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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-10-27

Computed at 2026年10月28日 上午7:44 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 21

Coverage 100.0%

Best calibration 3D n=40

As-of 2026-10-27

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-10-27
Calibrated as-of 2026-10-27
Calibration window 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-22
Calibration anchors 120
Computed at 2026年10月28日 上午7:44 HKT
Rows 21
Excluded downtrends 25
Review projection calibration
Buy band (stable Opp plateau) n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Best holding day 10D

5+ · -14.32% ann. net · n=275

Rolling best TP/SL TP 6% / SL -3%

4 - 4.5 · +0.25% exp · 76D WF

Opp study rows 22,174 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-10-27

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +1.9% · 上漲比 67.5% · Up−Dn +15 · 共 91 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

10-21

8/27
  1. #1 LITE 中位+2.34% P75+7.46% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn37.5%/15% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 2日 中位+2.34% P75+6.81% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 BMY 中位+1.98% P75+3.75% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 TXN 中位+1.73% P75+5.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30%/7.5% 開富途
  5. #5 MRNA 中位+1.56% P75+3.31% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 NEM 中位+1.50% P75+3.20% 上漲比70% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 INTC 2日 中位+1.49% P75+8.04% 上漲比60% Up/Dn40%/12.5% 開富途
  8. #8 BALL 中位+1.37% P75+3.27% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5%/0% 開富途

10-22

8/22
  1. #1 MRVL 2日 中位+3.84% P75+7.73% 上漲比70% Up/Dn37.5%/17.5% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 2日 中位+3.65% P75+6.90% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 MU 中位+3.17% P75+7.12% 上漲比60% Up/Dn37.5%/17.5% 開富途
  4. #4 AMD 中位+3.16% P75+7.49% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  5. #5 NUE 中位+2.12% P75+4.20% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn20%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 PM 中位+2.05% P75+4.30% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 TMO 中位+2.00% P75+4.52% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  8. #8 STLD 中位+1.91% P75+4.16% 上漲比75% Up/Dn20%/0% 開富途

10-23

8/28
  1. #1 VRSN 中位+2.34% P75+4.16% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 REGN 中位+2.26% P75+4.50% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/0% 開富途
  3. #3 INCY 中位+1.88% P75+3.69% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn12.5%/0% 開富途
  4. #4 CNP 中位+1.87% P75+4.03% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 NXPI 中位+1.64% P75+5.16% 上漲比60% Up/Dn27.5%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 DDOG 中位+1.64% P75+5.13% 上漲比55% Up/Dn27.5%/17.5% 開富途
  7. #7 ABBV 2日 中位+1.58% P75+3.11% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  8. #8 CRL 中位+1.42% P75+3.07% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途

10-26

8/27
  1. #1 SWKS 中位+2.76% P75+5.59% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30%/17.5% 開富途
  2. #2 ADI 中位+1.88% P75+5.42% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  3. #3 ITW 中位+1.88% P75+3.62% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 SJM 中位+1.84% P75+3.78% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 KVUE 中位+1.82% P75+4.31% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 ABBV 2日 中位+1.72% P75+3.38% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 AAPL 中位+1.64% P75+4.24% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 DD 2日 中位+1.61% P75+3.57% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15%/2.5% 開富途

10-27

8/21
  1. #1 NTAP 中位+2.81% P75+6.20% 上漲比70% Up/Dn32.5%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 INTC 2日 中位+2.50% P75+6.22% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 CBOE 中位+2.17% P75+4.76% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 MRVL 2日 中位+1.84% P75+5.08% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 PNW 中位+1.78% P75+3.44% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 LYB 中位+1.63% P75+3.48% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 VRTX 中位+1.62% P75+3.71% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 DD 2日 中位+1.31% P75+3.39% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5%/2.5% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.NTAP 研究門檻符合 P75+6.20% 上漲比70% Up/Dn32.5% / 10% Opp5.84 開富途
  2. #2 US.INTC P75+6.22% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Opp4.504 開富途
  3. #3 US.CBOE P75+4.76% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Opp4.918 開富途
  4. #4 US.MRVL P75+5.08% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25% / 5% Opp3.971 開富途
  5. #5 US.PNW 研究門檻符合 P75+3.44% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.915 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Cached projection rows for this snapshot, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

+2.81%

P75+6.20% 上漲比70% Up/Dn32.5% / 10% Score64 Opp5.84
View chart 開富途
#2 US.INTC Intel · Information Technology

+2.50%

P75+6.22% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Score46.5 Opp4.504
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CBOE Cboe Global Markets · Financials

+2.17%

P75+4.76% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Score67.7 Opp4.918
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

+1.84%

P75+5.08% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25% / 5% Score48.1 Opp3.971
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PNW Pinnacle West Capital · Utilities

+1.78%

P75+3.44% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score63.3 Opp3.915
View chart 開富途
#6 US.LYB LyondellBasell · Materials

+1.63%

P75+3.48% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score70.4 Opp4.678
View chart 開富途
#7 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

+1.62%

P75+3.71% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score65 Opp4.485
View chart 開富途
#8 US.DD DuPont · Materials

+1.31%

P75+3.39% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score66.2 Opp3.304
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PM Philip Morris International · Consumer Staples

+1.30%

P75+3.95% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score74.7 Opp3.898
View chart 開富途
#10 US.KVUE Kenvue · Consumer Staples

+1.30%

P75+3.03% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score72.9 Opp3.654
View chart 開富途
#11 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

+0.94%

P75+2.58% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score68.5 Opp3.299
View chart 開富途
#12 US.KDP Keurig Dr Pepper · Consumer Staples

+0.87%

P75+2.67% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Score67.1 Opp2.641
View chart 開富途
#13 US.TRGP Targa Resources · Energy

+0.80%

P75+2.71% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score71.7 Opp2.865
View chart 開富途
#14 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

+0.79%

P75+2.90% 上漲比60% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score63.4 Opp2.791
View chart 開富途
#15 US.MPC Marathon Petroleum · Energy

+0.78%

P75+3.86% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score59.9 Opp3.294
View chart 開富途
#16 US.CARR Carrier Global · Industrials

+0.77%

P75+3.45% 上漲比55% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Score75.3 Opp2.447
View chart 開富途
#17 US.XOM ExxonMobil · Energy

+0.77%

P75+2.84% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score73.5 Opp2.881
View chart 開富途
#18 US.AMZN Amazon · Consumer Discretionary

+0.61%

P75+2.65% 上漲比55% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score50.5 Opp1.901
View chart 開富途
#19 US.HIG Hartford (The) · Financials

+0.54%

P75+2.64% 上漲比55% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score75.9 Opp2.019
View chart 開富途
#20 US.LITE Lumentum · Information Technology

+0.49%

P75+3.94% 上漲比55% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Score59.4 Opp1.871
View chart 開富途
#21 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

+0.27%

P75+5.59% 上漲比50% Up/Dn35% / 25% Score69 Opp0.685
View chart 開富途