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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-10-09

Computed at 2026年10月12日 上午7:46 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 21

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-10-09

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-10-09
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-10-09
DOE window 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-06
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年10月12日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 21
Excluded downtrends 25
Review DOE calibration
Buy band (stable Opp plateau) n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Best holding day 3D

5+ · -0.8% ann. net · n=258

Rolling best TP/SL TP 3.5% / SL -3%

3 - 3.5 · +0.32% exp · 77D WF

Opp study rows 23,905 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-10-09

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +1.7% · 上漲比 65% · Up−Dn +15.6 · 共 54 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

10-05

8/16
  1. #1 WDC 3日 中位+2.33% P75+6.01% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn30%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 AMD 3日 中位+1.78% P75+4.54% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 PANW 中位+1.63% P75+5.14% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25%/10% 開富途
  4. #4 TECH 中位+1.32% P75+3.45% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 CVX 中位+1.24% P75+3.49% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn15%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 CF 中位+1.23% P75+4.95% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20%/7.5% 開富途
  7. #7 VRSN 中位+1.17% P75+5.15% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 MRNA 2日 中位+1.13% P75+4.91% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途

10-06

8/15
  1. #1 WDC 3日 中位+3.22% P75+8.53% 上漲比70% Up/Dn42.5%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 DDOG 中位+2.22% P75+5.59% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5%/13.8% 開富途
  3. #3 MPWR 中位+1.44% P75+5.01% 上漲比70% Up/Dn26.3%/11.3% 開富途
  4. #4 LRCX 中位+1.30% P75+4.80% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  5. #5 KLAC 3日 中位+1.18% P75+4.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 AMGN 中位+1.08% P75+3.08% 上漲比71.3% Up/Dn11.3%/1.3% 開富途
  7. #7 HPQ 2日 中位+1.07% P75+5.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途
  8. #8 JBL 2日 中位+1.00% P75+5.68% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn28.8%/6.3% 開富途

10-07

8/19
  1. #1 AMD 3日 中位+4.13% P75+6.37% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn40%/0% 開富途
  2. #2 KLAC 3日 中位+2.75% P75+5.59% 上漲比70% Up/Dn32.5%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 HPQ 2日 中位+2.71% P75+5.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn32.5%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 STX 中位+2.19% P75+6.60% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  5. #5 QCOM 中位+2.01% P75+8.36% 上漲比60% Up/Dn35%/5% 開富途
  6. #6 WDC 3日 中位+1.89% P75+6.79% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn35%/12.5% 開富途
  7. #7 DVA 2日 中位+1.69% P75+4.20% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  8. #8 HUM 中位+1.64% P75+4.49% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途

10-08

8/17
  1. #1 MU 中位+2.71% P75+6.04% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5%/17.5% 開富途
  2. #2 MCHP 2日 中位+2.40% P75+6.95% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5%/7.5% 開富途
  3. #3 KLAC 3日 中位+2.10% P75+5.89% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 DVA 2日 中位+1.67% P75+3.47% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 DELL 中位+1.44% P75+5.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/17.5% 開富途
  6. #6 NTAP 2日 中位+1.16% P75+5.03% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  7. #7 GILD 中位+1.15% P75+3.94% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 MRNA 2日 中位+1.07% P75+3.58% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途

10-09

8/21
  1. #1 INTC 中位+3.14% P75+11.83% 上漲比65% Up/Dn37.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 中位+1.98% P75+10.21% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 HPE 中位+1.92% P75+5.31% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 MCHP 2日 中位+1.89% P75+5.07% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 LITE 中位+1.85% P75+4.57% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 NTAP 2日 中位+1.73% P75+5.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 AMD 3日 中位+1.68% P75+4.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 JBL 2日 中位+1.51% P75+5.38% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.INTC P75+11.83% 上漲比65% Up/Dn37.5% / 7.5% Opp7.175 開富途
  2. #2 US.SNDK P75+10.21% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35% / 10% Opp5.491 開富途
  3. #3 US.HPE P75+5.31% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp4.533 開富途
  4. #4 US.MCHP P75+5.07% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Opp3.766 開富途
  5. #5 US.LITE P75+4.57% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp3.844 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.INTC Intel · Information Technology

+3.14%

P75+11.83% 上漲比65% Up/Dn37.5% / 7.5% Score43.7 Opp7.175
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SNDK Sandisk · Information Technology

+1.98%

P75+10.21% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35% / 10% Score47.8 Opp5.491
View chart 開富途
#3 US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise · Information Technology

+1.92%

P75+5.31% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Score84.7 Opp4.533
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MCHP Microchip Technology · Information Technology

+1.89%

P75+5.07% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Score47.8 Opp3.766
View chart 開富途
#5 US.LITE Lumentum · Information Technology

+1.85%

P75+4.57% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score66.8 Opp3.844
View chart 開富途
#6 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

+1.73%

P75+5.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn35% / 10% Score70.9 Opp4.119
View chart 開富途
#7 US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices · Information Technology

+1.68%

P75+4.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score60.1 Opp4.053
View chart 開富途
#8 US.JBL Jabil · Information Technology

+1.51%

P75+5.38% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30% / 20% Score64.4 Opp2.938
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

+1.49%

P75+4.43% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score70.5 Opp3.676
View chart 開富途
#10 US.MU Micron Technology · Information Technology

+1.48%

P75+5.27% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 10% Score56.5 Opp3.621
View chart 開富途
#11 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

+1.42%

P75+2.94% 上漲比60% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score62.7 Opp3.275
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TDY Teledyne Technologies · Information Technology

+1.32%

P75+3.18% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score53.4 Opp3.516
View chart 開富途
#13 US.TROW T. Rowe Price · Financials

+1.02%

P75+2.54% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score76.5 Opp4.029
View chart 開富途
#14 US.PH Parker Hannifin · Industrials

+0.93%

P75+2.48% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 0% Score59.9 Opp2.799
View chart 開富途
#15 US.APA APA Corporation · Energy

+0.87%

P75+2.65% 上漲比55% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score70 Opp2.308
View chart 開富途
#16 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

+0.72%

P75+4.60% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Score75.5 Opp2.586
View chart 開富途
#17 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

+0.34%

P75+5.99% 上漲比50% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Score57.9 Opp1.372
View chart 開富途
#18 US.ETN Eaton Corporation · Industrials

+0.32%

P75+2.91% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score55.9 Opp1.917
View chart 開富途
#19 US.WMB Williams Companies · Energy

+0.24%

P75+3.19% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score71.1 Opp1.621
View chart 開富途
#20 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

+0.16%

P75+5.02% 上漲比50% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Score52.8 Opp1.061
View chart 開富途
#21 US.JCI Johnson Controls · Industrials

+0.16%

P75+1.53% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score72.2 Opp1.284
View chart 開富途