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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=500 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-07-27

Computed at 2026年7月28日 上午7:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 13

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=500

As-of 2026-07-27

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-27
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-27
DOE window 2026-06-05 → 2026-07-22
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月28日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 13
Excluded downtrends 7
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau n/a

not ready

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

n/a

Best holding day 3D

+18.52% ann. net · n=27945

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -4%

< 0 · +0.46% exp · 72D WF

Opp study rows 27,945 with outcomes

1,509 awaiting horizon End 2026-07-27

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 22 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-07-21

11 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+3.79% 上漲比65.8% Up/Dn16.4% / 2.8% Opp3.888 開富途
  2. #2 CAH P75+3.58% 上漲比64% Up/Dn14.8% / 2.8% Opp3.476 開富途
  3. #3 JNJ P75+3.58% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn15.6% / 2.6% Opp3.435 開富途
  4. #4 VRTX P75+3.62% 上漲比61.8% Up/Dn15.2% / 2% Opp3.269 開富途
  5. #5 LLY P75+3.42% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn14% / 2.6% Opp3.203 開富途
  6. #6 BIIB P75+3.65% 上漲比61.2% Up/Dn16.2% / 4.8% Opp3.024 開富途
  7. #7 DGX P75+3.48% 上漲比59.6% Up/Dn14.2% / 2.4% Opp2.921 開富途
  8. #8 CRL P75+3.67% 上漲比61% Up/Dn18.4% / 4.8% Opp2.87 開富途
  9. #9 ELV P75+3.67% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn18% / 6.2% Opp2.717 開富途
  10. #10 RVTY P75+3.42% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn16.4% / 5.4% Opp2.697 開富途
  11. #11 ALGN P75+3.69% 上漲比57.2% Up/Dn17.2% / 6.8% Opp2.005 開富途

2026-07-22

9 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+3.58% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn15.6% / 3.2% Opp3.438 開富途
  2. #2 LLY P75+3.46% 上漲比61.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.8% Opp3.161 開富途
  3. #3 VRTX P75+3.39% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn14.6% / 3.8% Opp2.81 開富途
  4. #4 BIIB P75+3.42% 上漲比59.6% Up/Dn16.2% / 3.6% Opp2.743 開富途
  5. #5 CRL P75+3.67% 上漲比59.2% Up/Dn17.4% / 6% Opp2.478 開富途
  6. #6 RVTY P75+3.45% 上漲比58.6% Up/Dn17.4% / 5% Opp2.214 開富途
  7. #7 HUM P75+2.90% 上漲比57.6% Up/Dn15% / 3.2% Opp2.152 開富途
  8. #8 CNC P75+3.27% 上漲比57.2% Up/Dn15.6% / 3.8% Opp2.129 開富途
  9. #9 SOLV P75+2.90% 上漲比53.4% Up/Dn13.6% / 3% Opp1.564 開富途

2026-07-23

13 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+3.79% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn16.8% / 3% Opp3.49 開富途
  2. #2 VRTX P75+3.59% 上漲比62.6% Up/Dn15.4% / 5% Opp3.056 開富途
  3. #3 LLY P75+3.48% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn14.8% / 2.4% Opp3.017 開富途
  4. #4 CAH P75+3.59% 上漲比59.4% Up/Dn13.6% / 2.4% Opp2.968 開富途
  5. #5 HUM P75+3.74% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn17.6% / 4% Opp2.898 開富途
  6. #6 MSCI P75+4.01% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn19% / 8.6% Opp2.794 開富途
  7. #7 BIIB P75+3.81% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn18.2% / 6% Opp2.773 開富途
  8. #8 UNH P75+3.26% 上漲比59.2% Up/Dn12.6% / 2% Opp2.756 開富途
  9. #9 CNC P75+3.81% 上漲比59.6% Up/Dn18.2% / 7% Opp2.595 開富途
  10. #10 ELV P75+3.78% 上漲比59.6% Up/Dn18.4% / 5.8% Opp2.459 開富途
  11. #11 RVTY P75+3.45% 上漲比58% Up/Dn17.2% / 4.2% Opp2.202 開富途
  12. #12 ALGN P75+4.06% 上漲比56.8% Up/Dn21% / 7.6% Opp1.955 開富途
  13. #13 VTRS P75+2.90% 上漲比52.8% Up/Dn13% / 3% Opp1.48 開富途

2026-07-24

18 檔
  1. #1 WST P75+3.87% 上漲比61.9% Up/Dn15.9% / 2.5% Opp3.551 開富途
  2. #2 CAH P75+3.87% 上漲比63.1% Up/Dn15.9% / 1.6% Opp3.493 開富途
  3. #3 VRTX P75+3.87% 上漲比63.4% Up/Dn17.8% / 1.9% Opp3.443 開富途
  4. #4 EW P75+3.59% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn14.4% / 2.5% Opp3.413 開富途
  5. #5 BIIB P75+4.18% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn19.7% / 5% Opp3.277 開富途
  6. #6 HUM P75+4.23% 上漲比61.9% Up/Dn20.3% / 4.7% Opp3.226 開富途
  7. #7 BDX P75+3.39% 上漲比61.9% Up/Dn13.1% / 1.9% Opp3.179 開富途
  8. #8 MSCI P75+4.24% 上漲比61.9% Up/Dn20% / 8.4% Opp3.169 開富途
  9. #9 ELV P75+4.34% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn20.9% / 3.4% Opp3.129 開富途
  10. #10 RVTY P75+3.94% 上漲比60.3% Up/Dn19.4% / 3.4% Opp3.032 開富途
  11. #11 DG P75+3.22% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn14.7% / 2.8% Opp2.966 開富途
  12. #12 GILD P75+3.23% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.8% / 1.9% Opp2.878 開富途
  13. #13 DVA P75+3.25% 上漲比59.7% Up/Dn12.8% / 2.2% Opp2.829 開富途
  14. #14 UNH P75+3.15% 上漲比60% Up/Dn13.1% / 2.2% Opp2.754 開富途
  15. #15 SOLV P75+3.74% 上漲比60% Up/Dn18.8% / 5% Opp2.681 開富途
  16. #16 CNC P75+3.76% 上漲比58.1% Up/Dn17.8% / 7.2% Opp2.221 開富途
  17. #17 CRL P75+3.30% 上漲比56.3% Up/Dn15% / 4.1% Opp2.045 開富途
  18. #18 ALGN P75+3.97% 上漲比55.6% Up/Dn19.1% / 7.5% Opp1.714 開富途

2026-07-27

13 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+3.87% 上漲比63.2% Up/Dn15% / 3% Opp3.608 開富途
  2. #2 WST P75+3.87% 上漲比62.8% Up/Dn16.6% / 2.6% Opp3.557 開富途
  3. #3 HUM P75+4.45% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn20.8% / 4.8% Opp3.472 開富途
  4. #4 CRL P75+3.91% 上漲比62% Up/Dn17.8% / 3.8% Opp3.392 開富途
  5. #5 UNH P75+3.77% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn16% / 2.8% Opp3.347 開富途
  6. #6 CNC P75+4.12% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn18.2% / 4.2% Opp3.299 開富途
  7. #7 RVTY P75+4.09% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn19.8% / 5.4% Opp2.988 開富途
  8. #8 CAH P75+3.38% 上漲比59.6% Up/Dn12.2% / 2% Opp2.92 開富途
  9. #9 BIIB P75+4.01% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn19.8% / 5.6% Opp2.907 開富途
  10. #10 VRTX P75+3.67% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn15.2% / 4.4% Opp2.857 開富途
  11. #11 GILD P75+3.34% 上漲比59.4% Up/Dn12.6% / 2.2% Opp2.814 開富途
  12. #12 ALGN P75+4.08% 上漲比58.2% Up/Dn19.4% / 5.8% Opp2.488 開富途
  13. #13 ELV P75+3.74% 上漲比56% Up/Dn19.4% / 7.2% Opp1.853 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.EW P75+3.87% 上漲比63.2% Up/Dn15% / 3% Opp3.608 開富途
  2. #2 US.WST P75+3.87% 上漲比62.8% Up/Dn16.6% / 2.6% Opp3.557 開富途
  3. #3 US.HUM P75+4.45% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn20.8% / 4.8% Opp3.472 開富途
  4. #4 US.CRL P75+3.91% 上漲比62% Up/Dn17.8% / 3.8% Opp3.392 開富途
  5. #5 US.UNH P75+3.77% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn16% / 2.8% Opp3.347 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

No qualified stable Opp plateau — Opp filter not auto-applied. Set Min/Max Opp manually, or rematerialize Opp study.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

+1.35%

P75+3.87% 上漲比63.2% Up/Dn15% / 3% Score55.3 Opp3.608
View chart 開富途
#2 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

+1.35%

P75+3.87% 上漲比62.8% Up/Dn16.6% / 2.6% Score49.6 Opp3.557
View chart 開富途
#3 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+1.29%

P75+4.45% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn20.8% / 4.8% Score50.8 Opp3.472
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CRL Charles River Laboratories · Health Care

+1.27%

P75+3.91% 上漲比62% Up/Dn17.8% / 3.8% Score55 Opp3.392
View chart 開富途
#5 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

+1.21%

P75+3.77% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn16% / 2.8% Score49.4 Opp3.347
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CNC Centene Corporation · Health Care

+1.25%

P75+4.12% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn18.2% / 4.2% Score54.3 Opp3.299
View chart 開富途
#7 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

+1.10%

P75+4.09% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn19.8% / 5.4% Score47.7 Opp2.988
View chart 開富途
#8 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

+0.99%

P75+3.38% 上漲比59.6% Up/Dn12.2% / 2% Score58.3 Opp2.92
View chart 開富途
#9 US.BIIB Biogen · Health Care

+1.02%

P75+4.01% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn19.8% / 5.6% Score47.5 Opp2.907
View chart 開富途
#10 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

+0.98%

P75+3.67% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn15.2% / 4.4% Score47.9 Opp2.857
View chart 開富途
#11 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

+0.94%

P75+3.34% 上漲比59.4% Up/Dn12.6% / 2.2% Score55.9 Opp2.814
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ALGN Align Technology · Health Care

+0.84%

P75+4.08% 上漲比58.2% Up/Dn19.4% / 5.8% Score42.6 Opp2.488
View chart 開富途
#13 US.ELV Elevance Health · Health Care

+0.53%

P75+3.74% 上漲比56% Up/Dn19.4% / 7.2% Score45.3 Opp1.853
View chart 開富途