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歷史相似情境下跌排名

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＜0） · 中位＜0 · DN＞UP 10% · 已排除強勢上升

短期上升版本

下跌追蹤Lv1
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短期上升版本

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期下跌門檻（中位＜0 · DN＞UP · 排除強勢上升），按中位跌幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

下跌追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 -0.9% · 下跌比 62.5% · Dn−Up +12.5 · 共 36 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

10-05

8/12
  1. #1 FICO 2日 中位-2.64% P25-6.69% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up37.5%/20% 開富途
  2. #2 PSKY 2日 中位-1.58% P25-4.84% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up25%/12.5% 開富途
  3. #3 CPRT 中位-1.23% P25-3.36% 下跌比65% Dn/Up15%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 BLDR 中位-0.95% P25-2.82% 下跌比55% Dn/Up15%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 CDW 中位-0.93% P25-4.55% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up25%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 AMT 中位-0.92% P25-1.93% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 TSCO 中位-0.88% P25-2.59% 下跌比70% Dn/Up12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 ROL 2日 中位-0.83% P25-3.00% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途

10-08

7/7
  1. #1 UBER 2日 中位-1.63% P25-3.87% 下跌比80% Dn/Up17.5%/0% 開富途
  2. #2 STZ 2日 中位-1.12% P25-3.42% 下跌比70% Dn/Up17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 PEP 中位-0.95% P25-2.17% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up15%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 COR 中位-0.79% P25-2.09% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 HOOD 中位-0.64% P25-2.45% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 CME 中位-0.51% P25-2.45% 下跌比65% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 BRO 中位-0.34% P25-2.97% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5%/0% 開富途

10-09

8/11
  1. #1 ROL 2日 中位-2.51% P25-5.15% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 NRG 中位-1.62% P25-4.88% 下跌比65% Dn/Up25%/7.5% 開富途
  3. #3 KMB 中位-1.53% P25-3.04% 下跌比70% Dn/Up17.5%/0% 開富途
  4. #4 UBER 2日 中位-1.43% P25-2.82% 下跌比77.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 PSKY 2日 中位-1.23% P25-4.94% 下跌比60% Dn/Up25%/10% 開富途
  6. #6 PPL 中位-0.99% P25-2.87% 下跌比65% Dn/Up12.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 TSLA 中位-0.98% P25-3.55% 下跌比60% Dn/Up17.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 COF 中位-0.95% P25-2.57% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 下跌速覽

  1. #1 US.ROL P25-5.15% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up27.5% / 7.5% 中位-2.51% 開富途
  2. #2 US.NRG P25-4.88% 下跌比65% Dn/Up25% / 7.5% 中位-1.62% 開富途
  3. #3 US.KMB P25-3.04% 下跌比70% Dn/Up17.5% / 0% 中位-1.53% 開富途
  4. #4 US.UBER P25-2.82% 下跌比77.5% Dn/Up10% / 0% 中位-1.43% 開富途
  5. #5 US.PSKY P25-4.94% 下跌比60% Dn/Up25% / 10% 中位-1.23% 開富途

跌幅領先榜

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序，其後才看 P25 與 Dn−Up；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格小於 0。

Default filter active: DN＞UP 10% (Down5 − Up5 ≥ 10pp).

來自 sp500_score_projections 的已物化投影列，按中位跌幅、然後 P25、然後 Dn−Up 排序。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-2.51%

P25-5.15% Down62.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score68.7 DownOpp3.832
View chart 開富途
#2 US.NRG NRG Energy · Utilities

-1.62%

P25-4.88% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score77.8 DownOpp3.007
View chart 開富途
#3 US.KMB Kimberly-Clark · Consumer Staples

-1.53%

P25-3.04% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score69.9 DownOpp3.366
View chart 開富途
#4 US.UBER Uber · Industrials

-1.43%

P25-2.82% Down77.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score71.9 DownOpp3.796
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.23%

P25-4.94% Down60% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score42.2 DownOpp2.348
View chart 開富途
#6 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.99%

P25-2.87% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score70.8 DownOpp2.376
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.98%

P25-3.55% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score74 DownOpp1.663
View chart 開富途
#8 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-0.95%

P25-2.57% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score60.7 DownOpp2.137
View chart 開富途
#9 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.89%

P25-3.26% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score69.3 DownOpp1.835
View chart 開富途
#10 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-0.72%

P25-4.30% Down57.5% Dn/Up525% / 12.5% Score56.2 DownOpp1.224
View chart 開富途
#11 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.30%

P25-1.88% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score72.6 DownOpp0.626
View chart 開富途