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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-28

Computed at 2026年9月29日 上午7:54 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 20

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-09-28

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-28
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-28
DOE window 2026-07-21 → 2026-09-23
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月29日 上午7:54 HKT
Rows 20
Excluded downtrends 38
Review DOE calibration
Buy band (stable Opp plateau) 3.0–3.5

OOS n=927 Median 0.18%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.0–3.5

+0.18% OOS median · n=927

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +12.64% ann. net · n=1082

Rolling best TP/SL TP 6.5% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.56% exp · 76D WF

Opp study rows 24,999 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-28

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +2.2% · 上漲比 71.3% · Up−Dn +17.5 · 共 81 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

09-22

8/37
  1. #1 HAL 4日 中位+3.08% P75+5.07% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn30%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 STLD 2日 中位+2.89% P75+4.58% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 EOG 3日 中位+2.78% P75+4.82% 上漲比75% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 CVX 中位+2.73% P75+4.73% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 DVN 中位+2.36% P75+4.07% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 WMB 2日 中位+2.09% P75+4.03% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 HUM 中位+2.07% P75+5.38% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 SLB 4日 中位+2.07% P75+4.14% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途

09-23

8/40
  1. #1 EOG 3日 中位+3.08% P75+4.82% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 STLD 2日 中位+2.89% P75+4.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  3. #3 COP 3日 中位+2.65% P75+4.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 OXY 2日 中位+2.62% P75+4.73% 上漲比80% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 HAL 4日 中位+2.34% P75+3.79% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 SLB 4日 中位+2.26% P75+4.14% 上漲比70% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途
  7. #7 FANG 2日 中位+2.11% P75+3.23% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  8. #8 OKE 2日 中位+2.00% P75+3.98% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途

09-24

8/28
  1. #1 MPC 2日 中位+2.44% P75+4.78% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 COP 3日 中位+2.42% P75+4.38% 上漲比80% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 HAL 4日 中位+2.34% P75+4.04% 上漲比75% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 OKE 2日 中位+2.30% P75+3.84% 上漲比80% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 EOG 3日 中位+2.28% P75+4.07% 上漲比80% Up/Dn22.5%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 FANG 2日 中位+2.26% P75+3.28% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5%/7.5% 開富途
  7. #7 LITE 中位+2.23% P75+5.43% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 SLB 4日 中位+2.16% P75+4.73% 上漲比75% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途

09-25

8/26
  1. #1 HAL 4日 中位+2.62% P75+4.87% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 OXY 2日 中位+2.09% P75+4.16% 上漲比75% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 COHR 中位+1.74% P75+4.66% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn22.5%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 LH 中位+1.67% P75+3.35% 上漲比70% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 PSX 2日 中位+1.63% P75+5.12% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  6. #6 APA 中位+1.63% P75+3.81% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 WMB 2日 中位+1.59% P75+3.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 COP 3日 中位+1.54% P75+4.60% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途

09-28

8/20
  1. #1 GLW 中位+2.66% P75+7.32% 上漲比70% Up/Dn35%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 DVA 中位+2.35% P75+5.10% 上漲比70% Up/Dn27.5%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 CF 中位+2.33% P75+4.65% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5%/10% 開富途
  4. #4 MPC 2日 中位+1.79% P75+4.40% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  5. #5 MRNA 中位+1.78% P75+4.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途
  6. #6 PSX 2日 中位+1.41% P75+4.19% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  7. #7 SLB 4日 中位+1.41% P75+3.56% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 BKR 中位+1.41% P75+3.21% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5%/0% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.GLW P75+7.32% 上漲比70% Up/Dn35% / 7.5% Opp6.046 開富途
  2. #2 US.DVA P75+5.10% 上漲比70% Up/Dn27.5% / 2.5% Opp5.427 開富途
  3. #3 US.CF P75+4.65% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Opp4.063 開富途
  4. #4 US.MPC P75+4.40% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Opp4.147 開富途
  5. #5 US.MRNA P75+4.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp4.359 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.GLW Corning Inc. · Information Technology

+2.66%

P75+7.32% 上漲比70% Up/Dn35% / 7.5% Score54.1 Opp6.046
View chart 開富途
#2 US.DVA DaVita · Health Care

+2.35%

P75+5.10% 上漲比70% Up/Dn27.5% / 2.5% Score47 Opp5.427
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CF CF Industries · Materials

+2.33%

P75+4.65% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Score49.4 Opp4.063
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MPC Marathon Petroleum · Energy

+1.79%

P75+4.40% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Score54.3 Opp4.147
View chart 開富途
#5 US.MRNA Moderna · Health Care

+1.78%

P75+4.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score75.5 Opp4.359
View chart 開富途
#6 US.PSX Phillips 66 · Energy

+1.41%

P75+4.19% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Score56.1 Opp3.328
View chart 開富途
#7 US.SLB Schlumberger · Energy

+1.41%

P75+3.56% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score49.6 Opp3.522
View chart 開富途
#8 US.BKR Baker Hughes · Energy

+1.41%

P75+3.21% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score49.5 Opp3.784
View chart 開富途
#9 US.STLD Steel Dynamics · Materials

+1.23%

P75+3.24% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score55.2 Opp2.954
View chart 開富途
#10 US.DXCM Dexcom · Health Care

+1.23%

P75+2.71% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score62.2 Opp3.424
View chart 開富途
#11 US.HAL Halliburton · Energy

+1.17%

P75+3.56% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score45.7 Opp3.253
View chart 開富途
#12 US.IEX IDEX Corporation · Industrials

+1.15%

P75+2.93% 上漲比70% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score73.3 Opp4.032
View chart 開富途
#13 US.MMM 3M · Industrials

+1.01%

P75+3.22% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score74.1 Opp3.671
View chart 開富途
#14 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

+0.98%

P75+4.47% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Score75.9 Opp2.867
View chart 開富途
#15 US.APA APA Corporation · Energy

+0.77%

P75+3.90% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20% / 10% Score56.6 Opp2.37
View chart 開富途
#16 US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices · Information Technology

+0.73%

P75+4.20% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Score80 Opp2.53
View chart 開富途
#17 US.INTC Intel · Information Technology

+0.67%

P75+4.57% 上漲比55% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Score67.2 Opp1.967
View chart 開富途
#18 US.CNC Centene Corporation · Health Care

+0.63%

P75+3.09% 上漲比55% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score52.6 Opp2.047
View chart 開富途
#19 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

+0.57%

P75+5.01% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Score65.5 Opp1.764
View chart 開富途
#20 US.STX Seagate Technology · Information Technology

+0.41%

P75+4.82% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Score77.3 Opp2.045
View chart 開富途