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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-10-15

Computed at 2026年10月16日 上午7:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 23

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-10-15

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-10-15
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-10-15
DOE window 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-12
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年10月16日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 23
Excluded downtrends 32
Review DOE calibration
Buy band (stable Opp plateau) n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Best holding day 10D

5+ · -4.5% ann. net · n=257

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

2.5 - 3 · +0.44% exp · 78D WF

Opp study rows 23,163 with outcomes

1,505 awaiting horizon End 2026-10-15

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +2.2% · 上漲比 65% · Up−Dn +18.1 · 共 67 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

10-09

8/21
  1. #1 INTC 5日 中位+3.14% P75+11.83% 上漲比65% Up/Dn37.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 2日 中位+1.98% P75+10.21% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 HPE 2日 中位+1.92% P75+5.31% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 MCHP 2日 中位+1.89% P75+5.07% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 LITE 3日 中位+1.85% P75+4.57% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 NTAP 中位+1.73% P75+5.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 AMD 2日 中位+1.68% P75+4.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 JBL 中位+1.51% P75+5.38% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途

10-12

8/19
  1. #1 INTC 5日 中位+2.65% P75+10.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 2日 中位+2.49% P75+5.17% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 HPE 2日 中位+2.29% P75+4.32% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 HPQ 中位+1.94% P75+4.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 LITE 3日 中位+1.48% P75+5.90% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 EW 中位+1.44% P75+3.94% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 GILD 中位+1.36% P75+2.91% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 AMD 2日 中位+1.09% P75+7.06% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/7.5% 開富途

10-13

8/30
  1. #1 INTC 5日 中位+3.87% P75+11.32% 上漲比60% Up/Dn40%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 MCHP 2日 中位+3.42% P75+8.95% 上漲比70% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 MU 3日 中位+3.17% P75+7.79% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn32.5%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 TER 2日 中位+2.58% P75+6.16% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30%/7.5% 開富途
  5. #5 QCOM 3日 中位+2.57% P75+5.74% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 HUM 2日 中位+2.47% P75+5.26% 上漲比70% Up/Dn27.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 AAPL 2日 中位+2.47% P75+3.98% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn20%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 STX 2日 中位+2.37% P75+6.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30%/12.5% 開富途

10-14

8/27
  1. #1 INTC 5日 中位+3.55% P75+10.34% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 TER 2日 中位+3.31% P75+6.29% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 MU 3日 中位+2.88% P75+8.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn42.5%/10% 開富途
  4. #4 LITE 3日 中位+2.40% P75+6.79% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途
  5. #5 QCOM 3日 中位+2.29% P75+8.49% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 AAPL 2日 中位+2.07% P75+3.68% 上漲比85% Up/Dn15%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 WAT 中位+1.92% P75+3.50% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 DDOG 中位+1.87% P75+5.03% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25%/15% 開富途

10-15

8/23
  1. #1 STX 2日 中位+7.49% P75+11.38% 上漲比75% Up/Dn57.5%/5% 開富途
  2. #2 MU 3日 中位+3.44% P75+10.00% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn45%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 INTC 5日 中位+3.15% P75+7.83% 上漲比75% Up/Dn37.5%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 LH 中位+2.47% P75+3.88% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 MRVL 中位+2.20% P75+5.61% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 QCOM 3日 中位+2.18% P75+5.13% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 FTNT 中位+2.13% P75+4.46% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 HUM 2日 中位+2.03% P75+4.92% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.STX 研究門檻符合 P75+11.38% 上漲比75% Up/Dn57.5% / 5% Opp12.394 開富途
  2. #2 US.MU 研究門檻符合 P75+10.00% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn45% / 15% Opp7.23 開富途
  3. #3 US.INTC 研究門檻符合 P75+7.83% 上漲比75% Up/Dn37.5% / 12.5% Opp6.732 開富途
  4. #4 US.LH P75+3.88% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp6.119 開富途
  5. #5 US.MRVL 研究門檻符合 P75+5.61% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Opp4.28 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.STX Seagate Technology · Information Technology

+7.49%

P75+11.38% 上漲比75% Up/Dn57.5% / 5% Score47.8 Opp12.394
View chart 開富途
#2 US.MU Micron Technology · Information Technology

+3.44%

P75+10.00% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn45% / 15% Score52 Opp7.23
View chart 開富途
#3 US.INTC Intel · Information Technology

+3.15%

P75+7.83% 上漲比75% Up/Dn37.5% / 12.5% Score49.9 Opp6.732
View chart 開富途
#4 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

+2.47%

P75+3.88% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score63.8 Opp6.119
View chart 開富途
#5 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

+2.20%

P75+5.61% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Score50.3 Opp4.28
View chart 開富途
#6 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

+2.18%

P75+5.13% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 10% Score53.1 Opp4.661
View chart 開富途
#7 US.FTNT Fortinet · Information Technology

+2.13%

P75+4.46% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Score56 Opp5.065
View chart 開富途
#8 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+2.03%

P75+4.92% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Score75.2 Opp5.074
View chart 開富途
#9 US.NEM Newmont · Materials

+1.55%

P75+3.18% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score63.7 Opp3.873
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CBOE Cboe Global Markets · Financials

+1.05%

P75+3.69% 上漲比60% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score75.9 Opp3.192
View chart 開富途
#11 US.WAT Waters Corporation · Health Care

+1.01%

P75+3.79% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score74.4 Opp3.715
View chart 開富途
#12 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

+0.94%

P75+4.97% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 10% Score51.1 Opp2.366
View chart 開富途
#13 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

+0.74%

P75+2.27% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score67.2 Opp2.512
View chart 開富途
#14 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

+0.69%

P75+2.91% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Score52.8 Opp2.414
View chart 開富途
#15 US.EMR Emerson Electric · Industrials

+0.67%

P75+2.87% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score74.5 Opp3.046
View chart 開富途
#16 US.PRU Prudential Financial · Financials

+0.67%

P75+2.39% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score74.5 Opp2.426
View chart 開富途
#17 US.DVA DaVita · Health Care

+0.61%

P75+3.79% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score72.3 Opp3.1
View chart 開富途
#18 US.DDOG Datadog · Information Technology

+0.61%

P75+3.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Score56.5 Opp2.619
View chart 開富途
#19 US.KEYS Keysight Technologies · Information Technology

+0.60%

P75+4.34% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 5% Score60.5 Opp2.239
View chart 開富途
#20 US.LYB LyondellBasell · Materials

+0.53%

P75+2.68% 上漲比55% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score66.9 Opp1.952
View chart 開富途
#21 US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices · Information Technology

+0.49%

P75+3.23% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score58.5 Opp1.486
View chart 開富途
#22 US.CVX Chevron Corporation · Energy

+0.44%

P75+2.38% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score73 Opp2.032
View chart 開富途
#23 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

+0.11%

P75+7.06% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 17.5% Score54.9 Opp1.437
View chart 開富途