Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-21

DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-21

DOE window 2026-06-02 → 2026-07-16

DOE anchors 120

Computed at 2026年7月29日下午9:38 HKT

Rows 3

Excluded uptrends 331

Filters

Trade date

Sector Limit DownOpp ≥ 2 only (Top 10) Max median return % Min down rate % Review DOE calibration

Downside ranking

US.SMCI · -0.74% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.74%

Top down rate55.4%

Top P25-3.99%

DOE score2.713

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.74%

P25-3.99% Down55.4% Dn/Up519% / 19.2% Score42.3 DownOpp0.7

View chart 開富途

#2 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.19%

P25-2.50% Down52.6% Dn/Up511.4% / 7.6% Score61.2 DownOpp0.108

View chart 開富途

#3 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.40%

P25-3.73% Down52% Dn/Up518.2% / 20% Score38.3 DownOpp0.005

View chart 開富途