Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-07-21 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 413 | 377 / 36 | 82 | 21.8% | 1.21x | +7.49% | -8.54% |
| Grade C | 82 | 81 / 1 | 24 | 29.6% | 1.64x | +7.63% | -8.23% |
| Grade D | 5435 | 4539 / 896 | 556 | 12.2% | 0.68x | +5.52% | -4.96% |
| Grade F | 13152 | 10063 / 3089 | 2045 | 20.3% | 1.13x | +6.85% | -4.84% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 722 | 601 / 121 | 32.3% | 1.79x | 1.87x | 23% · 74 checked | +8.81% | -10.41% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 723 | 602 / 121 | 32.2% | 1.79x | 1.86x | 23% · 74 checked | +8.81% | -10.43% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 493 | 411 / 82 | 37.5% | 2.08x | 2.21x | 21.6% · 51 checked | +9.63% | -12.11% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 494 | 412 / 82 | 37.4% | 2.08x | 2.2x | 21.6% · 51 checked | +9.63% | -12.13% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3793 | 3170 / 623 | 26.8% | 1.49x | 1.57x | 16.5% · 382 checked | +7.91% | -7.32% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3829 | 3199 / 630 | 26.7% | 1.48x | 1.56x | 16.4% · 383 checked | +7.89% | -7.38% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 226 | 200 / 26 | 41.5% | 2.31x | 2.41x | 15.4% · 13 checked | +10.29% | -14.09% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 226 | 200 / 26 | 41.5% | 2.31x | 2.41x | 15.4% · 13 checked | +10.29% | -14.09% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 13244 | 10716 / 2528 | 19.2% | 1.07x | 1.12x | 13% · 1383 checked | +6.55% | -5.45% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 12562 | 10181 / 2381 | 18.4% | 1.02x | 1.07x | 12.6% · 1305 checked | +6.43% | -5.26% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 2704 | 2294 / 410 | 27.2% | 1.51x | 1.62x | 12.1% · 257 checked | +8.03% | -7.91% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2688 | 2280 / 408 | 27.2% | 1.51x | 1.62x | 12.1% · 257 checked | +8.04% | -7.86% |
| Risk not High | 18200 | 14375 / 3825 | 17.1% | 0.95x | 1.01x | 10.4% · 1896 checked | +6.35% | -4.82% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 213 | 199 / 14 | 30.7% | 1.71x | 1.76x | 10% · 10 checked | +9.23% | -11.42% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 230 | 215 / 15 | 29.8% | 1.66x | 1.72x | 9.1% · 11 checked | +8.79% | -11.63% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 230 | 215 / 15 | 64 | 29.8% | 1.66x | 9.1% · 11 checked | +8.79% | -11.63% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 315 | 293 / 22 | 69 | 23.5% | 1.31x | 3.6% · 28 checked | +8.09% | -8.91% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 495 | 458 / 37 | 106 | 23.1% | 1.28x | 2% · 50 checked | +7.51% | -8.48% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4865 | 3969 / 896 | 581 | 14.6% | 0.81x | 4.5% · 684 checked | +5.93% | -5.47% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.MMM 3M | B 69.8 | 112.4 73.4/110 · 39/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.HAS Hasbro | B 67.5 | 110.5 67.5/110 · 43/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 577 | 523 / 54 | 103 | 19.7% | 1.09x | +6.70% | -7.91% |
| Score < 90 | 18489 | 14528 / 3961 | 2601 | 17.9% | 0.99x | +6.45% | -4.88% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 85 | 78 / 7 | 27 | 34.6% | 1.92x | +9.99% | -11.84% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 410 | 380 / 30 | 79 | 20.8% | 1.16x | +7.01% | -7.79% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 17317 | 13486 / 3831 | 2437 | 18.1% | 1.01x | +6.49% | -4.78% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1270 | 1116 / 154 | 164 | 14.7% | 0.82x | +5.69% | -6.03% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 723 | 602 / 121 | 194 | 32.2% | 1.79x | +8.81% | -10.43% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3106 | 2597 / 509 | 661 | 25.5% | 1.42x | +7.67% | -6.67% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9415 | 7517 / 1898 | 1199 | 16% | 0.89x | +5.98% | -4.63% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5838 | 4344 / 1494 | 653 | 15% | 0.83x | +6.26% | -3.84% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 882 | 685 / 197 | 243 | 35.5% | 1.97x | +8.97% | -8.54% |
| Elevated | 6374 | 4969 / 1405 | 1492 | 30% | 1.67x | +8.43% | -7.25% |
| Medium | 11420 | 9035 / 2385 | 954 | 10.6% | 0.59x | +5.29% | -3.56% |
| Low | 406 | 371 / 35 | 18 | 4.9% | 0.27x | +4.08% | -2.91% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2805 | 2217 / 588 | 802 | 36.2% | 2.01x | +9.14% | -9.89% |
| Health Care | 2241 | 1769 / 472 | 366 | 20.7% | 1.15x | +7.01% | -3.57% |
| Materials | 987 | 779 / 208 | 155 | 19.9% | 1.11x | +8.33% | -5.24% |
| Financials | 2886 | 2278 / 608 | 425 | 18.7% | 1.04x | +6.60% | -3.54% |
| Communication Services | 867 | 681 / 186 | 113 | 16.6% | 0.92x | +5.37% | -6.28% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1786 | 1410 / 376 | 220 | 15.6% | 0.87x | +5.79% | -4.79% |
| Industrials | 3027 | 2387 / 640 | 358 | 15% | 0.83x | +6.32% | -4.33% |
| Energy | 798 | 630 / 168 | 80 | 12.7% | 0.71x | +4.88% | -5.19% |
| Consumer Staples | 1329 | 1049 / 280 | 120 | 11.4% | 0.63x | +5.31% | -3.99% |
| Real Estate | 1178 | 930 / 248 | 40 | 4.3% | 0.24x | +4.39% | -3.79% |
| Utilities | 1178 | 930 / 248 | 28 | 3% | 0.17x | +3.82% | -2.52% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.