 82 | 31.7% | 3.37x | +8.13% | -5.47% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1852 | 1191 / 661 | 233 | 19.6% | 2.09x | +6.00% | -5.43% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6073 | 4069 / 2004 | 329 | 8.1% | 0.86x | +4.17% | -5.25% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4205 | 2988 / 1217 | 152 | 5.1% | 0.54x | +3.13% | -5.15% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 403 | 303 / 100 | 81 | 26.7% | 2.84x | +9.82% | -6.82% |
| Elevated | 3431 | 2423 / 1008 | 505 | 20.8% | 2.21x | +6.52% | -5.99% |
| Medium | 8286 | 5537 / 2749 | 210 | 3.8% | 0.4x | +2.97% | -4.89% |
| Low | 399 | 244 / 155 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.54% | -4.03% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1850 | 1258 / 592 | 379 | 30.1% | 3.2x | +7.93% | -6.82% |
| Energy | 525 | 357 / 168 | 56 | 15.7% | 1.67x | +6.07% | -3.94% |
| Communication Services | 547 | 370 / 177 | 48 | 13% | 1.38x | +5.06% | -4.83% |
| Materials | 650 | 442 / 208 | 39 | 8.8% | 0.94x | +4.04% | -5.21% |
| Health Care | 1474 | 1002 / 472 | 85 | 8.5% | 0.9x | +5.30% | -4.11% |
| Consumer Staples | 874 | 594 / 280 | 29 | 4.9% | 0.52x | +3.65% | -5.01% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1175 | 799 / 376 | 37 | 4.6% | 0.49x | +2.99% | -6.31% |
| Industrials | 2000 | 1360 / 640 | 60 | 4.4% | 0.47x | +2.97% | -5.65% |
| Financials | 1900 | 1292 / 608 | 42 | 3.3% | 0.35x | +2.92% | -4.48% |
| Utilities | 775 | 527 / 248 | 12 | 2.3% | 0.24x | +2.03% | -4.53% |
| Real Estate | 749 | 506 / 243 | 9 | 1.8% | 0.19x | +2.06% | -5.06% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.