Model Proof
Prove whether high scores worked.
Start with top-score outcomes versus the S&P 500 baseline, then inspect the distributions and raw archived rows behind the proof.
Model Proof
2026-07-27 · 10D
Model Proof
Do high Cursor_18.25 scores perform better?
Compare top score groups against the same-day S&P 500 baseline using archived forward returns.
Forward outcomes are still pending.
Choose an older snapshot or a shorter horizon to see checked model proof metrics.
Model Proof uses archived market data to evaluate research quality. It is not a trading result, prediction, or financial advice.
Main score distribution
No chart data yet.
5D momentum v2 distribution
No chart data yet.
Score with momentum v2 distribution
No chart data yet.
Dollar volume distribution
No chart data yet.
Risk level distribution
10D forward return distribution
No chart data yet.
Live comparison
Which chart looks strongest? · 2026-07-27 · 10D
How to read Corr, R², and n
Each scatter chart shows sample size, correlation, and explanatory power in the top-right box.
n (sample size)
| Level | Approx. |
|---|---|
| Best | 400+ (near full checked universe) |
| Usable | 200+ |
| Caution | <100 (Corr / R² can swing easily) |
A small n can look good by chance even when Corr looks attractive.
Corr (correlation)
The model goal is higher score → higher forward return, so positive Corr is preferred.
| Corr | Meaning |
|---|---|
| +0.15 ~ +0.30 | Decent for noisy short-term stock returns |
| +0.30+ | Strong; check whether it repeats across dates |
| ~0 | Little linear relationship |
| < 0 | Direction reversed for this horizon |
R² (explanatory power, shown as %)
R² will usually stay low. Do not expect 50% or 80%.
| R² | Meaning |
|---|---|
| <2% | Very weak; score barely explains return |
| 2% ~ 8% | Normal and usable for short-term finance research |
| 8% ~ 15% | Relatively strong; worth a closer look |
| >15% | Uncommon; check sample size and sparse buckets |
Compare across the five charts: prefer the chart with positive Corr and the highest R².
Score vs outcome scatter
Pick a Y-axis tab. Five factor charts per tab instead of scrolling fifteen on one page.
Score with momentum v2 vs forward return
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Main score vs forward return
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
5D momentum v2 vs forward return
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Technical signals vs forward return
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Money flow vs forward return
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Score with momentum v2 vs max runup
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Main score vs max runup
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
5D momentum v2 vs max runup
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Technical signals vs max runup
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Money flow vs max runup
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Score with momentum v2 vs max drawdown
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Main score vs max drawdown
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
5D momentum v2 vs max drawdown
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Technical signals vs max drawdown
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
Money flow vs max drawdown
Outcome data is pending for this date/horizon. Pending rows: 0.
| Symbol | Score | Risk / Volume | Forward outcome | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No study data for this date yet. | ||||
Forward performance is model evaluation against archived market data only. It is not a trading result, recommendation, or prediction.