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歷史相似情境下跌排名

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＜0） · 中位＜0 · DN＞UP 10% · 已排除強勢上升

短期上升版本

下跌追蹤Lv1
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短期上升版本

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期下跌門檻（中位＜0 · DN＞UP · 排除強勢上升），按中位跌幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

下跌追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 -1.4% · 下跌比 65% · Dn−Up +12.5 · 共 30 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

10-22

8/9
  1. #1 META 中位-1.60% P25-4.90% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up25%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 CEG 3日 中位-1.44% P25-3.35% 下跌比65% Dn/Up15%/0% 開富途
  3. #3 NRG 3日 中位-1.37% P25-3.25% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up15%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 CVNA 2日 中位-1.33% P25-3.88% 下跌比72.5% Dn/Up17.5%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 CMG 4日 中位-1.31% P25-3.57% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up15%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 ADBE 2日 中位-0.31% P25-3.92% 下跌比50% Dn/Up17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 LEN 中位-0.18% P25-3.09% 下跌比52.5% Dn/Up15%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 INTU 中位-0.12% P25-3.64% 下跌比55% Dn/Up17.5%/0% 開富途

10-23

8/13
  1. #1 VST 4日 中位-1.67% P25-4.00% 下跌比70% Dn/Up20%/0% 開富途
  2. #2 CVNA 2日 中位-1.60% P25-3.83% 下跌比80% Dn/Up15%/5% 開富途
  3. #3 FDXF 3日 中位-1.50% P25-3.70% 下跌比60% Dn/Up20%/7.5% 開富途
  4. #4 CMG 4日 中位-1.47% P25-2.66% 下跌比77.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 DASH 中位-1.32% P25-2.66% 下跌比75% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 NRG 3日 中位-1.30% P25-3.25% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up15%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 ORCL 中位-1.22% P25-5.41% 下跌比60% Dn/Up27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  8. #8 SMCI 2日 中位-1.04% P25-6.74% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up27.5%/15% 開富途

10-26

8/12
  1. #1 SMCI 2日 中位-2.78% P25-6.40% 下跌比60% Dn/Up35%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 VST 4日 中位-1.85% P25-3.72% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up15%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 BLDR 2日 中位-1.68% P25-5.15% 下跌比60% Dn/Up27.5%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 CMG 4日 中位-1.58% P25-3.34% 下跌比75% Dn/Up12.5%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 FDXF 3日 中位-1.50% P25-3.98% 下跌比65% Dn/Up17.5%/5% 開富途
  6. #6 MOS 中位-1.49% P25-2.60% 下跌比75% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 CEG 3日 中位-1.44% P25-3.25% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up15%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 FSLR 中位-1.25% P25-6.42% 下跌比60% Dn/Up32.5%/20% 開富途

10-27

8/13
  1. #1 FDXF 3日 中位-2.27% P25-4.19% 下跌比72.5% Dn/Up17.5%/5% 開富途
  2. #2 FICO 中位-2.09% P25-4.03% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up22.5%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 VST 4日 中位-1.85% P25-3.72% 下跌比65% Dn/Up12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 CMG 4日 中位-1.73% P25-3.47% 下跌比75% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 EFX 中位-1.52% P25-5.40% 下跌比70% Dn/Up30%/5% 開富途
  6. #6 GDDY 中位-1.36% P25-5.80% 下跌比60% Dn/Up32.5%/12.5% 開富途
  7. #7 NVR 中位-1.33% P25-3.07% 下跌比65% Dn/Up15%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 CRWD 中位-1.10% P25-4.41% 下跌比65% Dn/Up22.5%/10% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 下跌速覽

  1. #1 US.FDXF P25-4.19% 下跌比72.5% Dn/Up17.5% / 5% 中位-2.27% 開富途
  2. #2 US.FICO P25-4.03% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up22.5% / 10% 中位-2.09% 開富途
  3. #3 US.VST P25-3.72% 下跌比65% Dn/Up12.5% / 2.5% 中位-1.85% 開富途
  4. #4 US.CMG P25-3.47% 下跌比75% Dn/Up10% / 0% 中位-1.73% 開富途
  5. #5 US.EFX P25-5.40% 下跌比70% Dn/Up30% / 5% 中位-1.52% 開富途

跌幅領先榜

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序，其後才看 P25 與 Dn−Up；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格小於 0。

Default filter active: DN＞UP 10% (Down5 − Up5 ≥ 10pp).

此快照的已快取投影列，按中位跌幅、然後 P25、然後 Dn−Up 排序。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-2.27%

P25-4.19% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score43.5 DownOpp4.491
View chart 開富途
#2 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-2.09%

P25-4.03% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score47.9 DownOpp3.538
View chart 開富途
#3 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-1.85%

P25-3.72% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score41.3 DownOpp3.52
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-1.73%

P25-3.47% Down75% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score39.8 DownOpp4.299
View chart 開富途
#5 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-1.52%

P25-5.40% Down70% Dn/Up530% / 5% Score57.8 DownOpp3.737
View chart 開富途
#6 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.36%

P25-5.80% Down60% Dn/Up532.5% / 12.5% Score69.8 DownOpp2.337
View chart 開富途
#7 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.33%

P25-3.07% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score48.6 DownOpp2.783
View chart 開富途
#8 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-1.10%

P25-4.41% Down65% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score72.4 DownOpp2.259
View chart 開富途
#9 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-1.02%

P25-4.63% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score67.1 DownOpp2.174
View chart 開富途
#10 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.53%

P25-2.68% Down57.5% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score58.8 DownOpp0.909
View chart 開富途
#11 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.42%

P25-3.69% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score65.9 DownOpp1.348
View chart 開富途
#12 US.AXON Axon Enterprise · Industrials

-0.41%

P25-4.63% Down57.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score66.7 DownOpp1.367
View chart 開富途
#13 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-0.34%

P25-4.25% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score65.8 DownOpp1.559
View chart 開富途